Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds & Betting Predictions - November 16, 2024

Jaylen Wells has been a solid role player for Memphis, but his ability to rack up steals has been limited this season. He’s stayed under 0.5 steals in 8 of his 12 games, and even in the games where he has managed a steal, he’s never notched more than one. Tonight’s matchup against Golden State further supports the case for the under: the Warriors allow the fourth-fewest steals per game in the league, and the sixth-fewest specifically to small forwards. This makes it a tough defensive matchup for Wells to get in the steal column. Another key factor is Wells' fluctuating minutes. His playing time has varied dramatically, depending on team injuries and game situations. With Desmond Bane upgraded to questionable and potentially returning to the lineup, and Vince Williams Jr. also possibly making his season debut tonight, Wells' minutes could see a significant reduction if either—or both—of them are cleared to play. Less court time would naturally reduce his chances of getting a steal, adding value to the under 0.5 steals prop.

Bet365

-Memphis is allowing the 2nd most above the break 3s and highest catch & shoot 3 frequency this season -> Buddy avg 6.2 3PAs above the break and 3.0 catch and shoot 3s on 5.4 catch and shoot 3PAs (56%) -Memphis is allowing the 2nd most points and the most 3s/3pas to bench players -Melton is now OUT -> expect 25+ Minutes from Buddy here -> 16+ Points in 5/L5 Games w/ 22+ Minutes -13+ FGAs in 4/4 Home Games avg 16 FGAs and 17.8 Points