Heat vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - May 20, 2023

Not for this series. Jimmy will pick on him in drop & attack on PnR. 18/21 PRs came in 1st half before MIA made adj. Bam will be on him most of the game, & will box-out to prevent REB. MIA allow 2nd fewest REB vs. C. #PlayerProps

Two biggest takeaways: Mazzulla wants more attention guarding 3PT, & Lowry increased MIN = more facilitating. Gabe takes 60.3% of shots from 3PT, & U2.5 3PM is -200. Hits in 23/25 games >25+ MIN but less than 3 3PM. #GamblingTwitter

@HPBasketball

This series favors C. Martin more than him. 16 MIN last game. Under in 10 of 12 < 19 MIN. Began Game 1 on floor-spacer Horford, getting him further away from rim. He converted on 75% reb chances (57.6% avg. in playoffs). #PlayerProps

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-today-the-gabe-vincent-bet-for-heat-vs-celtics-game-2-may-19

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Going big on Bam - had a complemental 20 pts to Jimmys big game. Jimmy could of course go off again, but Bam was featured much more prominently than he was vs the Knicks. Involved in much more PnR action and more post-ups (5) than in the NYK series (averaged 1.7 post up per game). And still a spot he can get some easy putbacks. BOS was weak bs PnR roll men this season, and I don’t see them adjusting to protect against it (would be at expense of Butler - he’ll likely be where adjustments are made). I’m playing Bam two ways because I also do see some involvement for him as a passer. BOS can rotate quickly onto him (Tatum will crash in usually) and could create more assists spots as well. I have him at 22/4.

@wheatonbrando

Might be a pod if line stays Likely throwing .75U live so kids don’t cry they can only get -9.5