Bills vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Predictions - January 8, 2024

No Mostert again, Wilson saw 3 receptions last week (13 yards). In games where he’s targeted in this year, over in 4 of L7 Opponents have found success attacking thru RBs in the receiving game. Bills give up an average of 5.3 rec/44 ypg thru the air Should be a negative game script which helps Wilson

He’s hit this in 8/15, including 3/L3. Bills have been carved up by TEs of late, and Smythe had 4 grabs vs them last meeting. Bills will sell out on Tyreek (they are 4th in FTN’s DVOA vs WR1s), and that’s should open up the middle of the field for check downs to Smythe.

I got this at +136

SOLELY A HEDGE OF BILLS +310 EAST TICKET. DON’T RECOMMEND BETTING UNLESS YOU HAVE Middle shot.

I hate myself for this but 60.5 is just an insanely low number, even for Diggs’ rough stretch. Had 3 TDS and a great game last to vs MIA earlier this year. Even with a Ramsey shadow, should see plenty of ops

Ryanpropz NFL Straight

Projection: +1.5. For more, check out Fantasy Life.

@ChrisRaybon

Boyd

Foxhole

@tkalinowski12

Talked about him on action island 🏝️

Via Maria Marino

#LuckRankings

Josh Allen has 15 rushing touchdowns this season and is now one rushing touchdown shy of tying O.J. Simpson’s Buffalo Bills’ single-season rushing touchdown record of 16. I’m seeing -130 odds in some places, so taking advantage of these odds now. Will sprinkle his 2+ TD’s once I find a better number then the +440 FD is offering for Allen’s 2+ TD’s. Next best odds for 1 touchdown for Allen is over at CZRs (-105).

This should be a fun game -- I just wouldn't expect quite this many points. The total does get a boost via all the key injuries to Miami's defense. But they've also got injuries on offense with Jaylen Waddle seemingly on the wrong side of questionable and Tua Tagovailoa's left shoulder being sore. They've done a great job of overcoming injuries this year, but it does add up eventually. As for the Bills, they've become extremely run-heavy of late. Their early-down first-half pass rate under Joe Brady is 53.6%, down from 60.4% under Ken Dorsey. This is far from a bad thing -- they've been very effective running, so why not lean into it? But running does drain clock, which is good for an under even if it's efficient and optimal for the offense. It's possible we see another high-scoring game like the first matchup between these two teams, but both offenses are very different now than they were back then. I've got this total at 45.9, giving us plenty of space to lean toward the under.