Twins vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 3, 2023
Twins at Marlins
10:40 pm • BSFLStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 6.02 | 1-4 | |
 |  | 3.16 | 1-2 |
Twins at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Twins 0-0 | -1.5+130 | o8-115 | -126 | |
Marlins 0-0 | +1.5-158 | u8-105 | +106 | |
loanDepot parkMiami
Twins vs. Marlins Expert Picks
Shady Biev
634d ago
Last 30d: 191-206-6 (+30.6u)
T.Mahle o4.5 Ks-122
1u
Mjaybrod
634d ago
Last 30d: 159-143-0 (+17.7u)
MIA +105
1u
Capper Central
634d ago
Last 30d: 54-44-0 (+2.4u)
MIN -120
$62.50
Still playing mlb small, but upgrading to .75U
Tanner McGrath
634d ago
Last 30d: 118-90-6 (+9.8u)
MIN -120
0.5u
Fading my #Fish… Woe is me
Green Dot Daily
634d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
MIN -122
0.82u
#charliedisturco @charliedisturco
Joe Dellera
634d ago
Last 30d: 64-71-6 (+1.7u)
T.Mahle o4.5 Ks-129
0.16u
Milly Props
634d ago
Last 30d: 2-5-1 (-3.3u)
T.Mahle o4.5 Ks-105
0.95u
Sean Zerillo
634d ago
Last 30d: 23-35-0 (-1.4u)
MIN -125 (F5)
0.5u
Need -125 or better. Line also at Wynn
Shady Biev
635d ago
Last 30d: 191-206-6 (+30.6u)
MIN -125
1u
Anders
635d ago
Last 30d: 21-26-0 (-4.8u)
Over 7.5-115
1u
BJ Cunningham
635d ago
Last 30d: 5-8-1 (-6.5u)
MIN -130 (F5)
1u
Twins vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Twins vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Twins are just 15-129 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
Matchup Contrasts
Yuli Gurriel had a miss rate of only 11% on elevated fastballs last season -- sixth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Tyler Mahle located his fastball up 58% of the time last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (74/396) against Johnny Cueto on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season -- 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- fifth Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 32% (103/326) against Tyler Mahle on low breaking pitches in 2022 -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% -- second Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (23/155) versus Tyler Mahle on fastballs in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Twins vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Marlins vs. Twins Injury Updates
Marlins Injuries
- Sandy AlcantaraP
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Max MeyerP
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Twins Injuries
- Jose MirandaIF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
- Trevor LarnachOF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
- Joe RyanP
Ryan is out with triceps
Out
Twins vs. Marlins Box Score
Twins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 83 | 5 | 7 | 1 | |
 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
 | 80 | 5 | 0 | 4 | |
 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Twins vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Twins at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Twins 0-0 | N/A | N/A |
Marlins 0-0 | N/A | N/A |