Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - November 10, 2024

Broncos at Chiefs

6:00 pm • CBS
14 - 16

Broncos at Chiefs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Broncos
6-5
+9.5
+7.5-115
o42.5-110
+290
Chiefs
9-1
u46
-7.5-105
u42.5-110
-360
location pinSunday 6:00 p.m.
November 10, 2024
GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Broncos vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
13d ago
Last 30d: 35-89-0 (-48.9u)
DEN +162 (Live)
1u
🔑 Broncos LIVE ML +162 (FanDuel) 1u The Broncos historically have played Mahomes really well. I’m liking what I’m seeing out of their defense and their offense is moving the ball well. Good value here. The Chiefs have played with fire all year, I think their 1st L is coming today
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
13d ago
Last 30d: 38-37-2 (+5.5u)
KC -105 (Live)
0.24u
Gamblers Dream
Gamblers Dream
13d ago
Last 30d: 35-49-2 (+6.4u)
KC -105 (Live)
2.38u
VIP members are on the #Broncos +7.5 I am going for the “ premium double dip” to win both bets.
YBK Picks.com
13d ago
Last 30d: 53-43-1 (+15.9u)
DEN +7.5-105
1.9u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
13d ago
Last 30d: 23-25-0 (-5.5u)
DEN +7.5-110
0.45u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
13d ago
Last 30d: 43-64-2 (-5.4u)
DEN +7.5-110
1u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
13d ago
Last 30d: 127-109-1 (+21.9u)
DEN +7.5-110
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
13d ago
Last 30d: 63-60-1 (+6.9u)
Under 42.5-115
2.61u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
13d ago
Last 30d: 283-270-8 (+9.4u)
P.Mahomes o33.5 Longest Completion-114
0.88u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
14d ago
Last 30d: 43-105-1 (-15.0u)
T.Franklin Anytime TD Scorer Yes+700
0.25u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-10-anytime-touchdown-round-robin-parlay-pick-prediction
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
14d ago
Last 30d: 13-13-0 (-1.2u)
J.Williams u10.5 Longest Rush-120
1u
FOLLOW ME ON X @PropBomb Clear strength vs. weakness target here. Brutal matchup for Javonte Williams who’s line is set for just 9.5 carries with positive coach speak that RB Audric Estime could be getting more touches to lower volume and upside. Chiefs rush defense has been elite ranking 2nd best in limiting 10+ yard LongRush (7.7% rate) with two of their 10/ 182 carries coming from Lamar and Baker. As for Javonte’s sake - he hasn’t looked great lately, most recently failing to generate big YPC vs. a terrible Panthers rush defense. Amongst qualified RBs with at least 75 carries, Javonte’s 2.06 yards after carry/attempt ranks 30th out of 31st and most importantly his 7.8% rate of 10+ LongRush ranks 28th out of 31. #PlayerPro
Proptology _
Proptology _
14d ago
Last 30d: 15-14-0 (+5.1u)
T.Kelce o58.5 Rec Yds-113
1.46u
🔬 The broncos are 8 point favorites and should be able to make this a game where they can lead from start to finish. The normal “find Kelce” on broken plays, plays from behind or 3rd downs when he sits in an opening shouldn’t be necessary that’s why I’m not playing receptions here. However….. 🔬Kelce should be able to make the best of the catches he does get, 87 has 157% more yards per route run vs 1 high coverage which the broncos deploy at the leagues 4th highest rate. 🔬Tight end performances of note vs broncos - Otton 7/47 , Bowers 8/97
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
14d ago
Last 30d: 43-105-1 (-15.0u)
T.Franklin o16.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-10-bets-for-derek-carr-demario-douglas
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
14d ago
Last 30d: 35-25-0 (+5.6u)
J.Williams u10.5 Rush Att-108
1u
We are showing an A+ grade for this in our player projections tool for a reason
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
15d ago
Last 30d: 45-57-2 (-8.3u)
D.Hopkins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200
0.85u
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
17d ago
Last 30d: 25-25-1 (+0.3u)
DEN +8.5-110
0.45u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
18d ago
Last 30d: 14-20-0 (+9.6u)
Over 41.5-115
1u
Chiefs are doing a lot of work on late downs, but at least some of that is sustainable given how savvy both Travis Kelce and DeAndre Hopkins are. Have this total at 45 despite 10 mph winds.

