Warriors vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - November 7, 2024

Warriors at Celtics

12:30 am • ESPN
118 - 112

Warriors at Celtics Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Warriors
15-12
+7.5
+7-110
o228.5-108
+220
Celtics
22-6
u229.5
-7-110
u228.5-110
-270
location pinThursday 12:30 a.m.
November 07, 2024
TD GardenBoston
Warriors vs. Celtics Expert Picks
Will Brinson
Will Brinson
46d ago
Last 30d: 23-24-0 (-3.4u)
Over 214.5 (Live)-110
1u
Jay Money
Jay Money
46d ago
Last 30d: 22-14-1 (+3.0u)
Under 229.5-112
1.12u
GSW +7.5-115
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
46d ago
Last 30d: 58-67-1 (-12.3u)
D.White o4.5 Ast+100
1u
Mike Randle
Mike Randle
46d ago
Last 30d: 20-18-0 (+0.3u)
S.Curry o3.5 Rebs-125
0.8u
Milly Props
Milly Props
46d ago
Last 30d: 5-5-1 (-0.0u)
D.White o8.5 Rebs+Ast-125
0.8u
White's covered in 2/2 w/o JB w/ 10 and 12 RA and he's covered in 3/4 since LS w/o JB/KP and w/ JT/Jrue - AVG 9.8 RA. In those four games, he's AVG 21.3 pRA, so he would just need to convert on roughly ~43% of those chances to cover this line. White covered in 2/2 vs. GSW last season w/ 10 and 11 RA and the two games were polar opposites (one was a 20 MIN blowout W and the other a 40 MIN OT game). L2 w/o JB 5/8 of his AST have been off made 3s - GSW is allowing the *highest* AST% on ATB 3s and rank league average in corner 3s. From watching last game as well, White ran 2-3 designed lobs for Queta/Kornet but couldn't connect. L2 w/o JB, White is AVG the 2nd most REB chances on BOS - AVG a 7.2 REB distance (missed 3s/long middy's). GSW take the 4th most 3PA in the league and that volume stayed consistent even w/o Curry. There's a good chance White guards Curry in this one since he's so good at navigating screens but other Warriors players will get 3PT shots up. BOS do switch everything though so I'm not expecting White to be attached to his hip
Gamblers Dream
Gamblers Dream
46d ago
Last 30d: 27-31-0 (+11.9u)
J.Tatum o39.5 Pts+375
0.8u
Revenge for Tatum after he was embarrassed on the USA National Basketball team from Warriors HC Steve Kerr.
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
46d ago
Last 30d: 79-93-1 (-26.3u)
J.Tatum o44.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1.15u
PvB Bets
PvB Bets
46d ago
Last 30d: 25-30-0 (-6.5u)
D.White u3.5 3pt M+100
1u
White has cleared this line in 5 of 8 games this season, but gets a tough matchup tonight vs GSW. They have allowed the 2nd fewest threes per game this season and fewest to opposing shooting guards. White has been shooting just 41% from three this season. He projected to be shooting around 38%, so he's likely due for a little regression. Golden State is currently allowing the lowest 3-PT% as well (28.3%). Why? Well, their perimeter defense has been good. They rank as the 3rd best perimeter defense team in the league, only behind BOS and NYK. GSW ranks 2nd overall in team defensive efficiency, as well as on the road. This team has been more susceptible around the rim with the 14th most PITP allowed and 2nd most 2nd chance points allowed. This defense also doesn't allow points off turnovers and registered the 4th most steals per game (9.7). The trends people won't love this, but this looks like a nice spot to fade White.
Charlie Wright
Charlie Wright
46d ago
Last 30d: 8-17-0 (-6.5u)
BOS -1.5 (1Q)-120
1u
The Celtics have been absolutely ridiculous in the 1st quarter this season. Boston has a silly 30.8 net rating in the 1st quarter through 8 games, in large part due to an insane 138.8 offensive rating. The Celtics led the league in 1st-quarter offensive and defensive rating last season. Their 16.9 1st-quarter net rating in 2023-24 was the best mark for any team in any quarter since 2017-18. Golden State is off to a good start, mostly due to stellar defensive play. They're 2nd in defensive rating overall and 2nd in the 1st quarter. The problem is the competition. The Warriors have played the Trail Blazers, Jazz, Clippers, Pelicans (twice), Rockets, and Wizards. Houston is 9th in offensive rating, but every other team in that group is 22nd or worse. The Rockets also hung 121 on them, though the Warriors got the win in overtime. Regression is coming for this Golden State defense. I'm expecting it to hit tonight.
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
46d ago
Last 30d: 48-42-5 (+0.5u)
J.Tatum u30.5 Pts-113
1.13u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
46d ago
Last 30d: 114-113-5 (+8.6u)
D.White o28.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-114
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
46d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
S.Curry o23.5 Pts-115
0.87u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/golden-state-warriors-vs-boston-celtics-prediction-odds-parlay-pick-nba-wednesday-november-6
GSW +7-110
0.91u
Game Guide: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/golden-state-warriors-vs-boston-celtics-prediction-odds-parlay-pick-nba-wednesday-november-6 Value down do +6

