Rays vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 15, 2024

Rays at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Tampa Bay Rays

8-12

4 - 3

Boston Red Sox

11-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Houck			3.12	9-10
T.Bradley			4.11	8-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 8-12	+1.5-180	o8-115	+110
Red Sox 11-10	-1.5+150	u8-105	-130

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

May 15, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

T.Bradley o5.5 Ks-156

1.28u

Under 4.5 (F5)-125

0.5u

Umpire Phil Cuzzi +34 units lifetime to the Under

TB +106 (F5)

T.Bradley o5.5 Ks-125

TB +110

$2200.00

TB +110

2.2u

TB +128

0.64u

Bet to +125

Featured Insight
The Rays have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- second lowest in MLB (131 games). The Red Sox have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (121 games).

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Red Sox this season -- third best in MLB. Rays hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 35% this season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Jose Caballero has an OPS of just .374 with two strikes this season -- eighth worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .298 (109 PAs) with two strikes this season -- fifth best among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Yandy Diaz is batting .342 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 40% of the time since last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 80 total SL-- 96th Percentile.

Taj Bradley has allowed an OPS of 1.484 (92 PA's) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 1.078 -- second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (53/87) against Tanner Houck this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 98th Percentile.

Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .973 (72 Total Bases / 74 ABs) when behind in the count since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .614 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	11-10	4-4	7-6	7-7	4-3
Rays	7-13	7-10	0-3	5-9	2-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	8-12-1	3-4-1	5-8	4-9-1	4-3
Rays	8-10-2	7-8-2	1-2	6-6-2	2-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	11-10	5-3	6-7	8-6	3-4
Rays	8-12	8-9	0-3	7-7	1-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 14th	TB	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BOS -125
May 13th	TB	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TB -118
May 12th	WSH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	BOS -136
May 11th	WSH	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -161
May 10th	WSH	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -219

Josh Lowe
OF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
OF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bradley, P	83	5	6	2
RP.Maton, P	14	1	1	1
RS.Armstrong, P	12	1	1	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	7	1	2	0
RK.Kelly, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	0	2
2J.Lowe, DH	1-5	0	0
3R.Arozarena, LF	0-4	0	0
4J.Aranda, 2B	0-3	1	0
4J.DeLuca, RF	0-0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	1-4	0	0
6R.Palacios, RF	1-3	1	0
6R.Palacios, 2B	1-3	1	0
7J.Caballero, SS	1-4	1	0
8B.Rortvedt, C	0-3	0	0
9J.Siri, CF	2-4	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	112	5.2	7	1
RG.Weissert, P	9	0.1	1	0
LC.Booser, P	27	2	4	0
RC.Anderson, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-3	1	0	0
2W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	1	1
3C.Wong, C	1-3	0	0	1
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
5T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Smith, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7G.Cooper, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-3	0	0	0