Twins vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 4, 2023

Twins at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Minnesota Twins

0-0

0 - 1

Miami Marlins

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	+1.5-172	o7-115	+132
Marlins 0-0	-1.5+142	u7-105	-160

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

April 04, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

K.Maeda o1.5 BB-121

0.15u

Over 3.5 (F5)-105

0.53u

Bet to -115

MIA -145

0.69u

MIN +125

MIN +130

0.5u

Bet to +123

Under 7-110

0.91u

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The Marlins are just 104-18 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.

The Marlins are just 50-89 (.360) vs the 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season -- 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.

The Twins are just 15-129 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Twins are just 64-61 (.512) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.

32% of Max Kepler strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- 14th highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. 38% of Sandy Alcantara's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has thrown off-speed pitches 70% of the time (1,934/2,761) since the 2020 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% -- 100th Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 72% (1,027/1,420) against right-handed batters in 2022 -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 54% (333/620) against Sandy Alcantara in 2022 -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 93rd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 3rd	MIN	L 1-11	+1.5 L	O 8	MIN +106
Apr 2nd	NYM	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8	NYM +100
Apr 1st	NYM	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -114
Mar 31st	NYM	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA -110
Mar 30th	NYM	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 7	NYM +108

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	79	5	9	1
RE.Pagan, P	26	2	2	0
LJ. Moran, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Gordon, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3T.Larnach, RF	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Gallo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6D.Solano, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7W.Castro, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P		100	9	5	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3G.Cooper, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Garcia, RF	1-3	1	1	1
6B.De La Cruz, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7J. Segura, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Stallings, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Berti, SS	1-3	0	0	0