PRO Insights

Warriors logo

Warriors

GSW Insights
  • Warriors logoThe Warriors averaged 15.0 second chance points per game on the road last season -- T-4th-highest in the NBA; the Celtics allowed 14.2 second chance points per game at home last season -- T-5th-worst in the NBA.
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Celtics logo

Celtics

BOS Insights
  • Celtics logoThe Celtics were 54-9 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season -- T-best in the NBA; the Warriors allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game last season -- T-8th-worst in the NBA.
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Warriors vs. Celtics Previews & Analysis

  • Warriors vs. Celtics: Back Curry, Warriors in Boston article feature image

    Warriors vs. Celtics: Back Curry, Warriors in Boston

    Joe Dellera
    Nov 6, 2024 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Warriors vs. Celtics Public Betting Percentages

65%

Bets%

35%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Celtics
11-16-15-106-6-111-15-10-1
Warriors
15-11-16-5-19-67-78-4-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Celtics
12-168-74-912-150-1
Warriors
12-156-66-97-75-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Celtics
22-6N/AN/A22-50-1
Warriors
15-12N/AN/A9-56-7

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Nov 5th@ATLW 123-93-10 WU 232.5BOS -500
Nov 2nd@CHAW 113-103-10 LU 231BOS -524
Nov 1st@CHAW 124-109-10.5 WU 233.5BOS -535
Oct 30th@INDL 132-135-6.5 LO 236IND -270
Oct 28thMILW 119-108-9 WU 232BOS -395

Warriors vs. Celtics Injury Updates

Warriors Injuries

  • Draymond Green
    SF

    Draymond Green (ankle) out Saturday.

    Out

  • Moses Moody
    PG

    Moses Moody (knee) out Saturday.

    Out

Celtics Injuries

  • Sam Hauser
    SF

    Sam Hauser (back) out Saturday.

    Out

Player Stats
  • scoring
    Jayson Tatum logo
    Jayson Tatum
    32
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Jrue Holiday logo
    Jrue Holiday
    9
    rpg
  • assists
    Jrue Holiday logo
    Jrue Holiday
    8
    apg
  • shooting
    Neemias Queta logo
    Neemias Queta
    54.5
    fg%
Team Stats
42-91 (46%)
Field Goals
38-89 (43%)
20-24 (83%)
Free Throws
17-21 (81%)
14-34 (41%)
3P
19-54 (35%)
53
Rebounds
46
22
Assists
22
Turnovers
6
Steals
5
5
Blocks
3
19
Fouls
18

Warriors vs. Celtics Odds Comparison

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Warriors at Celtics Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Warriors
15-12
o110.5-112
u110.5-108
Celtics
22-6
o117.5-114
u117.5-112