Warriors vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - November 7, 2024
Warriors at Celtics
12:30 am • ESPNWarriors at Celtics Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors 11-3 | +7.5 | +7-110 | o228.5-108 | +220 |
Celtics 12-3 | u229.5 | -7-110 | u228.5-110 | -270 |
Thursday 12:30 a.m.
November 07, 2024TD GardenBoston
Warriors vs. Celtics Expert Picks
Will Brinson
14d ago
Last 30d: 18-14-1 (+6.0u)
Over 214.5 (Live)-110
1u
Jay Money
14d ago
Last 30d: 30-30-0 (-3.6u)
GSW +7.5-115
1u
Under 229.5-112
1.12u
Kyle Murray
14d ago
Last 30d: 107-121-1 (-9.2u)
D.White o4.5 Ast+100
1u
Mike Randle
14d ago
Last 30d: 22-10-0 (+9.8u)
S.Curry o3.5 Rebs-125
0.8u
Milly Props
14d ago
Last 30d: 10-5-0 (+5.2u)
D.White o8.5 Rebs+Ast-125
0.8u
White's covered in 2/2 w/o JB w/ 10 and 12 RA and he's covered in 3/4 since LS w/o JB/KP and w/ JT/Jrue - AVG 9.8 RA. In those four games, he's AVG 21.3 pRA, so he would just need to convert on roughly ~43% of those chances to cover this line.
White covered in 2/2 vs. GSW last season w/ 10 and 11 RA and the two games were polar opposites (one was a 20 MIN blowout W and the other a 40 MIN OT game).
L2 w/o JB 5/8 of his AST have been off made 3s - GSW is allowing the *highest* AST% on ATB 3s and rank league average in corner 3s. From watching last game as well, White ran 2-3 designed lobs for Queta/Kornet but couldn't connect.
L2 w/o JB, White is AVG the 2nd most REB chances on BOS - AVG a 7.2 REB distance (missed 3s/long middy's). GSW take the 4th most 3PA in the league and that volume stayed consistent even w/o Curry. There's a good chance White guards Curry in this one since he's so good at navigating screens but other Warriors players will get 3PT shots up. BOS do switch everything though so I'm not expecting White to be attached to his hip
Gamblers Dream
14d ago
Last 30d: 32-47-2 (+5.1u)
J.Tatum o39.5 Pts+375
0.8u
Revenge for Tatum after he was embarrassed on the USA National Basketball team from Warriors HC Steve Kerr.
💰🦡 Jake
14d ago
Last 30d: 106-101-4 (-6.9u)
J.Tatum o44.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1.15u
PvB Bets
14d ago
Last 30d: 19-20-1 (-3.6u)
D.White u3.5 3pt M+100
1u
White has cleared this line in 5 of 8 games this season, but gets a tough matchup tonight vs GSW. They have allowed the 2nd fewest threes per game this season and fewest to opposing shooting guards. White has been shooting just 41% from three this season. He projected to be shooting around 38%, so he's likely due for a little regression.
Golden State is currently allowing the lowest 3-PT% as well (28.3%). Why? Well, their perimeter defense has been good. They rank as the 3rd best perimeter defense team in the league, only behind BOS and NYK. GSW ranks 2nd overall in team defensive efficiency, as well as on the road.
This team has been more susceptible around the rim with the 14th most PITP allowed and 2nd most 2nd chance points allowed. This defense also doesn't allow points off turnovers and registered the 4th most steals per game (9.7). The trends people won't love this, but this looks like a nice spot to fade White.
Grant Neiffer
14d ago
Last 30d: 50-56-1 (-2.1u)
J.Tatum u30.5 Pts-113
1.13u
Sandy Plashkes
14d ago
Last 30d: 122-110-0 (+16.5u)
D.White o28.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-114
1u
Joe Dellera
15d ago
Last 30d: 74-87-3 (-3.2u)
S.Curry o23.5 Pts-115
0.87u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/golden-state-warriors-vs-boston-celtics-prediction-odds-parlay-pick-nba-wednesday-november-6
GSW +7-110
0.91u
Game Guide: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/golden-state-warriors-vs-boston-celtics-prediction-odds-parlay-pick-nba-wednesday-november-6
Value down do +6
PRO Insights
Warriors
GSW Insights
- Featured InsightThe Warriors averaged 15.0 second chance points per game on the road last season -- T-4th-highest in the NBA; the Celtics allowed 14.2 second chance points per game at home last season -- T-5th-worst in the NBA.
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Celtics
BOS Insights
- Featured InsightThe Celtics were 54-9 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season -- T-best in the NBA; the Warriors allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game last season -- T-8th-worst in the NBA.
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Warriors vs. Celtics Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Warriors vs. Celtics Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Celtics are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Celtics are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Celtics are 5-2 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Celtics' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Celtics' 7 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Warriors vs. Celtics Injury Updates
Warriors Injuries
- Kevon LooneyC
Kevon Looney (illness) out Monday.
Out
- Brandin PodziemskiPG
Podziemski is questionable with illness
Questionable
Celtics Injuries
- Kristaps PorziņģisSF
Porziņģis is out with knee
Out
- Jayson TatumSF
Jayson Tatum (ankle) available Tuesday.
Probable
- Payton PritchardPG
Payton Pritchard (thumb) available Tuesday.
Probable
Player Stats
- scoringJayson Tatum32ppg
- reboundingJrue Holiday9rpg
- assistsJrue Holiday8apg
- shootingNeemias Queta54.5fg%
Team Stats
Warriors vs. Celtics Odds Comparison
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Warriors at Celtics Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Warriors 11-3 | o110.5-112 | u110.5-108 |
Celtics 12-3 | o117.5-114 | u117.5-112 |