Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Nuggets at Timberwolves

1:30 am • ESPN

Denver Nuggets

3-4

117

117 - 90

Minnesota Timberwolves

4-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nuggets 3-4	+4.5	+3.5-112	o205.5-110	+133
Timberwolves 4-3	u204.5	-3.5-108	u205.5-109	-158

Saturday 1:30 a.m.

May 11, 2024

Target CenterMinneapolis

R.Gobert o13.5 Rebs+Ast-130

DEN +1.5 (3Q)-130

0.77u

MIN -4.5 (Live)+800

0.1u

MIN +10.5 (Live)+105

0.25u

MIN -1.5 (1H)-105

1.05u

J.Murray o39.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+400

0.5u

Prove them wrong Jamal

A.Edwards u2.5 3pt M-120

0.6u

A.Edwards u27.5 Pts-105

0.48u

Bet365 6:39.

DEN +3.5-110

0.45u

Bet365 6:39.

MIN -3.5-110

DEN +135

4.05u

DEN +3.5-110

0.5u

DEN +3.5-105

1.9u

DEN +3.5-110

0.91u

J.McDaniels o14.5 Pts+500

0.12u

J.McDaniels o4.5 Rebs+Ast-110

0.5u

Over in 6/6 against DEN this season and 5/6 playoff games So long as he isn’t in early foul trouble again, should see 35+ minutes on the floor. Sitting this with points because he’s also due for some positive shooting regression (2/14 this series)

J.McDaniels o8.5 Pts-130

0.45u

DEN +4.5-110

DEN +160

1.6u

Denver steals one on the road

N.Jokic o50.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-126

$63.00

DEN +4.5-105

2.86u

DEN +4.5-115

$100.00

N.Jokic o50.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.58u

Projecting 40+ min and 20+ shots for Jokic tonight. Since start of last year’s playoffs, Jokic had taken 20+ shots in 13 of 27 playoff games. When he takes 20+ shots, cleared this line 11 of those 13 games. Put up 60 PRA vs Warriors when they down 0-2 in 2022. Put up 62 PRA vs Suns in 2021 when trailing 0-2.

M.Porter o6.5 Rebs+100

A.Gordon o5.5 Rebs-120

1.2u

M.Porter o22.5 Pts+Rebs-121

0.95u

Featured Insight
The Nuggets have allowed opponents to shoot 45% in close and late situations this season -- 6th-best in the NBA; the Timberwolves have shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations this season -- 2nd-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Timberwolves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Timberwolves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Timberwolves are 22-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Timberwolves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Timberwolves' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Timberwolves	40-40-2	18-22-1	22-18-1	29-31-2	11-9
Nuggets	38-42-2	21-19-1	17-23-1	33-37-2	5-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Timberwolves	41-40-1	18-22-1	23-18	29-32-1	12-8
Nuggets	34-47-1	19-22	15-25-1	30-41-1	4-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Timberwolves	9-7	N/A	N/A	47-15	9-11
Nuggets	7-5	N/A	N/A	53-19	4-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	@DEN	W 106-80	+7 W	U 209.5	MIN +235
May 4th	@DEN	W 106-99	+4.5 W	U 209.5	MIN +153
Apr 29th	@PHX	W 122-116	+1 W	O 213	MIN -105
Apr 27th	@PHX	W 126-109	+5.5 W	O 208.5	MIN +200
Apr 23rd	PHX	W 105-93	-3 W	U 211.5	MIN -154