Cowboys vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - December 17, 2023

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@charliedisturco

@ChrisRaybon

#ConvinceMe

Irresponsibly and jealously fading the MVP smh

DK at -125 Under in 9/12, with only 3 of his 61 catches going for 16+. 5.6 aDOT - significantly lower than the Bills WRs - only 7/72 targets have traveled even 15 air yards.

Exec Decision

Stuckey 2

Available at FanDuel. I've been on the Bills plenty recently, and I'm sure I'll be back soon. But I do think this undersells the Cowboys a bit. Thanks to their post-bye surge, the Cowboys now sit second in my model's power rankings behind just the 49ers. The Bills are fifth there, but there is a decent little gap between the two teams, thanks in large part to the Cowboys' superior defense. This is a road game outdoors for a dome team in December, and the Cowboys' offense has been much more efficient at home than on the road. They have played just two road games since their shift to being more pass-heavy, though, and they probably should have beaten the Eagles in one of those. When you blend it all together, my model makes the Cowboys slight favorites here, allowing me to take the +116 on the moneyline.

Accidentally put in bills first half when I wanted to do full game.

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