Falcons vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

Falcons at Broncos

9:05 pm • FOX

Atlanta Falcons

8-7

6 - 38

Denver Broncos

9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Falcons 8-7	-3.5	+2-108	o44.5-110	+112
Broncos 9-6	u44.5	-2-112	u44.5-112	-132

Sunday 9:05 p.m.

November 17, 2024

Empower Field at Mile HighDenver

B.Robinson o24.5 Rec Yds (Live)-140

0.71u

Another VIP Cash🔥✅

B.Nix o239.5 Pass + Rush Yds-114

🔬 Nix plays much better when not under pressure and faces a falcons defense that are bottom 6 in time to throw allowed. 🔬Last week Carr threw +ran for 286, dak and rush combined for 282 the week before

C.Sutton o4.5 Recs-102

0.98u

L.Humphrey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+480

2.4u

L.Humphrey u22.5 Rec Yds-110

@ChrisRaybon

DEN -1.5-112

0.89u

@ChrisRaybon

Under 45-110

0.91u

@The_Oddsmaker

DEN -1.5-112

0.45u

ATL +2-110

1.1u

ATL +1.5-109

1.09u

Under 45-110

L.Humphrey u22.5 Rec Yds-110

DEN -125

Under 45.5-115

DEN -125

0.8u

Under 45-112

DEN o23 Team Total-120

0.83u

Maybe the weirdest line of the day

ATL +2-110

0.55u

DEN -130

0.77u

C.Sutton o4.5 Recs-110

Over 20.5 (1H)-125

B.Nix o28.5 Rush Yds-113

Y.Koo o1.5 FGs Made-105

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-11-expert-data-driven-picks

D.Vele Anytime TD Scorer Yes+425

0.5u

B.Robinson o25.5 Rec Yds-113

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-11-picks-calvin-ridley-zay-flowers-bijan-robinson

B.Robinson o25.5 Rec Yds-130

0.77u

DEN -2.5-110

Stuckey 2

C.Sutton Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

B.Nix o19.5 Pass Comp+104

1.04u

B.Robinson o24.5 Rec Yds-120

-Bijan has 28+ Receiving Yards in 4 straight games avg 5.8 targets -Denver is allowing the 5th most RB receiving yards and they have allowed 5 RBs over this number in the last 3 games: Perine 37, Hunt 65, Henry 27, Hill 43, Sanders 38 -Denver is top 5 in man coverage ran this season -> Bijan has been elite vs man with an 83.8 PFF grade, 14.1 YAC per reception and 2.00 Y/RR

ATL +112

Falcons are favored in my model thanks to a much superior offense and a defense that is good enough to get the job done.

DEN -126

0.48u

Featured Insight
The Falcons have allowed 9.1 PPG during the second half this season -- T-10th-best in NFL; the Broncos have scored 9.0 points per game in the second half this season -- 10th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Broncos have run successful plays on 53.0% of pass attempts against a base rush since Week 7 -- T-5th-best in NFL; the Falcons have pressured opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts with a base rush since Week 7 -- T-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

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NFL Public Betting

Broncos are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Broncos are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Broncos are 6-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Broncos' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Broncos' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Broncos	11-4	5-2	6-2	7-0	4-4
Falcons	6-9	3-5	3-4	5-5	1-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Broncos	9-5-1	4-2-1	5-3	5-1-1	4-4
Falcons	5-10	2-6	3-4	4-6	1-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Broncos	9-6	N/A	N/A	7-0	2-6
Falcons	8-7	N/A	N/A	7-3	1-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 10th	@KC	L 14-16	+7.5 W	U 42.5	KC +290
Nov 3rd	@BAL	L 10-41	+9 L	O 46.5	BAL +340
Oct 27th	CAR	W 28-14	-13 W	O 40.5	DEN -797
Oct 18th	@NO	W 33-10	-2.5 W	O 37	DEN -148
Oct 13th	LAC	L 16-23	+3 L	O 37	LAC +125

Luke Wattenberg
C
Wattenberg is questionable with ankle
Questionable

Delarrin Turner-Yell
S
Turner-Yell is out with knee
Out
Riley Moss
CB
Moss is out with knee
Out
Drew Sanders
LB
Sanders is out with achilles
Out
Jaleel McLaughlin
RB
McLaughlin is out with quad
Out

Lorenzo Carter
OLB
Carter is questionable with groin
Questionable
Mike Hughes
CB
Hughes is questionable with neck
Questionable
KhaDarel Hodge
WR
Hodge is questionable with ribs
Questionable
James Smith-Williams
DE
Smith-Williams is out with tibia
Out
Ta'Quon Graham
DE
Graham is out with pectoral
Out
Drake London
WR
London is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Troy Andersen
LB
Andersen is out with knee
Out
Jase McClellan
RB
McClellan is out with knee
Out
Casey Washington
WR
Washington is out with concussion
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Falcons

Total

Broncos

226

Total Yards

400

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

6.7

Falcons

Passing

Broncos

197

YDS

307

20/31

Comps/Atts

28/33

5.029

YPA

8.676

0/1

TDs/INTs

4/0

4/21

Sacks/Yards

1/12

Falcons

Rushing

Broncos

Rush Yards

105

Attempts

2.381

YPC

4.038

TDs

Falcons

Turnovers

Broncos

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Falcons

Efficiency

Broncos

0/1 0%

Redzone

4/4 100%

4/13 0%

3rd Down

6/11 0%

2/2 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Falcons

First Downs

Broncos

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Falcons

Misc

Broncos

6/52

Penalties/Yards

4/45

29:55

Possession

30:05

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MatchupOverUnder
Falcons 8-7	o21.5-108	u21.5-112
Broncos 9-6	o22.5-122	u22.5+102

Falcons vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

Falcons at Broncos

Atlanta Falcons

Denver Broncos

Falcons at Broncos Odds

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Falcons vs. Broncos Public Betting Percentages

Falcons

Public

Broncos

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Broncos vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Broncos Injuries

Falcons Injuries

Falcons vs. Broncos Odds Comparison

Falcons at Broncos Team Totals