Bulls vs. Wizards Odds & Betting Predictions - November 27, 2024

This number was at 33.5 not too long ago after the Jordan Poole out news but has since dropped to 32.5. I like the -105 odds at this number so jumping on it. A scary fade given this is the nut matchup. Bulls have a bottom-3 defense and allow the most points per game (123.9), most assists per game (30.5) and 4th most rebounds per game (46.6). Still, projections have him at a 29 PRA over 32 minutes. In a neutral matchup my projections have him at 27.7 PRA over a 36-minutes projection, and I’d consider that on the high end of a minute projection. The question is, how much does this matchup boost him? For the season he’s averaging a 24.4 PRA and with Poole out the last two games, he’s averaging just 1.5 potential assists and 6 rebound chances. This matchup will boost those chances but the addition of Kyshawn George into the starting lineup and return of Malcolm Brogdon might be taking away some RA chances here. Playing for half a unit to account for the variance of this matchup, but my projections suggest it’s worth a shot on the Under 32.5 PRA at these odds.

⚙️SYSTEMS Overall: 55-27-2,67% (ROI:28%) Season:7-1-1,88% (ROI:60%) Overall: 53-32-1,62% (ROI:20%) Season:7-2-1,78% (ROI:44%) Overall: 59-25-1,70% (ROI:34%) Season:10-3-0,77% (ROI:47%) Overall: 52-22-1,70% (ROI:34%) Season:4-1-1,80% (ROI:43%) Overall: 57-32-1,64% (ROI:23%) Season:11-5-1,69% (ROI:30%) Overall: 65-36-1,64% (ROI:24%) Season:9-4-1,69% (ROI:30%) Overall: 64-33-0,66% (ROI:27%) Season:12-6-0,67% (ROI:27%)

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The Chicago Bulls are still alive in the NBA Cup Group play and get a matchup against the Washington Wizards on Tuesday night. One player that has thrived in this matchup and I expect to continue doing so is Zach LaVine. LaVine has averaged 27.7 ppg against Washington over the last few seasons with 25+ points in 5/6 games. Even this season, LaVine has played 30+ minutes in all but one game and in those 14 games he is averaging 23.3 ppg while exceeding this line in 9/14 including six of his last seven games. This game is an ultimate Pace up spot with Chicago playing at the second-fasted Pace in the league and Washington at the fourth-fastest. Couple this with Washington having the league’s worst defense and this sets up for plenty of LaVine points. I’ll grab LaVine to exceed 22.5 Points.

MGM