Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2023
Twins at Guardians
11:10 pm • Apple TV+Starting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 5.19 | 0-5 | |
![]() | ![]() | 3.43 | 8-6 |
Twins at Guardians Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Twins 8-10 | -1.5+132 | o8.5-122 | -122 | |
![]() Guardians 8-12 | +1.5-162 | u8.5+105 | +100 |

Progressive FieldCleveland
Twins vs. Guardians Expert Picks

Shady Biev
680d ago
Last 30d: 129-157-1 (-52.4u)
MIN +105 (Live)
1.05u

Prop Bet Guy
680d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
P.Battenfield u4.5 Ks-118
1.18u
14 K in 17.1 MLB innings this season - 109 K in 153.2 IP in AAA last season. Not a K pitcher - and coming off a 45 pitch relief outing. He was built up to 90+ before that, but odds are he isn’t pushed too hard today.
MIN does have some K risk in the lineup, but they did just option Larnach. Gallo now the only real fear (although he has been better this season).
But MIN’s offense starting to pick up the heat too - over the L2 weeks they are 8th in wRC+ vs RHP, 8th in OPS and 7th in ISO. Battenfield has been hit incredibly hard in his limited time in the majors - I see more of that today.

Mjaybrod
680d ago
Last 30d: 97-94-0 (-2.6u)
Over 8.5-115
1u

Jim Sannes
680d ago
Last 30d: 2-24-0 (-7.5u)
MIN -126
0.95u
Available at FanDuel. This number has moved overnight, but I'm still showing value at -126. My model has the Twins at 59.5% to win, up from 55.8% implied at -126. Bailey Ober isn't a big name, but he has proven to be capable with a 3.95 SIERA across 33 career starts. Peyton Battenfield on the other side is a low-strikeout, fly-ball pitcher, which can be a rough combination. I agree with the model in that the Twins are values here.

Sean Zerillo
681d ago
Last 30d: 27-38-0 (-1.8u)
Under 8.5-105
0.5u
Bet to -116
CLE +115
0.5u
Bet to +108
Twins vs. Guardians Previews & Analysis
Twins vs. Guardians Notes
Keys to the Game
The Twins are 84-3 (.966) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Max Fried allowed an OBP of just .168 (369 PA's) with two-strikes in 2022 -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .238 -- 99th Percentile.
19 of Max Fried's breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 -- 4th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 93rd Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Twins vs. Guardians Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Guardians vs. Twins Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries
- Shane BieberP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
- John MeansP
Means is out with elbow
Out
- David FryC
Fry is out with elbow
Out
- Daniel EspinoP
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Twins Injuries
Twins vs. Guardians Box Score

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 91 | 7 | 6 | 0 | |
![]() | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 91 | 7 | 7 | 2 | |
![]() | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Twins vs. Guardians Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Twins at Guardians Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Twins 8-10 | N/A | N/A |
![]() Guardians 8-12 | N/A | N/A |