Royals vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - August 26, 2024

Royals at Guardians

5:10 pm • BSGL
4 - 3
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Nick Sandlin logoN.SandlinCleveland Guardians logo3.758-0
Cole Ragans logoC.RagansKansas City Royals logo3.1411-9

Royals at Guardians Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals
3-3
-1.5
-1.5+130
o8-117
-130
Guardians
4-6
u8.5
+1.5-155
u8-105
+110
location pinMonday 5:10 p.m.
August 26, 2024
Progressive FieldCleveland
Royals vs. Guardians Expert Picks
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
118d ago
Last 30d: 117-116-5 (+9.1u)
CLE o1.5 Team Total (F5)-124
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
118d ago
Last 30d: 121-111-6 (+0.9u)
Under 8.5-115
0.87u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Cole Ragans, with a season ERA of 3.31, has been one of the few bright spots in the Royals' rotation, posting an impressive 2.95 ERA over his last three starts. Hopefully, his WHIP of 1.15 and strikeout rate of 29.3% illustrate an ability to limit baserunners while also getting chases on out-of-zone offerings. Furthermore, Statcast data for the lefty shows that he holds opponents to a low Hard Hit rate of only 36.8%, which shows how effective he has been at preventing solid contact. On the other sideline, Nick Sandlin has mostly been a reliever, showing some competency with a 3.88 ERA and a WHIP of 1.17. One highly exemplary feature in his Statcast profile is an expected batting average of .220 and a Hard Hit percentage of 42.6%. That tells one that while he does give up some hard contact, he does so in ways that mitigate overall damage effectively. Both bullpens can also play a telling role in this matchup. On the entire season, Royal bullpen pitches to a season-long ERA of 4.32, while the Guardians bullpen has been stellar with a 2.34 ERA. Of late, though, the Royals bullpen has struggled well outside their normal pace with a 7.66 ERA over the last three games. While that obviously affects where they'll be projected in this game compared to their full-season numbers, the overall reliability throughout the year gives credence that they can stabilize in this game. On the other side, however, the Guardians' bullpen keeps getting better and has a 2.76 ERA over its last three outings, making the case for a low-scoring game all the more believable, especially late in the ball game. Offensively, the Royals actually slot in 8th in Runs/G at 4.85, but they will be coming up against a fairly good Guardians pitching staff, so there could be some suppression there. The Guardians are worse offensively, ranking 13th with 4.56 Runs/G, and that fit the trend. Historically, both teams have been toward the under in similar matchups, including Kansas City going under in 4 of their last 5 on grass and Cleveland going under in 6 of their last 8 following a win. Additionally, the fact that it's going to be an evening game in Cleveland can help keep the temperatures cool, further suppressing offense—certainly doesn't hurt this expectation. Trends head-to-head also side with the under, as Kansas City has not fared very well in Cleveland, going just 21-49 in their last 70 meetings. This historical difficulty, paired with as strong as Cleveland is pitching, this goes further to back the likelihood of an under. Ragans and Sandlin, with the ability to limit runs, good bullpen performances, and unsurprising offenses on both sides, this game should be primed for a total under 8.5.
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
118d ago
Last 30d: 16-21-0 (+3.1u)
V.Pasquantino o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125
1.25u
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
118d ago
Last 30d: 5-8-1 (-6.5u)
CLE +105
1u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
118d ago
Last 30d: 67-84-1 (+7.2u)
C.Ragans o17.5 Outs-130
1u
Fanatics
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
118d ago
Last 30d: 146-155-9 (-3.8u)
Under 8.5-113
0.44u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
119d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
CLE +113
0.5u
Game 1. Bet to +104

PRO Insights

Royals logo

Royals

KC Insights
  • Royals logoRoyals have struck out just 18% over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB. Guardians RPs have a strikeout rate of just 19% over the last week -- second lowest in MLB.
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Guardians logo

Guardians

CLE Insights
  • Guardians logoGuardians have struck out just 19% since last season -- lowest in MLB. Royals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season -- third lowest in MLB.
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Royals vs. Guardians Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Royals vs. Guardians Public Betting Percentages

66%

Bets%

34%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians
83-7842-3841-4048-5034-27
Royals
87-7543-3844-3740-3846-37

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Guardians
67-83-1138-38-429-45-745-46-721-36-4
Royals
69-88-538-42-131-46-432-4636-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians
92-6950-3042-3963-3528-33
Royals
86-7645-3641-4049-2936-47

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 25thTEXW 4-2-1.5 WU 8CLE -125
Aug 24thTEXW 13-5-1.5 WO 8.5CLE -135
Aug 23rdTEXL 3-5-1.5 LO 7TEX -148
Aug 22nd@NYYL 0-6+1.5 LU 8NYY +167
Aug 21st@NYYL 1-8+1.5 LO 8.5NYY +170

Guardians vs. Royals Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries

  • Shane Bieber
    P

    Bieber is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Royals Injuries

  • Kyle Wright
    P

    Wright is out for season with shoulder

    Out for Season

Royals vs. Guardians Box Score
Royals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Cole Ragans logoLC.Ragans, P94441
James McArthur logoRJ.McArthur, P16110
Kris Bubic logoLK.Bubic, P191.111
John Schreiber logoRJ.Schreiber, P151.210
Lucas Erceg logoRL.Erceg, P14100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Michael Massey logo1M.Massey, 2B0-4000
Bobby Witt logo2B.Witt, SS1-3111
Vinnie Pasquantino logo3V.Pasquantino, 1B0-4100
Salvador Perez logo4S.Perez, C3-3100
MJ Melendez logo5M.Melendez, LF1-4113
Freddy Fermin logo6F.Fermin, DH0-4000
Maikel Garcia logo7M.Garcia, 3B0-4000
Kyle Isbel logo8K.Isbel, CF1-4000
Tyler Gentry logo9T.Gentry, RF0-2000
Adam Frazier logo9A.Frazier, PH0-2000
Adam Frazier logo9A.Frazier, RF0-2000
Guardians Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Nick Sandlin logoRN.Sandlin, P22120
Eli Morgan logoRE.Morgan, P27212
Scott Barlow logoRS.Barlow, P25200
Connor Gillispie logoRC.Gillispie, P26220
Hunter Gaddis logoRH.Gaddis, P120.101
Joey Cantillo logoLJ.Cantillo, P181.210
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Steven Kwan logo1S.Kwan, LF1-4001
Lane Thomas logo2L.Thomas, CF1-4000
Jose Ramirez logo3J.Ramirez, 3B1-4100
David Fry logo4D.Fry, 1B0-4000
Josh Naylor logo5J.Naylor, DH1-4001
Jhonkensy Noel logo6J.Noel, RF0-3100
Andres Gimenez logo7A.Gimenez, 2B1-4000
Tyler Freeman logo8T.Freeman, SS0-2100
Will Brennan logo8W.Brennan, PH0-1000
Bo Naylor logo8B.Naylor, C0-0000
Austin Hedges logo9A.Hedges, C2-3000
Daniel Schneemann logo9D.Schneemann, PH0-1000
Daniel Schneemann logo9D.Schneemann, SS0-1000

Royals vs. Guardians Odds Comparison

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Royals at Guardians Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Royals
3-3
o4.5+105
u4.5-135
Guardians
4-6
o3.5-115
u3.5-115