Royals vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 13, 2024

Royals at Mets

5:40 pm • SNY

Kansas City Royals

11-8

11 - 7

New York Mets

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Manaea			3.47	12-6
A.Marsh			4.54	9-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 11-8	+1.5-148	o8.5-102	+140
Mets 8-9	-1.5+124	u8.5-118	-166

Saturday 5:40 p.m.

April 13, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

KC +140

1.4u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-104

1.56u

S.Perez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-120

KC +140

$70.00

Featured Insight
Royals hitters had a hard-hit rate of 42% last season -- tied for sixth best in MLB. Opponents had a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Mets last season -- sixth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets hitters have an OPS of .733 since the 2022 season -- ninth best in MLB. Royals RPs have allowed an OPS of .762 (5,526 PAs) since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Mets are just 3-76 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

66% of Salvador Perez fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 73% of Sean Manaea fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

42% of Maikel Garcia strikeouts were looking last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 42% of Jake Diekman strikeouts were looking last season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 20% (32/160) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season -- 7th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 30% -- ninth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (10/37) against Alec Marsh this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- first Percentile.

Sean Manaea has a strikeout rate of 37% (64 SO in 174 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs since last season -- tied for 15th best among among 137 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% -- 89th Percentile.

Alec Marsh allowed an OPS of .968 (164 PA's) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season -- 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .688 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 12th	KC	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM -142
Apr 11th	@ATL	W 16-4	+1.5 W	O 10	NYM +140
Apr 9th	@ATL	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9.5	ATL +156
Apr 8th	@ATL	W 8-7	+1.5 W	O 10	NYM +191
Apr 7th	@CIN	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM -120

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Marsh, P	90	5	2	4
LA.Zerpa, P	16	1	1	1
RN.Anderson, P	11	1	0	0
RM.Sauer, P	18	0	0	2
RJ.Schreiber, P	8	1	1	0
RJ.McArthur, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	0-6	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-5	4	0	0
3N.Loftin, 2B	2-3	1	0	3
4S.Perez, 1B	2-5	1	1	4
5N.Velazquez, DH	2-5	1	0	1
6G.Hampson, CF	2-5	1	0	0
7F.Fermin, C	1-4	1	0	1
8H.Renfroe, RF	2-4	1	0	2
9D.Blanco, LF	0-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	89	3.2	4	6
RC.Sulser, P	43	1.2	2	3
RJ.Lopez, P	11	0.2	0	0
LJ.Diekman, P	12	1	1	0
LT. Jay, P	19	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-4	1	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	3-5	2	1	1
3F.Lindor, SS	0-4	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	3-3	2	2	3
5B.Baty, 3B	0-4	1	0	1
6D.Stewart, DH	1-2	0	0	1
6T.Taylor, PH	0-1	0	0	1
6T.Taylor, DH	0-1	0	0	1
7J.McNeil, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8O.Narvaez, C	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Wendle, 2B	2-4	0	0	0