Bears vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2023

Bears at Commanders

12:15 am • Amazon Prime Video

Chicago Bears

4-6

40 - 20

Washington Commanders

7-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bears 4-6	+6-110	o44.5-115	+205
Commanders 7-4	-6-110	u44.5-110	-255

Friday 12:15 a.m.

October 06, 2023

Northwest StadiumLandover

K.Curl o7.5 Tackles + Ast+110

T.Edmunds o7.5 Tackles + Ast-125

0.8u

J.Fields o199.5 Pass Yds+1578

7.89u

Under 51.5 (Live)-110

I see the Commanders offense being stagnant

WAS -2.5 (Live)-111

1.67u

D.Moore o3.5 Recs-155

0.26u

B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer-120

0.2u

E.Hicks o4.5 Tackles + Ast-113

1.13u

CHI +315

1.58u

Boost

CHI +6-110

0.91u

R.Johnson o5.5 Rush Att-115

We love Johnson around here… pause

WAS o25.5-110

0.4u

Chicago D Anytime TD Scorer+850

0.1u

@nick_giffen

Over 45-112

0.89u

CHI +220

$55.00

This one is for Royal

K.Herbert o12.5 Rec Yds-110

CHI +6-110

0.23u

RIP Mr Butkus

CHI +6-112

0.89u

J.Fields o48.5 Rush Yds-110

0.5u

Under 45-110

Bears (4-0) to the over - dark magic play

Under 45-105

1.1u

Tail it or don’t. I don’t care.

C.Samuel u32.5 Rec Yds-110

0.55u

T.McLaurin o57.5 Rec Yds-115

0.58u

CHI +220

1.1u

Dick Butkus would want me to place this bet

Chicago D Anytime TD Scorer+700

0.5u

Tailing @nick_giffen with his D play but on DK with ST.

Chicago D Anytime TD Scorer+850

0.25u

@nick_giffen 🫡🫡

Chicago D Anytime TD Scorer+850

0.25u

Sam Howell owns his stack rate and his bad ball rate, both of which are bottom 5 in the NFL and WAS passes 2nd most vs expected in NFL Even bad Ds have forced plays against him including an AZ sack/fumble/TD and 4 bad balls+4 sacks vs Denver. Note this only wins with D. Not ST.

J.Fields First Touchdown Scorer+1000

0.75u

C.Kmet First Touchdown Scorer+1800

0.35u

L.Thomas First Touchdown Scorer+1600

0.5u

Like Tight Ends tonight.

J.Fields Anytime TD Scorer+175

1.2u

Feels right.

CHI +6-105

This is ugly and I hate it. But the number is just way too high

D.Moore Anytime TD Scorer Yes+210

2.1u

@GDAWG5000

J.Dotson o3.5 Recs-110

@The_Oddsmaker

Chicago D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+800

@nick_giffen

CHI +6-105

D.Moore Anytime TD Scorer+220

2.2u

@GDAWG5000

C.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer+275

2.75u

@GDAWG5000

D.Moore o21.5 Longest Reception-114

0.88u

@The_Oddsmaker

Under 45-110

J.Fields o189.5 Pass Yds-110

K.Herbert u48.5 Rush Yds-110

C.Samuel o31.5 Rec Yds-110

0.45u

Over in 3/4 this season with 50+ in all 3 overs. 67% hit rate the last two seasons overall averaging 39.7.

D.Moore o21.5 Longest Reception-114

Koerner

D.Moore o21.5 Longest Reception-114

S.Howell u243.5 Pass Yds-115

CHI +3.5 (1H)-110

0.45u

Under 44.5-110

J.Fields First Touchdown Scorer+950

0.74u

J.Fields Anytime TD Scorer+180

J.Fields o189.5 Pass Yds-110

0.91u

C.Samuel o31.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

CHI +6-110

0.91u

T.Edwards o8.5 Tackles + Ast-130

0.77u

Edward likes to tackle people

B.St-Juste o4.5 Tackles + Ast+124

I hear this Token dude is a pretty cool guy

J.Fields o193.5 Pass Yds-114

$50.00

Over 44.5-110

S.Howell o14.5 Rush Yds-120

1.25u

Y’all already know what’s going on

J.Fields o45.5 Rush Yds-115

0.87u

B.Robinson o65.5 Rush Yds-115

Follow all my picks at FTNBets.com!

D.Moore o50.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

B.Robinson o65.5 Rush Yds-110

C.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer+275

2.75u

Bet at Bet365. Gets RZ carries and targets. Bears defense has allowed 4 TD from backfield on passes and 5 TD to WR this season. Like Dotson too.

D.Moore Anytime TD Scorer+220

2.2u

Bet at Bet365. Would play to +200.

