Warriors vs. Lakers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 9, 2023

feel it in my gut

Bet365 7:46.

Lake show changed their matchup on Chef, putting Reaves on him. While Austin did a good job, this is more about the team defense they are playing on Steph. They are hedging hard on PnRs and swarming on drives (kinda similar to how the Heat are handling Brunson). And they are hell bent on not letting Steph get clean looks for Steph off-ball. It’s essentially the reason why Klay has got clean looks all series. He’s under in all 3 games (yes, 2 blowouts), but I don’t see the Lakers changing their defense around to all of a sudden give Steph more space. He’s Steph Curry, and he can make me look really dumb here, but 31.5 is just too big of a number here. I’m comfortable with this down to u30.5.

Not an ideal series for Rui. He has gone under this in 13/16 seeing < 21 MIN. GSW are going small/ adding shooters. He’s not a great screen navigator, & they’re looking for ways to target him on mismatches. Has same rebound dist. as DLo. #PlayerProps

@ChrisRaybon

GSW 25-14 (64%) ATS after playoff loss under Kerr, including 15-6 (71%) ATS off double digit loss. Dogs down 2-1 in Round 2-on are 30-19-1 (61%) ATS in Game 4.

Same reasoning as last game - he’ll be needed for 25+ minutes for defense, and it’s a good spot for him to score. Averaged 10.7 pts per 25 minutes as a reserve this season. Love getting this at plus odds.

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