Heat vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 13, 2023

Heat at Nuggets

12:30 am • ABC

Miami Heat

1-4

89 - 94

Denver Nuggets

4-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 1-4	+8-110	o209.5-112	+265
Nuggets 4-1	-8-110	u209.5-108	-330

Tuesday 12:30 a.m.

June 13, 2023

Ball ArenaDenver

MIA +3.5 (Live)-125

MIA +180 (1H)

1.8u

M.Porter o11.5 Pts-110

$50.00

MIA +275

Call it a gut feeling

MIA +305

Over 210-105

3.15u

MIA +8-105

C.Martin o9.5 Pts-117

Follow me on Twitter @Reno_Jonny All plays at VegasInsider

M.Porter o4.5 3pt M+1500

0.1u

M.Porter o2.5 3pt M+230

0.2u

Let’s ride

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+700

0.2u

J.Murray u25.5 Pts-122

Run it back. 5-17 FG and every single shot quality was poor & difficult in Game 4. MIA running him off the 3PT line. MIA also pressuring him early in shot-clock, sending double & traps to prevent PnR. Let others score. #PlayerProps

M.Porter o10.5 Pts-124

Coach Malone still believes in him & is adamant of keeping in starting lineup. 11 PTS despite a slow 0-4 1Q start & 0 total 3PM. He’s 1-11 from 3PT L3 & due for regression. A strong start should do the trick here. #PlayerProps

Under 53.5 (1Q)-120

0.83u

All four 1Qs have combined for 51 points or less, avg 46.8.

M.Porter o16.5 Pts+Rebs-106

0.94u

MIA u100.5-110

DEN -8.5-110

1.1u

Over 210-110

1.1u

J.Butler o12.5 Rebs+Ast-120

1.2u

MIA +8.5-105

Under 53.5 (1Q)-112

0.89u

@ChrisRaybon

DEN -8.5-115

@HPBasketball

J.Murray o8.5 Ast-104

@ChrisRaybon

K.Caldwell-Pope o1.5 3pt M+108

@GDAWG5000

M.Strus o1.5 3pt M-118

@GDAWG5000

M.Porter o6.5 Rebs-115

0.87u

@HPBasketball

MIA +9.5-120

$50.00

M.Strus u7.5 Pts-127

1.27u

Takes 84% of shots from 3PT and O2.5 3PM is +400. So many outs here: Herro “active” can steal minutes. Malone’s comments about muting 3-point shots, & and a very short leash in a win-or-go-home game if he doesn’t start hot. #PlayerProps

DEN -18.5+300

0.1u

Free bet - Miami is turning up the variance with Herro so I’ll lean into that here

MIA +9-110

A.Gordon u13.5 Pts-115

0.87u

Follow all my picks at FTNBets.com!

DEN -8.5-110

1.1u

DEN -9-110

1.1u

DEN -5.5-180

2.8u

Under 106.5 (1H)-107

DEN -14.5+188

0.75u

DEN -9-110

1.1u

M.Strus o2.5 3pt M+310

0.3u

Ladder Spot🪜

K.Caldwell-Pope o2.5 3pt M+420

0.25u

Ladder Spot🪜

K.Caldwell-Pope o1.5 3pt M+110

Bet at Bet365. Watch @GreenDotDaily at 3pm ET for full analysis.

C.Martin o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.87u

93% hit rate in the Playoffs without Tyler Herro when playing 25+ mins. Back to back games now with 30 mins. Should see a solid floor and can contribute with spikes in multiple categories.

B.Brown o15.5 Pts+Rebs-120

0.83u

He’s seen a spike in mins with MPJ struggling offensively. Over this line in 80% of games with 25+ mins

C.Martin o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

Discount. Game 1-2 he was playing w/ flu-like symptoms. Back to seeing 30+ MIN & closing. Caleb is one of few role players Spo trusts to create his shot & defend Jamal. Hits in 11/13 playing between 25-33 MIN w/o Herro. #PlayerProps

N.Jokic o12.5 Rebs-130

0.77u

K.Caldwell-Pope o11.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.87u

C.Martin o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.83u

DEN -9-110

We’d be talking sweep if Miami didn’t literally shoot 50% from 3 in Game 2. Denver has a +9.3 Net Rating in the Finals and has won by double digits in each victory.

M.Strus o1.5 3pt M-115

1.15u

Bet at Bet365. Watch @GreenDotDaily at 3pm ET Monday for full analysis.

MIA u99.5-106

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NBA Public Betting

Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nuggets are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nuggets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	38-42-2	21-19-1	17-23-1	33-37-2	5-5
Heat	40-39-3	16-25	24-14-3	23-21-3	17-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nuggets	34-47-1	19-22	15-25-1	30-41-1	4-6
Heat	35-47	21-20	14-27	23-24	12-23

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	7-5	N/A	N/A	53-19	4-6
Heat	1-4	N/A	N/A	35-12	11-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 10th	@MIA	W 108-95	-3 W	U 211.5	DEN -146
Jun 8th	@MIA	W 109-94	-3.5 W	U 213	DEN -165
Jun 5th	MIA	L 108-111	-8 L	O 216.5	MIA -335
Jun 2nd	MIA	W 104-93	-8.5 W	U 218.5	DEN -360
May 23rd	@LAL	W 113-111	+3.5 W	U 226	DEN +135

Jamal Murray
PG
Jamal Murray (hamstring) out Friday.
Out

Michael Porter
SF
Michael Porter Jr. (personal) questionable Wednesday.
Questionable
Peyton Watson
PG
Peyton Watson (knee) doubtful Wednesday.
Doubtful
DaRon Holmes
SF
Holmes is out with achilles
Out