Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2023

Celtics at Heat

12:30 am • TNT

Boston Celtics

3-4

104

104 - 103

Miami Heat

4-3

103

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Celtics 3-4	-2-109	o209-110	-125
Heat 4-3	+2-111	u209-110	+105

Sunday 12:30 a.m.

May 28, 2023

Kaseya CenterMiami

J.Butler o28.5 Pts-108

1.08u

A.Horford o6.5 Rebs+100

$50.00

Tailing VSauce

BOS -130

0.77u

MIA +115

$50.00

Under 208.5-105

J.Tatum o3.5 3pt M+185

0.25u

J.Tatum o4.5 3pt M+500

0.25u

J.Tatum o2.5 3pt M-150

0.5u

J.Brown u5.5 Rebs+116

9 REB in Game 1 because MIA abused double-big targeting Time Lord in PnR, where JB would be left to grab rebound. Since the lineup change, JB has been positioned to defend Gabe/Strus on the perimeter & avg. 4.0 RPG on 7.8 chances (11.6 in reg). Doing so, can allow him to lead transition on TOVs. 7 of the 16 (44%) REB have been offensive, showing there’s been luck. #PlayerProps

G.Williams o7.5 Pts-105

D.Robinson u8.5 Pts-115

1.15u

Gets 6+ extra MIN in blowouts. Close game = 📉 12-16 MIN tonight. Butler should command more USG, & Vincent is back. Needs to be on fire or else unplayable. Can’t hide him on D bc it costly. #PlayerProps

MIA +125

K.Love u9.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-142

1.42u

Love has been unplayable this series. It would be crazy if he gets the start tonight. I see either Caleb or Highsmith over him. Last game he got 10 of his 12 PRA in garbage time. Expect this game to be close all 48 MIN. #PlayerProps

Under 210.5-110

B.Adebayo u17.5 Pts-115

0.87u

This is our highest NBA points edge on our FTN Model at FTNBets.com!

J.Brown u32.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-106

1.59u

Easy call to run this back. Was objectively better last game, but still only managed 25 PRA in 37 minutes, on strong shooting numbers, with a solid 28% usage rate. I don’t see a path for Brown to incur more usage - if things get tense, Tatum has been the guy all playoffs. And Brown just isn’t seeing the potential assists or rebounds - you could argue he’s 4th in line for each when he’s on the court. Series shifting back to Miami. Expect the Heat to look to make this a rock fight. A slower/halfcourt game favors Tatum.

Under 210-110

BOS -3-110

2.2u

Going down with the ship. See you in Boston for Game 7.

Under 210.5-110

J.Butler o28.5 Pts-120

Under 210.5-110

1.45u

M.Smart o2.5 3pt M+160

1.6u

BOS -3-110

1.1u

G.Williams o9.5 Pts+200

0.5u

G.Williams o7.5 Pts+100

Best Bets: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-odds-best-bets-expert-picks-celtics-vs-heat-predictions-may-27

J.Butler u6.5 Ast-162

0.65u

Getting down what I can - only at 9.3 potentials per game. Under in the last 4.

BOS -1.5 (1H)-109

1.47u

-104

Under 103.5 (1H)-114

1.6u

NBA First Basket Prop: Tatum, Smart Have Value in Game 6
NBA First Basket•
May 27, 2023 UTC
Celtics vs. Heat Props: 2 Rebounding Props for Game 6
Tyler Schmidt•
May 27, 2023 UTC
Anderson's ECF Betting Card: Pressure Is Building in Game 6
Brandon Anderson•
May 27, 2023 UTC
Our Staff's Best Bets for Celtics vs. Heat Game 6
Action Network Staff•
May 27, 2023 UTC

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Heat are 24-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Heat' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Heat' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	40-39-3	16-25	24-14-3	23-21-3	17-18
Celtics	42-36-4	23-17-1	19-19-3	41-34-4	1-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Heat	35-47	21-20	14-27	23-24	12-23
Celtics	43-38-1	22-19	21-19-1	42-36-1	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	1-4	N/A	N/A	35-12	11-24
Celtics	16-3	N/A	N/A	63-16	1-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 26th	@BOS	L 97-110	+8.5 L	U 215	BOS +250
May 24th	BOS	L 99-116	-1.5 L	U 216.5	BOS -120
May 22nd	BOS	W 128-102	+4.5 W	O 214	MIA +150
May 20th	@BOS	W 111-105	+9.5 W	O 214.5	MIA +350
May 18th	@BOS	W 123-116	+8.5 W	O 212.5	MIA +305

Josh Richardson
PG
Richardson is out with heel
Out
Terry Rozier
PG
Terry Rozier (knee) out Monday.
Out

Kevin Love
SF
Kevin Love (back) probable Wednesday.
Probable
Jimmy Butler
SF
Jimmy Butler (illness) out Monday.
Out

Jayson Tatum
SF
Jayson Tatum (illness) questionable Monday.
Questionable

See more NBA Injuries

scoring
Jimmy Butler
24
ppg
rebounding
-
15
rpg
assists
Jimmy Butler
8
apg
shooting
-
53.8
fg%

Celtics

Heat

34-77 (44%)

Field Goals

33-93 (35%)

29-34 (85%)

Free Throws

23-29 (79%)

7-35 (20%)

14-30 (47%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Celtics 3-4	N/A	N/A
Heat 4-3	N/A	N/A

Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2023

Celtics at Heat

Boston Celtics

Miami Heat

Celtics at Heat Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Celtics vs. Heat Previews & Analysis

NBA First Basket Prop: Tatum, Smart Have Value in Game 6

Celtics vs. Heat Props: 2 Rebounding Props for Game 6

Anderson's ECF Betting Card: Pressure Is Building in Game 6

Our Staff's Best Bets for Celtics vs. Heat Game 6

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Celtics vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages

Celtics

Public

Heat

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Heat vs. Celtics Injury Updates

Heat Injuries

Celtics Injuries

Celtics vs. Heat Odds Comparison

Celtics at Heat Team Totals