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Patriots vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - December 31, 2023

Patriots at Bills

6:00 pm • CBS

New England Patriots

4-13
21
21 - 27

Buffalo Bills

1-0
27

Patriots at Bills Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Patriots
4-13
+14
+14.5-105
o40-112
+750
Bills
1-0
u40
-14.5-115
u40-108
-1200
location pinSunday 6:00 p.m.
December 31, 2023
Highmark StadiumOrchard Park
Patriots vs. Bills Expert Picks
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
384d ago
Last 30d: 19-17-0 (-0.9u)
Under 51.5 (Live)-120
0.2u
Full game total is toast after a joke of a start. 20 points with very little offense from either team. Small play on what will hopefully be a lower scoring game going forward
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
384d ago
Last 30d: 160-125-0 (+38.5u)
BUF -8.5 (Live)-110
0.5u
Why are the Bills such bozos man wtf is this
BUF -14-110
1u
Fading the Pats after a road win - Buffalo mob deep
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
384d ago
Last 30d: 16-32-0 (-6.6u)
Under 40.5-110
0.55u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
384d ago
Last 30d: 12-46-0 (-0.8u)
S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155
1u
@charliedisturco
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
384d ago
Last 30d: 84-76-5 (+2.2u)
BUF u26.5 Team Total+104
2u
YBK Picks.com
384d ago
Last 30d: 40-43-0 (-7.1u)
BUF -14.5-105
2u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
384d ago
Last 30d: 488-536-32 (+20.8u)
Under 40.5-118
1u
Convince Me
Convince Me
384d ago
Last 30d: 31-31-0 (+0.2u)
Under 40.5-110
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
384d ago
Last 30d: 21-30-0 (-10.6u)
NE +14.5-110
0.91u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
384d ago
Last 30d: 162-188-2 (+7.0u)
E.Elliott Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190
2u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
384d ago
Last 30d: 345-274-4 (+70.0u)
BUF -13.5-115
1.15u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
384d ago
Last 30d: 19-17-0 (-0.9u)
Under 40.5-115
1.15u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
385d ago
Last 30d: 102-90-2 (+0.9u)
NE +14-110
1u
Zappe ⚡️ Hour ⚡️
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
386d ago
Last 30d: 16-23-0 (-4.3u)
BUF -13-110
1u
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
387d ago
Last 30d: 10-14-0 (-5.4u)
BUF -12-105
1.05u
Stuckey 1
Bruce Marshall
Bruce Marshall
387d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +13.5-110
0.91u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
387d ago
Last 30d: 52-49-2 (+0.7u)
BUF -12-110
0.6u
Streak on the line
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
389d ago
Last 30d: 13-11-0 (+1.5u)
Over 40.5-110
0.91u
Available at FanDuel. I'm showing value in the Bills' spread at -11.5, but with it being between key numbers, I'd rather just take the game total over. My model has that at 44.3, a good chunk above this mark. As of now, the weather in Buffalo looks great for December with temperatures above freezing and just 9 mph winds. That should allow these offenses to operate at full capacity. Neither defense has been one to write home about, and the Bills have shown they can generate explosives whether they decide to lean on the run or the pass. Pace in this game is middling, so it's nothing to drag things down much. I don't see a ton of reasons to be wary of this number, especially as we get a win on a key number of 41. The Bills could get there by themselves, so this is my preferred route to exposure to them in this spot.

PRO Insights

Patriots logo

Patriots

NE Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Patriots logoThe Patriots have allowed 5.9 yards per dropback when defending on plays to the left since Week 13 -- 9th-best in NFL; the Bills have thrown for 5.9 yards per attempt on plays to the left side of the field since Week 13 -- 9th-worst in NFL.
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Bills logo

Bills

BUF Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Bills logoThe Bills have gained at least 5 yards on 45.0% of first down plays since Week 13 -- T-8th-best in NFL; the Patriots have allowed at least 5 yards on 44.0% of first down plays since Week 13 -- T-8th-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Patriots vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

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    Gallant's Week 17 ATD Picks & Game Previews

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    Sunday's 2 Sharpest NFL Predictions

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  • Stuckey's NFL Week 17 ATS Picks article feature image

    Stuckey's NFL Week 17 ATS Picks

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    Dec 31, 2023 UTC
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Patriots vs. Bills Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Patriots vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages

Patriots

Public

Home Logo

Bills

48%

Bets%

52%

Money%

NFL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Bills are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Bills' 8 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills		10-75-35-48-52-2
Patriots		7-9-13-4-14-4N/A7-9-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Bills		11-66-25-410-31-3
Patriots		11-67-13-5N/A11-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills		13-4N/AN/A11-22-2
Patriots		4-13N/AN/AN/A4-13

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 24th@LACW 24-22-12.5 LO 44.5BUF -800
Dec 17thDALW 31-10-2.5 WU 49.5BUF -140
Dec 10th@KCW 20-17+1.5 WU 49BUF +105
Nov 26th@PHIL 34-37+2.5 LO 48.5PHI +124
Nov 19thNYJW 32-6-8.5 WU 39.5BUF -380

Patriots vs. Bills Injury Updates

Patriots Injuries

  • Hunter Henry
    TE

    Henry is out with foot

    Out

  • Jabrill Peppers
    S

    Peppers is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Sione Takitaki
    LB

    Takitaki is questionable with groin

    Questionable

  • Kyle Dugger
    S

    Dugger is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Anfernee Jennings
    LB

    Jennings is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Cole Strange
    G

    Strange is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Marcus Jones
    CB

    Jones is out with hip

    Out

  • Ben Brown
    C

    Brown is out with concussion

    Out

  • Christian Gonzalez
    CB

    Gonzalez is out with concussion

    Out

  • Alex Austin
    CB

    Austin is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Titus Leo
    LB

    Leo is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Jaquelin Roy
    DT

    Roy is out with foot

    Out

  • Ja'Lynn Polk
    WR

    Polk is out with shoulder

    Out

Bills Injuries

  • Casey Toohill
    DE

    Toohill is questionable with ribs

    Questionable

  • Baylon Spector
    LB

    Spector is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Ray Davis
    RB

    Davis is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

  • Brandon Codrington
    DB

    Codrington is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

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Team Stats

Total

294
Total Yards
281
53
Total Plays
68
5.5
Yards Per Play
4.1

Passing

209
YDS
169
16/26
Comps/Atts
15/30
6.586
YPA
4.968
0/3
TDs/INTs
0/1
3/18
Sacks/Yards
1/15

Rushing

103
Rush Yards
127
24
Attempts
37
4.292
YPC
3.432
2
TDs
2

Turnovers

1
Fumbles Lost
0
3
Interceptions
1

Efficiency

2/2 100%
Redzone
2/5 40%
4/10 0%
3rd Down
7/15 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
0/0 0%

First Downs

16
Total
19
8
Pass
8
7
Rush
10
1
Penalty
1

Misc

2/20
Penalties/Yards
4/32
27:08
Possession
32:52

Patriots vs. Bills Odds Comparison

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Patriots at Bills Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Patriots
4-13
o12.5-110
u12.5+100
Bills
1-0
o27.5-102
u27.5-116