Royals vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2023

Royals at Twins

6:10 pm • BSN

Kansas City Royals

10-7

3 - 2

Minnesota Twins

6-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.43	8-6
B.Keller			4.57	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 10-7	+1.5-105	o8.5-112	+199
Twins 6-7	-1.5-115	u8.5-109	-250

Saturday 6:10 p.m.

April 29, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

KC +205

2.05u

KC +201

0.6u

KC +180 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +170

Under 8-105

0.95u

KC +190

0.95u

Bet to +173. BetRivers has a +205 You should bet instead. They also have Royals F5 (+185) which you can bet down to +170. Put them out of business for me. Their trading room is a clown car

The Royals were 30-33 (.476) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 in 2022 -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.

The Royals are just 4-1 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Twins are 7-0 (1.000) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .584.

Carlos Correa is batting just .158 at home this season -- tied for 14th worst among hitters with at least 36 total PA's-- sixth Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .182 (10-for-55) against Brad Keller on the road this season -- eighth best among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

80% of non-fastball strikeouts for Donovan Solano are located out of the zone since last season -- ninth highest among hitters with at least 279 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 77% of Brad Keller non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 73% of the time (961/1,315) since the 2021 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.

Brad Keller has walked 19 of 108 batters (18%) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- first Percentile.

Brad Keller has thrown his fastball for a strike just 53% (133/252) of the time this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	KC	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 8	MIN -300
Apr 27th	KC	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -215
Apr 26th	NYY	L 6-12	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYY -105
Apr 25th	NYY	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 6.5	MIN -127
Apr 24th	NYY	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -162

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Keller, P	92	5.1	4	1
RJ.Cuas, P	15	0.2	0	0
RT.Clarke, P	14	1	0	1
LA.Chapman, P	10	1	2	0
RS.Barlow, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Witt, SS	0-4	1	0
2V.Pasquantino, 1B	0-3	0	0
2J. Bradley, PR	0-0	0	0
2J. Bradley, RF	0-0	0	0
3M.Melendez, C	0-5	0	0
4S.Perez, DH	1-4	0	1
4H. Dozier, PR	0-0	0	0
4H. Dozier, DH	0-0	0	0
5N.Pratto, RF	2-3	0	0
5N.Pratto, 1B	2-3	0	0
6K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0
7E.Olivares, LF	2-3	2	0
8M.Massey, 2B	0-3	0	0
9N.Lopez, 3B	1-3	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	88	5.2	6	1
LC.Thielbar, P	22	1.1	0	0
RG.Jax, P	15	0.2	0	1
RJ.Lopez, P	16	0.1	0	0
RJ.Duran, P	25	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	2-3	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	2-4	0	0	0
2W.Castro, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	2-5	0	0	0
4B.Buxton, DH	1-4	2	1	1
5T.Larnach, LF	1-5	0	0	0
6J.Miranda, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-4	0	0	0