Royals vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2024

Royals at Orioles

8:08 pm • ESPN2

Kansas City Royals

2-0

1 - 0

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burnes			1.13	0-1
C.Ragans			0.90	1-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 2-0	+1.5	+1.5-185	o7+100	+124
Orioles 0-2	u7	-1.5+154	u7-120	-148

Tuesday 8:08 p.m.

October 01, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

C.Burnes u4.5 Ks (Live)+108

0.54u

KC +122

2.44u

Bobby

Over 3.5 (F5)-102

2.04u

Over 3.5 (F5)-105

Over 7+105

🔑 BAL/KC o7 runs +105 (Caesars) 2u That value is so good. The Os bats have heated up and both bullpens are not good. An easy path to 8 runs even with these pitchers starting. Public is all over the under here, fading it.

C.Ragans u6.5 Ks-166

0.5u

BAL -148

0.5u

BAL -142 (F5)

0.5u

KC +126

1.26u

C.Burnes o5.5 Ks+144

BAL -143

$1000.00

Over 6.5-115

1.15u

G.Henderson o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

1.05u

KC +130

0.65u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found in the MoneylineSharps Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/zkcR4EnvbW

Under 3.5 (F5)-120

Sura

BAL -144

2.88u

Under 3.5 (F5)-122

Full breakdown on YouTube. Player Prop Savant YouTube channel

Under 6.5-105

KC +0.5 (F5)-124

Sandy

KC +124

1.24u

Avery

KC +0.5 (F5)-124

Under 7-120

0.83u

#ProSystem High scoring teams postseason Overall: 70-24-4,74% (ROI:43%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Under 6.5+100

Johnny

Under 7-106

0.94u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found in the MoneylineSharps Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/zkcR4EnvbW

C.Burnes o17.5 Outs-130

0.77u

KC +140

4.2u

T.Pham u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

BAL -150

1.5u

Over 3.5 (F5)+100

#ProSystem Overs with wind postseason (F5) Overall: 153-85-7,64% (ROI:26%)

Featured Insight
The Royals are batting .316 with RISP over the last week -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .450 (9-for-20) against Orioles RPs with RISP over the last week -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles won 62% of their games last season -- second best in MLB. Royals won just 35% of their games last season -- second worst.

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The Orioles are 78-7 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

MJ Melendez has an OPS of just .700 since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Corbin Burnes has allowed an OPS of just .607 (2,365 PAs) since the 2022 season -- eighth best among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Colton Cowser has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 29% this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (473/732) since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% -- 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 67% of the time (331/496) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	0-2	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Royals	3-3	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	@MIN	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +110
Sep 28th	@MIN	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL +101
Sep 28th	@MIN	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8	BAL +124
Sep 26th	@NYY	L 1-10	+1.5 L	O 8	NYY +142
Sep 25th	@NYY	W 9-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL +110

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LC.Ragans, P	80	6	8
LS.Long, P	10	1	0
LK.Bubic, P	20	0.2	0
RL.Erceg, P	23	1.1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Massey, 2B	1-4	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	0	1
3V.Pasquantino, DH	0-3	0	0
4S.Perez, C	1-4	0	0
5Y.Gurriel, 1B	1-3	0	0
6M.Melendez, LF	0-3	0	0
6G.Hampson, LF	0-0	0	0
7T.Pham, RF	0-3	0	0
8K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0
9M.Garcia, 3B	1-2	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	84	8	3	1
RC.Burnes, P	84	8	3	1
LK.Akin, P	13	0.2	0	0
RS.Dominguez, P	3	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Westburg, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, C	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7R.Urias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7H.Kjerstad, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	2-3	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	0-2	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, PH	0-1	0	0	0