Pirates vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - April 12, 2024

Pirates at Phillies

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

5 - 2

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sanchez			3.32	11-9
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-154	o9-121	+138
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+129	u9+100	-163

Friday 10:40 p.m.

April 12, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Over 9-120

2.4u

PHI -155

... home favs off a short win in a non division game and were fav last game Overall: 571-318-0,64% (ROI:11%) Season:1-3-0,25% (ROI:-57%)

PIT +138

0.69u

PHI -1.5+130

Under 9.5-115

0.5u

Bet to 9 (-105)

B.Falter u3.5 Ks+100

PHI -155 (F5)

1.55u

PHI -155 (F5)

0.78u

Bet to -183. Flat risk 0.5u at -170 or higher

Featured Insight
Pirates left-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP over the last week -- ninth lowest in MLB. Phillies have a strikeout rate of just 12% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies hitters had a hard-hit rate of 41% last season -- tied for ninth best in MLB. Opponents had a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Pirates last season -- tied for ninth worst in MLB.

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The Phillies are 11-9 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

The Phillies are 7-70 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Nick Castellanos has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.7 MPH on changeups since last season (85 balls in play) -- tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 86.6

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (5/37) against Cristopher Sanchez over the past seven days (1 games) -- 2nd lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 28% -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 11th	PIT	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	PHI -132
Apr 10th	@STL	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -140
Apr 9th	@STL	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -140
Apr 8th	@STL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	PHI -105
Apr 7th	@WSH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	WSH -155

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	71	5	3	1
LJ.Hernandez, P	11	0.2	1	0
RL.Ortiz, P	19	1	1	0
LJ.Fleming, P	15	0.2	0	1
LA.Chapman, P	16	0.2	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Joe, 1B	2-4	0	1
1R.Tellez, PH	0-1	0	0
1R.Tellez, 1B	0-1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-5	0	1
2B.Reynolds, RF	2-5	0	1
3K.Hayes, 3B	0-5	0	0
4E.Olivares, RF	0-3	0	0
4J.Suwinski, PR	0-1	0	0
4J.Suwinski, LF	0-1	0	0
5A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	1	0
6O.Cruz, SS	0-5	0	0
7M.Taylor, CF	1-4	1	0
8J.Triolo, 2B	2-3	1	0
9H.Davis, C	2-3	2	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	91	6	6	1
RY.Marte, P	27	1	2	1
RR. Pinto, P	36	2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-3	1	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	0	0
4J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0
5A.Bohm, 3B	0-3	0	1
6B.Marsh, CF	1-4	1	0
7N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0
8B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	1
9W.Merrifield, LF	0-4	0	0