Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2024

Mavericks at Thunder

1:30 am • ESPN

Dallas Mavericks

4-2

119

119 - 110

Oklahoma City Thunder

2-4

110

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 4-2	+5-110	o217-110	+164
Thunder 2-4	-5-110	u217-110	-198

Friday 1:30 a.m.

May 10, 2024

Paycom CenterOklahoma City

OKC +300 (Live)

0.5u

SGA in to start 4th

K.Irving o13.5 Pts (Live)-135

DAL +168 (Live)

0.5u

K.Irving o1.5 3pt M (Live)-118

K.Irving o18.5 Pts (Live)-128

C.Holmgren u16.5 Pts-119

0.84u

J.Williams o3.5 Rebs+120

0.6u

J.Williams o6.5 Rebs+700

0.2u

K.Irving o29.5 Pts+290

0.25u

His line is 23.5. Strictly a gut play. For him to hit 5+ 3PT is around +260. In both playoff games where he had 5+ 3PT, he topped 30 points in both.

DAL o106.5 Team Total-110

1.82u

Playoffs have been a shit show so far let’s turn it around

L.Doncic o50.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+102

J.Green o5.5 Pts-105

0.52u

OKC -4.5-110

1.1u

OKC -4.5-110

Over 217.5-115

0.87u

OKC -180

1.8u

Pretty cheap price here

Under 112 (1H)-110

1.1u

D.Gafford o18.5 Pts+Rebs-111

0.5u

#Tailing @charliedisturco

OKC -4.5-110

1.1u

L.Doncic o31.5 Pts+100

$50.00

D.Gafford o18.5 Pts+Rebs-115

0.87u

Via Brian Matthews

A.Wiggins o10.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.91u

Under 218.5-110

DAL +5-110

$50.00

P.Washington o5.5 Rebs-115

L.Doncic o39.5 Pts+Rebs-120

1.2u

K.Irving o8.5 Rebs+Ast-125

D.Gafford o19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

Gafford smashed this line in Game 1 with 16 points, 11 rebounds, and 1 assist in 27 minutes. In Game 2, where Dallas should still need the rebounding and interior offense he provides, he should continue to find success. When Gafford has played 20+ minutes, he has exceeded this line in 64% of games this season. In four games H2H against Chet, he has crushed with 15.8 points, 11 rebounds and 0.75 assists per game. In the 3 games with the Mavericks, he’s nearly cleared this on points alone with 19, 19, and 16 in the 3 games. Luka clearly did not look 100% last game and may be less active on the glass. Couple that with Gafford’s offensive ability and I expect him to smash again. I like Gafford to exceed 19.5 PRA and he’s also a good play to be the game’s leading rebounder (+380 FD).

DAL +170

$1.70

shot variance

L.Doncic u40.5 Pts+Rebs-123

$1.63

$2 instead of $1, added FD

P.Washington u20.5 Pts+5234

$1.00

PJ pts changed amount and odds

A.Wiggins o0.5 3pt M-130

0.77u

L.Doncic o9.5 Ast-135

OKC -5-110

Featured Insight
The Mavericks have shot 38% from three (144/377) in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Thunder have shot 50% (436/868) in close and late situations this season -- best in the NBA; the Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 49% in close and late situations this season -- T-3rd-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Thunder are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Thunder are 19-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Thunder' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Thunder' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	46-35-1	27-14	19-21-1	35-26	11-9-1
Mavericks	48-34	21-20	27-14	32-18	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Thunder	43-35-4	19-19-3	24-16-1	31-26-4	12-9
Mavericks	36-45-1	16-25	20-20-1	22-28	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	6-4	N/A	N/A	47-14	10-11
Mavericks	13-9	N/A	N/A	37-13	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 8th	DAL	W 117-95	-4.5 W	U 219	OKC -185
Apr 30th	@NOP	W 97-89	-5 W	U 208.5	OKC -194
Apr 27th	@NOP	W 106-85	-2 W	U 209.5	OKC -125
Apr 25th	NOP	W 124-92	-7.5 W	O 210.5	OKC -307
Apr 22nd	NOP	W 94-92	-9 L	U 216.5	OKC -382

Dante Exum
PG
Exum is out with wrist
Out
Luka Doncic
SG
Doncic is out with calf
Out
Dereck Lively
C
Lively is out with ankle
Out

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
PG
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (wrist) out Friday.
Out
Chet Holmgren
C
Holmgren is out with hip
Out
Nikola Topic
PG
Topić is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Ajay Mitchell
PG
Mitchell is out with toe
Out

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scoring
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
33
ppg
rebounding
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
12
rpg
assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
8
apg
shooting
Cason Wallace
60
fg%

Mavericks

Thunder

42-91 (46%)

Field Goals

42-89 (47%)

17-24 (71%)

Free Throws

16-17 (94%)

18-37 (49%)

10-30 (33%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Mavericks 4-2	o106.5-110	u106.5-120
Thunder 2-4	o110.5-120	u110.5-110

Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2024

Mavericks at Thunder

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Public

Thunder

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