PRO Insights

Broncos logo

Broncos

DEN Insights
  • Broncos logoThe Broncos have allowed their opponents to be successful on 26.0% of plays with a light front since Week 6 -- 3rd-best in NFL; the Chiefs have been successful on 33.0% of plays they have run against a light front since Week 6 -- 7th-worst in NFL.
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Chiefs logo

Chiefs

KC Insights
  • Chiefs logoThe Chiefs have allowed a passer rating of 76.1 with a heavy rush this season -- 8th-best in NFL; Broncos QBs have a 60.2 passer rating against a heavy rush this season -- 4th-worst in NFL.
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Broncos vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis

  • Early Week 11 Bets & NFL Week 10 Recap with Chad Millman & Simon Hunter | The Favorites Podcast article feature image

    Early Week 11 Bets & NFL Week 10 Recap with Chad Millman & Simon Hunter | The Favorites Podcast

    Simon Hunter
    Nov 10, 2024 UTC
  • Broncos vs. Chiefs: ATS Pick for NFL Sunday article feature image

    Broncos vs. Chiefs: ATS Pick for NFL Sunday

    Alex Kolodziej
    Nov 10, 2024 UTC
  • Gallant's Week 10 ATD Picks & Game Previews article feature image

    Gallant's Week 10 ATD Picks & Game Previews

    Gilles Gallant
    Nov 10, 2024 UTC
  • Dr. Nick's NFL Week 10 Player Props article feature image

    Dr. Nick's NFL Week 10 Player Props

    Nick Giffen
    Nov 10, 2024 UTC
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Broncos vs. Chiefs Props

Prop Projections

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Broncos vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

36%

Bets%

64%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
4-5-12-32-2-13-4-11-1
Broncos
8-33-25-14-04-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Chiefs
5-53-22-34-41-1
Broncos
6-53-23-33-13-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
9-1N/AN/A8-01-1
Broncos
6-5N/AN/A4-02-5

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Nov 5thTBW 30-24-9 LO 45.5KC -440
Oct 27th@LVW 27-20-9 LO 43KC -440
Oct 20th@SFW 28-18+2.5 WU 48KC +120
Oct 8thNOW 26-13-5.5 WU 43.5KC -220
Sep 29th@LACW 17-10-7 LU 42KC -285

Broncos vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Broncos Injuries

  • Josh Reynolds
    WR

    Reynolds is out with hand

    Out

  • Zach Allen
    DE

    Allen is questionable with rest

    Questionable

  • Luke Wattenberg
    C

    Wattenberg is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Delarrin Turner-Yell
    S

    Turner-Yell is out with knee

    Out

  • Drew Sanders
    LB

    Sanders is out with achilles

    Out

Chiefs Injuries

  • Charles Omenihu
    DE

    Omenihu is out with knee

    Out

  • Hollywood Brown
    WR

    Hollywood Brown (shoulder surgery) headed to IR.

    Out

  • Isiah Pacheco
    RB

    Pacheco is out with leg

    Out

  • Rashee Rice
    WR

    Rice is out with leg

    Out

  • Jared Wiley
    TE

    Wiley is out with knee

    Out

Team Stats
260
Total Yards
300
55
Total Plays
65
4.7
Yards Per Play
4.6
215
YDS
266
22/30
Comps/Atts
28/42
5.688
YPA
5.283
2/0
TDs/INTs
1/0
2/33
Sacks/Yards
4/23
78
Rush Yards
57
23
Attempts
19
3.391
YPC
3
0
TDs
0

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

1/2 50%
Redzone
1/4 25%
7/13 0%
3rd Down
7/16 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
2/2 0%

First Downs

16
Total
19
12
Pass
13
4
Rush
4
0
Penalty
2
6/35
Penalties/Yards
3/10
26:39
Possession
33:21

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

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Broncos at Chiefs Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Broncos
6-5
o16.5-115
u16.5-105
Chiefs
9-1
o25.5-108
u25.5-112