Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Odds & Betting Predictions - March 15, 2025

Memphis catching points at home is rare, but this spot favors them. Cleveland is riding a 15-game win streak, but they’re missing key pieces—Mitchell, Hunter, and Jerome—all crucial on both ends. The Grizzlies are 24-10 at home and have won four straight, with Morant playing clutch down the stretch. Cleveland barely escaped Brooklyn, showing cracks. Grizzlies' offense thrives in transition—47.6 RPG (4th), generating second-chance points and attacking inside. Cleveland’s defense is elite (111.4 PPG allowed), but they struggle on the glass (43.1 RPG). Memphis scored 123 in their last meeting with Cleveland, keeping it close despite a loss. Morant (10 APG vs. CLE) and Jackson Jr. (49.7% FG), if he returns, can exploit mismatches. Memphis has struggled to put teams away, but Cleveland’s fatigue and injuries even the playing field. The Cavs are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight vs. Memphis and have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. Memphis is due for a breakout home performance, and with Morant leading the charge, they get the job done.

Via @gneiffer07

The Cavaliers and the Memphis Grizzlies face off again after a thriller a few weeks ago. Today’s matchup is a bit different as the Cavs will be without Donovan Mitchell but he will be replaced by Darius Garland who missed the last matchup. Mitchell went off for 33 points and 6 assists and had plenty of opportunity in a fast Paced game. The Grizzlies may be without one of the best defensive players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr, and even if he does play, you’d imagine he might be limited after missing the last week and a half with an ankle injury. Garland has cooked without Mitchell this season. He is averaging 26.6 points and 8.2 assists per game. His scoring jumps from 29 to 37 points per 100 and the assists climb from 9.2 to 11.8 with a Usage bump of about 28%, per PBPstats. It’s theoretically a tough matchup against Memphis; however, Garland becomes the clear head of the snake without Mitchell and he should thrive in this fast-Paced game.

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Donovan Mitchell is OUT so Hunter should be starting here & see 27+ minutes. Matchup doesn’t get much better for him here as Memphis allows a high catch & shoot frequency, plays fast, and fouls a ton. Hunter has a 48% C&S 3P% since joining CLE and has been great in transition. He also draws a ton of fouls so he should get a good amount of FTAs where he shoots 86%.

With Mitchell/LeVert off the floor this season, Mobley averages 5.32 assists per 36 minutes and sees the biggest bump in assist% (+9.9%) on the Cavs. 36 minutes is about what I’d project for him in this matchup. Great matchup against the Grizzlies. Post all star break, they play at the 5th fastest pace and allow the 9th-most assists. Great spot for C&S as well, and Mobley picks up nearly 60% of his assists from beyond arc. Had 52 passes and 13 potential assists in the last game without Mitchell vs the Nets. 50+ passes and 10+ potentials in 3/L4 without Mitchell. Elite volume for this line, and definitely some opportunity for a little ladder. 🪜

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