Saints vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - October 15, 2023

FanDuel

READ IT: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-6-prop-picks-bets-john-metchie-sam-howell

Since Perryman went down, To’oto’o assumed the primary off ball Lb position - recording 12, 7, 10 tackles (perryman did come back and play a reduced workload last week). Now, Perryman has been ruled inactive, solidifying To’oto’o’s role. Love the matchup here - Carr clearly struggling with the deep ball, so aDOT has been shorter, especially with his favorite check-down, Kamara, back in action.

This number was locked in for our contest on Thursday.

Boyd

Good ol fashioned western cowboy bar shootout

5-0 on reception props this year, let's go 6-0 Have -240 fair

Week 6 best bets pod https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-6-odds-bets-picks

Much discussed on the faves, @SimonHunterNFL loves this game.

Bet at Bet365. Would still play down to +120. The luck will run out this week for Stroud. INT incoming facing Saints.

Rolo x Royal x Ramble

Available at FanDuel. My model has now shown value in the Texans' moneyline all six weeks, and although they're 2-3, cashing a +320 ticket has made that a profitable endeavor. The hope here is that New Orleans' rush defense -- which has been stout thus far -- encourages the Texans to skew more pass-heavy than they have on early downs. Their rush offense is hideous, so every rush attempt drags down the team's scoring expectation. But their passing offense ranks fourth in schedule-adjusted passing efficiency, according to numberFire's metrics. They'll likely be without Tank Dell this week, but they played a bunch of those games without Laremy Tunsil and Tytus Howard, who returned last week. My model makes the Texans one-point home favorites, pushing me to take the plus money on the moneyline.