Heat vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 13, 2023

Heat at Nuggets

12:30 am • ABC

Miami Heat

1-4

89 - 94

Denver Nuggets

4-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 1-4	+8-110	o209.5-112	+265
Nuggets 4-1	-8-110	u209.5-108	-330

Tuesday 12:30 a.m.

June 13, 2023

Ball ArenaDenver

MIA +3.5 (Live)-125

M.Porter o11.5 Pts-110

$50.00

MIA +8-105

Over 210-105

3.15u

C.Martin o9.5 Pts-117

Follow me on Twitter @Reno_Jonny All plays at VegasInsider

M.Porter o4.5 3pt M+1500

0.1u

M.Porter o2.5 3pt M+230

0.2u

Let’s ride

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+700

0.2u

J.Murray u25.5 Pts-122

Run it back. 5-17 FG and every single shot quality was poor & difficult in Game 4. MIA running him off the 3PT line. MIA also pressuring him early in shot-clock, sending double & traps to prevent PnR. Let others score. #PlayerProps

M.Porter o10.5 Pts-124

Coach Malone still believes in him & is adamant of keeping in starting lineup. 11 PTS despite a slow 0-4 1Q start & 0 total 3PM. He’s 1-11 from 3PT L3 & due for regression. A strong start should do the trick here. #PlayerProps

Under 53.5 (1Q)-120

0.83u

All four 1Qs have combined for 51 points or less, avg 46.8.

M.Porter o16.5 Pts+Rebs-106

0.94u

MIA u100.5-110

DEN -8.5-110

1.1u

J.Butler o12.5 Rebs+Ast-120

1.2u

Under 53.5 (1Q)-112

0.89u

@ChrisRaybon

DEN -8.5-115

@HPBasketball

J.Murray o8.5 Ast-104

@ChrisRaybon

K.Caldwell-Pope o1.5 3pt M+108

@GDAWG5000

M.Strus o1.5 3pt M-118

@GDAWG5000

M.Porter o6.5 Rebs-115

0.87u

@HPBasketball

MIA +9.5-120

$50.00

M.Strus u7.5 Pts-127

1.27u

Takes 84% of shots from 3PT and O2.5 3PM is +400. So many outs here: Herro “active” can steal minutes. Malone’s comments about muting 3-point shots, & and a very short leash in a win-or-go-home game if he doesn’t start hot. #PlayerProps

DEN -18.5+300

0.1u

Free bet - Miami is turning up the variance with Herro so I’ll lean into that here

MIA +9-110

A.Gordon u13.5 Pts-115

0.87u

Follow all my picks at FTNBets.com!

DEN -8.5-110

1.1u

DEN -9-110

1.1u

DEN -5.5-180

2.8u

Under 106.5 (1H)-107

DEN -14.5+188

0.75u

DEN -9-110

1.1u

M.Strus o2.5 3pt M+310

0.3u

Ladder Spot🪜

K.Caldwell-Pope o2.5 3pt M+420

0.25u

Ladder Spot🪜

K.Caldwell-Pope o1.5 3pt M+110

Bet at Bet365. Watch @GreenDotDaily at 3pm ET for full analysis.

C.Martin o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.87u

93% hit rate in the Playoffs without Tyler Herro when playing 25+ mins. Back to back games now with 30 mins. Should see a solid floor and can contribute with spikes in multiple categories.

B.Brown o15.5 Pts+Rebs-120

0.83u

He’s seen a spike in mins with MPJ struggling offensively. Over this line in 80% of games with 25+ mins

C.Martin o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

Discount. Game 1-2 he was playing w/ flu-like symptoms. Back to seeing 30+ MIN & closing. Caleb is one of few role players Spo trusts to create his shot & defend Jamal. Hits in 11/13 playing between 25-33 MIN w/o Herro. #PlayerProps

C.Martin o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.83u

N.Jokic o12.5 Rebs-130

0.77u

K.Caldwell-Pope o11.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.87u

DEN -9-110

We’d be talking sweep if Miami didn’t literally shoot 50% from 3 in Game 2. Denver has a +9.3 Net Rating in the Finals and has won by double digits in each victory.

M.Strus o1.5 3pt M-115

1.15u

Bet at Bet365. Watch @GreenDotDaily at 3pm ET Monday for full analysis.

MIA u99.5-106

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NBA Public Betting

Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nuggets are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nuggets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	38-42-2	21-19-1	17-23-1	33-37-2	5-5
Heat	40-39-3	16-25	24-14-3	23-21-3	17-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nuggets	34-47-1	19-22	15-25-1	30-41-1	4-6
Heat	35-47	21-20	14-27	23-24	12-23

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	7-5	N/A	N/A	53-19	4-6
Heat	1-4	N/A	N/A	35-12	11-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 10th	@MIA	W 108-95	-3 W	U 211.5	DEN -146
Jun 8th	@MIA	W 109-94	-3.5 W	U 213	DEN -165
Jun 5th	MIA	L 108-111	-8 L	O 216.5	MIA -335
Jun 2nd	MIA	W 104-93	-8.5 W	U 218.5	DEN -360
May 23rd	@LAL	W 113-111	+3.5 W	U 226	DEN +135