Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 23, 2024
Mavericks at Timberwolves
12:30 am • TNTMavericks at Timberwolves Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Mavericks 4-1 | +4.5 | +4.5-110 | o207-110 | +160 |
![]() Timberwolves 1-4 | u207 | -4.5-110 | u207-110 | -191 |
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Target CenterMinneapolis
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Expert Picks
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Matt Moore
277d ago
Last 30d: 40-48-2 (-1.8u)
MIN +142 (Live)
1u
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Top Shelf Action 🥃
277d ago
Last 30d: 553-523-16 (+53.6u)
N.Reid o9.5 Pts (Live)-115
0.87u
Forgot to track collab with Sosa
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Steak Friend
277d ago
Last 30d: 216-222-5 (+22.7u)
Over 101.5 (2H)-110
1.1u
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💰🦡 Jake
277d ago
Last 30d: 111-161-1 (-11.1u)
L.Doncic o8.5 Ast-105
1.05u
D.Lively o13.5 Pts+Rebs-110
1.5u
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Steak Friend
277d ago
Last 30d: 216-222-5 (+22.7u)
DAL +175
1.75u
DAL +5-113
2u
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Sir Lockselot
277d ago
Last 30d: 35-72-1 (-57.7u)
M.Conley o6.5 Ast+120
2u
ASA Inc
277d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 207-110
1u
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The Degenerates
277d ago
Last 30d: 79-69-3 (+1.3u)
R.Gobert o12.5 Rebs-113
1.13u
Gilles Gallant
277d ago
Last 30d: 42-42-2 (+12.0u)
L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-120
0.5u
#Tailing @JoeDellera
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The Degenerate
277d ago
Last 30d: 101-157-1 (-11.8u)
DAL +4.5-110
0.91u
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Green Dot Daily
277d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Hardaway o5.5 Pts+105
1u
@JayMoneyIsMoney23
DAL +155
1.55u
@HPBasketball
DAL +4.5-110
0.91u
@bryanfonseca
L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-123
0.81u
@TurveyBets
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Stephen Nover
277d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
DAL +4.5-110
0.91u
Don't trust the Timberwolves in a favorite's role and Luka Doncic has had a few days to rest up.
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Kyle Murray
277d ago
Last 30d: 79-111-5 (-31.3u)
K.Towns o28.5 Pts+Rebs-117
1.17u
L.Doncic o8.5 Rebs-120
1.2u
A.Edwards o5.5 Rebs-120
1u
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Mjaybrod
277d ago
Last 30d: 103-84-0 (+14.0u)
L.Doncic o39.5 Pts+800
0.25u
40 chicken nuggets
DAL +4.5-110
0.91u
Luka is pulling up in braids I hear
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Top Shelf Action 🥃
277d ago
Last 30d: 553-523-16 (+53.6u)
K.Towns o19.5 Pts-125
1u
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Sandy Plashkes
277d ago
Last 30d: 103-99-6 (+11.6u)
DAL +4.5-110
$50.00
Scott Pritchard
278d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 206.5-110
0.91u
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Mjaybrod
278d ago
Last 30d: 103-84-0 (+14.0u)
L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-120
0.83u
Luka to the moon
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Bruce Marshall
278d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DAL +4.5-105
0.95u
Under 207-110
1u
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Sandy Plashkes
278d ago
Last 30d: 103-99-6 (+11.6u)
L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-116
$50.00
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Kevin Thomas
278d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
Under 206.5-111
1u
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Top Shelf Action 🥃
278d ago
Last 30d: 553-523-16 (+53.6u)
R.Gobert o12.5 Rebs-112
1u
M.Conley u6.5 Ast-135
0.74u
P.Washington o5.5 Rebs-120
0.83u
Scott Rickenbach
278d ago
Last 30d: 88-75-3 (+3.6u)
Under 207.5-110
1u
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Top Shelf Action 🥃
278d ago
Last 30d: 553-523-16 (+53.6u)
K.Towns u3.5 Ast-140
0.71u
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Brian Bitler
278d ago
Last 30d: 67-76-3 (-39.3u)
Under 208-110
3u
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Joe Dellera
278d ago
Last 30d: 80-87-6 (+17.3u)
D.Jones o0.5 Blk-145
1u
1+ block in 10/12 Playoff Games averaged 1.3 this season against Minn with 0, 1, 3
D.Jones o1.5 Blk+300
0.1u
L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-105
0.95u
The Mavericks face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the Western Conference Finals. I’m targeting Luka Doncic to have a big game.
Luka’s points prop is set at 28.5 a number he has crushed this season. Overall, Luka has averaged 32.9 ppg but has had some difficulty in the Playoffs scoring just 27.3 ppg. Much of this was due to matchup though. The Clippers could throw a mix of Kawhi and Terrance Mann at him while Oklahoma City deployed Lu Dort. While the Timberwolves have elite wing defenders such as Jaden McDaniels (who I expect to start of Luka), Luka’s size should give him the edge.
Also, Luka was seemingly dealing with a knee injury throughout the Oklahoma City series, but got into his stride to finish the series with 31 and 29 point performances.
