Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2024

SGA in to start 4th

His line is 23.5. Strictly a gut play. For him to hit 5+ 3PT is around +260. In both playoff games where he had 5+ 3PT, he topped 30 points in both.

Playoffs have been a shit show so far let’s turn it around

#Tailing @charliedisturco

Via Brian Matthews

Double trouble. OKC interior has issues and think both Gafford & Lively should find success both on the glass and in the PnR Both continue to be undervalued

Foul trouble and Gafford’s success led to just 13 minutes for Lively (blowout, too), but I’d expect a slightly higher workload this time around. Lively is over this number in 5 of 5 prior to G1

Gafford smashed this line in Game 1 with 16 points, 11 rebounds, and 1 assist in 27 minutes. In Game 2, where Dallas should still need the rebounding and interior offense he provides, he should continue to find success. When Gafford has played 20+ minutes, he has exceeded this line in 64% of games this season. In four games H2H against Chet, he has crushed with 15.8 points, 11 rebounds and 0.75 assists per game. In the 3 games with the Mavericks, he’s nearly cleared this on points alone with 19, 19, and 16 in the 3 games. Luka clearly did not look 100% last game and may be less active on the glass. Couple that with Gafford’s offensive ability and I expect him to smash again. I like Gafford to exceed 19.5 PRA and he’s also a good play to be the game’s leading rebounder (+380 FD).

shot variance