D.Moore o20.5 Longest Reception-114

0.88u

A.Gibson o12.5 Rec Yds-110

B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer-150

0.75u

Via Meghan Payton

B.Robinson o15.5 Rush Att-125

1.25u

MGM. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-bet-brian-robinson-jr-on-thursday-night-football?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy

J.Fields o189.5 Pass Yds-111

0.9u

J.Fields o0.5 Int-125

1.25u

Bet at Bet365. Up to -150 at other books. This is a bit rich for an INT prop but so many signs that it will happen. Fields has thrown INT in 20/28 games he’s started (71%). He also threw a pick vs WAS when they played last year. Fields passing attempts have picked up, which is great for INT prop. Has an INT in 5 of 6 games in his career when he’s thrown 30+ times. Commanders get lot of pressure from D-Line which means quick decisions from Fields.

D.Moore o49.5 Rec Yds-112

$50.00

J.Fields o189.5 Pass Yds-114

Over in 3/4 this season - the lone under coming in that blowout loss to KC. His attempts per game has skyrocketed from 21.2 last season to 30.8 this year and the addition of DJ Moore a huge plus. Washington is T10 in DVOA against the run but 23rd against the pass. Weaker there and Fields in a negative game script, which should lead to an easy 200+

CHI +210

1.05u

B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer+115

0.5u

(0.5u) Brian Robinson has scored a touchdown in three straight games, and gets a nice matchup with the Bears in a game where the two teams should play it fairly close, or at least Washington is expected to be leading. I like for Washington to keep feeding Robinson near the goal line. This is -120 on other books currently.

CHI +7-120

$100.00

Hammer time. Line will not close at +7.

CHI +6-115

WAS -4.5-115

1.15u

Featured Insight
The Bears averaged 506 yards from scrimmage per game (506 YFS / 1 G) last week -- best in NFL. The Commanders allowed an average of 423.0 yards from scrimmage per game (423/1) last week -- sixth-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
Commanders TEs have 22 receptions in 4 games (5.5 per game) this season -- tied for ninth-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 5.5 receptions per game to TEs this season -- tied for sixth-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Commanders are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Commanders are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Commanders are 3-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Commanders' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Commanders' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	7-3-1	4-1	3-2-1	5-1	2-2-1
Bears	6-4	4-1	1-3	3-1	3-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Commanders	7-4	2-3	5-1	3-3	4-1
Bears	3-7	2-3	0-4	2-2	1-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	7-4	N/A	N/A	5-1	2-3
Bears	4-6	N/A	N/A	3-1	1-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 1st	@PHI	L 31-34	+8.5 W	O 43	PHI +350
Sep 24th	BUF	L 3-37	+5.5 L	U 44	BUF +195
Sep 17th	@DEN	W 35-33	+4 W	O 38.5	WAS +156
Sep 10th	ARI	W 20-16	-7 L	U 38	WAS -310
Aug 26th	CIN	W 21-19	-3 L	O 34.5	WAS -164

Tyler Ott
LS
Ott is questionable with illness
Questionable
Cornelius Lucas
T
Lucas is questionable with ankle
Questionable

Nick Bellore
LB
Bellore is out with knee
Out
Marshon Lattimore
CB
Lattimore is out with hamstring
Out
Andrew Wylie
OL
Wylie is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Austin Seibert
K
Seibert is out with hip
Out
Brandon Coleman
OL
Coleman is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Colson Yankoff
TE
Yankoff is out with hamstring
Out

Tarvarius Moore
S
Moore is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Montez Sweat
DE
Sweat is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Darrynton Evans
RB
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
Teven Jenkins
OL
Jenkins is out with ankle
Out
Kiran Amegadjie
OL
Amegadjie is out with calf
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Bears

Total

Commanders

451

Total Yards

388

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

5.9

Bears

Passing

Commanders

282

YDS

388

15/29

Comps/Atts

37/51

8.531

YPA

6.411

4/0

TDs/INTs

2/1

3/9

Sacks/Yards

5/29

Bears

Rushing

Commanders

178

Rush Yards

Attempts

5.563

YPC

2.9

TDs

Bears

Turnovers

Commanders

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Bears

Efficiency

Commanders

3/6 50%

Redzone

2/3 66.67%

7/15 0%

3rd Down

6/12 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Bears

First Downs

Commanders

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Bears

Misc

Commanders

3/35

Penalties/Yards

1/5

30:04

Possession

29:56

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MatchupOverUnder
Bears 4-6	o19.5-118	u19.5+102
Commanders 7-4	o26.5-105	u26.5-115

Bears vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2023

Bears at Commanders

Chicago Bears

Washington Commanders

Bears at Commanders Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Bears

Commanders

Bears vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis

Action Network's NFL Week 5 Betting Primer (Sunday Update)

Gallant's 2 Anytime Touchdown Picks for TNF

Our Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Koerner's Bears vs. Commanders Breakdown

Bears vs. Commanders Props

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Public

Commanders

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Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Commanders vs. Bears Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

Bears Injuries

Bears vs. Commanders Odds Comparison

Bears at Commanders Team Totals