Here, I think Minnesota has better options to defend everyone else on the Mavericks with Ant on Kyrie and Gobert clogging up the interior.
Minnesota’s defense is elite, but Luka is a tough cover due to his skill but also because of Minnesota’s personnel.
I’ll grab Luka to exceed 28.5 points, especially with him playing on extra rest.
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Mike Randle
278d ago
Last 30d: 17-13-0 (+2.3u)
P.Washington o12.5 Pts-110
0.91u
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Markus Markets
278d ago
Last 30d: 41-52-4 (-0.9u)
K.Irving o29.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-130
0.77u
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Matt Moore
278d ago
Last 30d: 40-48-2 (-1.8u)
Over 207.5-110
1u
Gilles Gallant
278d ago
Last 30d: 42-42-2 (+12.0u)
M.Conley u18.5 Pts+Ast-125
0.5u
#Tailing @PropBomb
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Prop Bomb 🏝
278d ago
Last 30d: 9-8-0 (-0.3u)
M.Conley u18.5 Pts+Ast-125
1u
Veteran leader on the team that’s coming off a season-high 39 minutes after fighting an ankle injury and a game 7 bloodbath vs. the Denver Nuggets. With just two days of rest going into a new series, I am anticipating a looser rotation as teams feel the water, and one player that I expect playing fewer minutes is Mike Conley.
For Game 1 vs. Dallas, I’m expecting the minutes to be around 29-33. Unlike in the DEN series where the Wolves needed to put out two bigs to match Jokic/Gordon, we can see a little more NAW playing time as he’ll be needed for help vs. Kyrie Irving. And being that the Mavs are the best remaining PnR BH defense (37% of his FREQ%), getting to his shots with elite defenders contesting won’t be easy. It’s a telling sign with books shoting his 3PT line juiced under 2.5 at -188.
As for assists, I really like tackling it on because he’s only getting 36% of his conversions coming from the 3PT. He’s getting a lot of his success from the PnR with Rudy Gobert, but with centers Dereck Lively and Daniel Gafford playing drop coverage, those will be tough to come by. Kyrie will be on Ant and PJ Washington should be on KAT, contesting looks at the 3PT line.
And as for the historical data, overall, in games where Conley plays 29-34 minutes with the key rotation and only makes 2 3PTs he averages 15.4 PA, going under this line in 11 of the 13 games (85.9% rate). #PlayerProps
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Matt Moore
279d ago
Last 30d: 40-48-2 (-1.8u)
DAL +152
3.8u
DAL +4.5-110
1u
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Joe Dellera
280d ago
Last 30d: 80-87-6 (+17.3u)
R.Gobert o15.5 Rebs+350
0.15u
R.Gobert o11.5 Rebs-122
1.5u
Give me all the Rudy boards against Dallas
PRO Insights
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Mavericks
DAL Insights
- Featured Insight
The Mavericks have shot 38% from three (144/377) in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three in close and late situations this season -- 4th-worst in the NBA.
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Timberwolves
MIN Insights
- Featured Insight
The Timberwolves have shot 39% from three (525/1,358) at home this season -- T-4th-best in the NBA; the Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three on the road this season -- 9th-worst in the NBA.
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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Timberwolves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Timberwolves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Timberwolves are 22-18 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Timberwolves' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Timberwolves' 41 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 40-40-2 | 18-22-1 | 22-18-1 | 29-31-2 | 11-9 |
![]() | 48-34 | 21-20 | 27-14 | 32-18 | 15-16 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 41-40-1 | 18-22-1 | 23-18 | 29-32-1 | 12-8 |
![]() | 36-45-1 | 16-25 | 20-20-1 | 22-28 | 13-17-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 9-7 | N/A | N/A | 47-15 | 9-11 |
![]() | 13-9 | N/A | N/A | 37-13 | 12-19 |
Last 5 Matchups
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Injury Updates
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Mavericks Injuries
- Dwight PowellSF
Powell is out with hip
Out
- Caleb MartinSF
Martin is questionable with hip
Questionable
- Dereck LivelyC
Lively is out with ankle
Out
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Timberwolves Injuries
- Rudy GobertC
Rudy Gobert (back) out Friday.
Out
- Julius RandleSF
Randle is out with groin
Out
- Donte DiVincenzoPG
DiVincenzo is out with toe
Out
- Terrence ShannonPF
Shannon is questionable with foot
Questionable
Player Stats
- scoringJaden McDaniels24ppg
- reboundingAnthony Edwards11rpg
- assistsAnthony Edwards8apg
- shooting-62.5fg%
Team Stats
43-87 (49%)
Field Goals
38-89 (43%)
16-17 (94%)
Free Throws
11-18 (61%)
6-25 (24%)
3P
18-49 (37%)
48
Rebounds
40
21
Assists
23
Turnovers
5
Steals
8
8
Blocks
3
15
Fouls
17
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds Comparison
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Mavericks at Timberwolves Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Mavericks 4-1 | o101.5-115 | u101.5-115 |
![]() Timberwolves 1-4 | o105.5-110 | u105.5-120 |