Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2023

Celtics at Heat

12:30 am • TNT

Boston Celtics

3-4

104

104 - 103

Miami Heat

4-3

103

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Celtics 3-4	-2-109	o209-110	-125
Heat 4-3	+2-111	u209-110	+105

Sunday 12:30 a.m.

May 28, 2023

Kaseya CenterMiami

J.Butler o28.5 Pts-108

1.08u

A.Horford o6.5 Rebs+100

$50.00

Tailing VSauce

BOS -130

0.77u

MIA +115

$50.00

Under 208.5-105

J.Tatum o4.5 3pt M+500

0.25u

J.Tatum o3.5 3pt M+185

0.25u

J.Tatum o2.5 3pt M-150

0.5u

J.Brown u5.5 Rebs+116

9 REB in Game 1 because MIA abused double-big targeting Time Lord in PnR, where JB would be left to grab rebound. Since the lineup change, JB has been positioned to defend Gabe/Strus on the perimeter & avg. 4.0 RPG on 7.8 chances (11.6 in reg). Doing so, can allow him to lead transition on TOVs. 7 of the 16 (44%) REB have been offensive, showing there’s been luck. #PlayerProps

G.Williams o7.5 Pts-105

J.Butler o13.5 Rebs+Ast-115

D.Robinson u8.5 Pts-115

1.15u

Gets 6+ extra MIN in blowouts. Close game = 📉 12-16 MIN tonight. Butler should command more USG, & Vincent is back. Needs to be on fire or else unplayable. Can’t hide him on D bc it costly. #PlayerProps

MIA +125

K.Love u9.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-142

1.42u

Love has been unplayable this series. It would be crazy if he gets the start tonight. I see either Caleb or Highsmith over him. Last game he got 10 of his 12 PRA in garbage time. Expect this game to be close all 48 MIN. #PlayerProps

Under 210.5-110

B.Adebayo u17.5 Pts-115

0.87u

This is our highest NBA points edge on our FTN Model at FTNBets.com!

J.Brown u32.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-106

1.59u

Easy call to run this back. Was objectively better last game, but still only managed 25 PRA in 37 minutes, on strong shooting numbers, with a solid 28% usage rate. I don’t see a path for Brown to incur more usage - if things get tense, Tatum has been the guy all playoffs. And Brown just isn’t seeing the potential assists or rebounds - you could argue he’s 4th in line for each when he’s on the court. Series shifting back to Miami. Expect the Heat to look to make this a rock fight. A slower/halfcourt game favors Tatum.

Under 210-110

BOS -3-110

2.2u

Going down with the ship. See you in Boston for Game 7.

Under 210.5-110

J.Butler o28.5 Pts-120

Under 210.5-110

1.45u

M.Smart o2.5 3pt M+160

1.6u

BOS -3-110

1.1u

G.Williams o9.5 Pts+200

0.5u

G.Williams o7.5 Pts+100

Best Bets: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-odds-best-bets-expert-picks-celtics-vs-heat-predictions-may-27

J.Butler u6.5 Ast-162

0.65u

Getting down what I can - only at 9.3 potentials per game. Under in the last 4.

BOS -1.5 (1H)-109

1.47u

-104

Under 103.5 (1H)-114

1.6u

NBA First Basket Prop: Tatum, Smart Have Value in Game 6
NBA First Basket•
May 27, 2023 UTC
Celtics vs. Heat Props: 2 Rebounding Props for Game 6
Tyler Schmidt•
May 27, 2023 UTC
Anderson's ECF Betting Card: Pressure Is Building in Game 6
Brandon Anderson•
May 27, 2023 UTC
Our Staff's Best Bets for Celtics vs. Heat Game 6
Action Network Staff•
May 27, 2023 UTC

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Heat are 24-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Heat' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Heat' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	40-39-3	16-25	24-14-3	23-21-3	17-18
Celtics	42-36-4	23-17-1	19-19-3	41-34-4	1-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Heat	35-47	21-20	14-27	23-24	12-23
Celtics	43-38-1	22-19	21-19-1	42-36-1	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	1-4	N/A	N/A	35-12	11-24
Celtics	16-3	N/A	N/A	63-16	1-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 26th	@BOS	L 97-110	+8.5 L	U 215	BOS +250
May 24th	BOS	L 99-116	-1.5 L	U 216.5	BOS -120
May 22nd	BOS	W 128-102	+4.5 W	O 214	MIA +150
May 20th	@BOS	W 111-105	+9.5 W	O 214.5	MIA +350
May 18th	@BOS	W 123-116	+8.5 W	O 212.5	MIA +305

Josh Richardson
PG
Richardson is questionable with heel
Questionable

Terry Rozier
PG
Terry Rozier (foot) out Monday.
Out
Jaime Jaquez
SG
Jaquez is questionable with ankle
Questionable

Al Horford
C
Al Horford (illness) out Friday.
Out
Kristaps Porziņģis
SF
Porziņģis is out with knee
Out

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scoring
Jimmy Butler
24
ppg
rebounding
-
15
rpg
assists
Jimmy Butler
8
apg
shooting
-
53.8
fg%

Celtics

Heat

34-77 (44%)

Field Goals

33-93 (35%)

29-34 (85%)

Free Throws

23-29 (79%)

7-35 (20%)

14-30 (47%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Celtics 3-4	N/A	N/A
Heat 4-3	N/A	N/A

Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2023

Celtics at Heat

Boston Celtics

Miami Heat

Celtics at Heat Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Celtics vs. Heat Previews & Analysis

NBA First Basket Prop: Tatum, Smart Have Value in Game 6

Celtics vs. Heat Props: 2 Rebounding Props for Game 6

Anderson's ECF Betting Card: Pressure Is Building in Game 6

Our Staff's Best Bets for Celtics vs. Heat Game 6

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Celtics vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages

Celtics

Public

Heat

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Heat vs. Celtics Injury Updates

Heat Injuries

Celtics Injuries

Celtics vs. Heat Odds Comparison

Celtics at Heat Team Totals