Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2025

Twins at Guardians

10:10 pm • MNNT

Minnesota Twins

12-16

11 - 1

Cleveland Guardians

15-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Williams			4.15	2-1
B.Ober			5.04	2-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 12-16	+1.5	+1.5-198	o8-117	+105
Guardians 15-12	u8	-1.5+167	u8-105	-125

Monday 10:10 p.m.

April 28, 2025

Progressive FieldCleveland

MIN +0.5 (F5)-140

0.54u

CLE -120

Twins can't win on the road – just 3-10 away this season, batting an ugly .188 with 2.92 R/9. Guardians strong at home – 8-4 record, offense jumps to 4.14 R/9. Gavin Williams (2-0, 2.38 ERA home) thrives at Progressive Field, Twins have lost 7 of last 8 here. Bailey Ober’s road nightmares – 9.35 ERA, 1.96 WHIP in 8.2 IP away. Guardians bullpen edge – 2.89 ERA vs Twins’ 3.65 bullpen ERA season-long. Cleveland better vs RHP – .238 AVG compared to Twins’ .232. Guardians’ offense has enough pop to expose Ober's road splits. Twins' brutal trend: 20 losses in last 26 road games. Home momentum, bullpen depth, starting pitching tilt to CLE.

E.Julien o1.5 Total Bases+185

1.11u

B.Naylor o0.5 Doubles+600

0.2u

K.Manzardo o0.5 Doubles+500

0.2u

G.Williams u5.5 Ks-102

0.98u

Have him projected for 5.45 strikeouts. Pitchers in that range for me have gone under 5.5 at a rate around 60%.

C.Correa o1.5 RBI+650

0.2u

C.Correa o1.5 Hits+275

1.38u

CLE -130

1.3u

CLE PK-107

1.07u

CLE -120

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CLE -110

0.55u

Bet to -121

Twins vs. Guardians: The Clear Side to Bet
John Feltman•
Apr 28, 2025 UTC
Zerillo's Monday MLB Predictions
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 28, 2025 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 6-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Guardians' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	12-15	6-6	6-9	6-3	6-11
Twins	14-14	10-5	4-9	12-9	2-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	14-11-2	6-6	8-5-2	5-4	9-6-2
Twins	10-15-3	5-9-1	5-6-2	8-11-2	2-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	15-12	8-4	7-8	8-1	7-10
Twins	12-16	9-6	3-10	11-10	1-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	BOS	L 3-13	+1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS +100
Apr 26th	BOS	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS +102
Apr 26th	BOS	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -105
Apr 23rd	NYY	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYY +144
Apr 22nd	NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE -120

Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
SP
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out
Lane Thomas
CF
Thomas is out with wrist
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Willi Castro
2B
Castro is out with oblique
Out
Royce Lewis
3B
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P		102	7.2	2	1
RJ.Alcala, P		20	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	1-5	1	1	1
2B.Buxton, CF	2-5	1	0	2
2B.Lee, SS	0-0	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	2-4	1	0	0
3K.Clemens, PH	1-1	1	0	0
3K.Clemens, 1B	1-1	1	0	0
4T.Larnach, RF	1-5	1	0	0
5T.France, 1B	2-4	1	0	2
5D.Keirsey, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Keirsey, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6R.Jeffers, C	2-4	2	1	3
7M.Gasper, DH	2-5	1	0	1
8J.Bride, 3B	3-5	1	0	1
9H.Bader, LF	1-4	1	0	1
9H.Bader, CF	1-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Williams, P	61	2	2	4
RJ.Junis, P	31	2	1	0
RP.Sewald, P	15	0.2	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	18	0.1	0	2
RC.Bolton, P	40	2	1	3
RW.Wilson, P	26	2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-3	0	0
1D.Schneemann, 3B	1-1	0	0
2N.Jones, CF	0-4	0	0
2N.Jones, LF	0-4	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-3	0	0
3A.Martinez, CF	0-1	0	0
4K.Manzardo, DH	1-4	0	0
4K.Manzardo, 1B	1-4	0	0
5C.Santana, 1B	2-3	0	0
6G.Arias, 2B	1-4	1	0
7B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0
7A.Hedges, C	0-1	0	0
8J.Noel, RF	1-4	0	1
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-4	0	0