Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2023

Twins at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

Minnesota Twins

8-10

3 - 4

Cleveland Guardians

8-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Allen			3.81	7-8
S.Gray			2.79	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 8-10	-1.5+159	o7.5+100	-110
Guardians 8-12	+1.5-191	u7.5-120	-110

Saturday 10:10 p.m.

May 06, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 7.5-120

L.Allen o5.5 Ks-130

CLE -112

Over 7.5+100

0.5u

CLE -110

0.91u

L.Allen o5.5 Ks-135

2.03u

8 K’s in each of his 1st two starts (both against teams in the bottom half of K% vs LHP) - now gets MIN who is 2nd (29.9%) and 27th in wRC+. Lefties are 5/5 on this line vs MIN this season.

CLE -105

CLE +106

2.12u

Past plus money makes this worth a little more than 1U

CLE +100

0.4u

CLE +100

0.5u

Need +100 or better

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Action Network Staff•
May 6, 2023 UTC

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The Twins are 9-8 (.529) on the road this season -- tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The Guardians are just 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

Sonny Gray has struck out 36% (31/85) of right-handed batters he faced this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 97th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray's pitches (357/702) with two-strikes since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

Logan Allen had a strikeout rate of 36% (16/45) over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) -- 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 96th Percentile.

Logan Allen threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 77% (27/35) of opposing batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) -- tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN +100
May 3rd	@NYY	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYY -120
May 2nd	@NYY	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7	NYY +132
May 1st	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE +108
Apr 30th	@BOS	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 9	BOS +105

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	90	5	6	3
RJ.Alcala, P	29	2	3	1
LJ. Moran, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Buxton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	1	1
4D.Solano, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Kirilloff, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Miranda, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
6M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	1	2
7W.Castro, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8R.Jeffers, C	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Gallo, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-1	0	0	0
9N.Gordon, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9N.Gordon, CF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	92	5.2	3	2
RJ.Karinchak, P	6	0.1	1	0
RT.Stephan, P	17	1.1	2	1
LS.Hentges, P	12	0.2	2	0
RE.Clase, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2A.Rosario, SS	0-3	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4J.Naylor, DH	1-4	1	0	1
5J.Bell, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
5W.Brennan, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Arias, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Arias, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8M. Zunino, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	0-2	0	0	1