Raptors vs. Pistons Odds & Betting Predictions - November 26, 2024

Barnes played 34 MIN last game and it seems like the minutes limit he was on only lasted one game. W/o any restriction, this line is 2-3 points too low. He's covered in 3/4 when playing 28+ MIN - AVG 21.5 PTS and 15.8 FGA. The only miss was against a tough CLE team (Mobley MU) where he ended on the hook with 18 PTS, but he also missed 5 free throws. In two games w/ RJ while playing 28+ MIN, he's AVG 16.5 FGA. Barnes has covered this line in 37/50 games (74%), when taking 14+ FGA, which has been his floor when playing 30+ MIN. When taking 16+ FGA, he's covered this line in 26/30 games (86.7%). Dick got ruled out, which actually creates a nice edge here. Barnes see's a +7.38 PPP/100 increase when Dick is off the court, which is the largest jump of any TOR rotational player. Davion will also probably get the start here, which will allow Barnes to be more of a scorer rather than facilitator.

Fliff

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The Huddle got it first

Hardaway has 11 rebounds in the 12 games he's played with Duren, Detroit's leading rebounder. Duren left in the 1st quarter of a November 6th game and missed the next 2 games. Hardaway averaged 4 rebounds over that 3-game stretch. He has exactly 1 rebound in each of the 4 games since Duren returned. For the season, Hardaway ranks 10th on the team in rebounds and 11th in rebound chances. Toronto is a bad team, but they do a nice job on the glass. They rank 4th in rebounding rate and 9th in rebounds allowed per game.

+EV

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Pistons struggle offensively without Cade Cunningham, highlighted by turnovers and lack of rhythm. Secondary players lack consistency. Raptors face offensive inefficiency, ranking low in efficiency and struggling on the road. Slow pace, Detroit’s plodding style, and Toronto's fatigue from a back-to-back point to another low-scoring game, as neither team executes efficiently.

Tailing Sharp