Commanders vs. Ravens Odds & Betting Predictions - October 13, 2024
Commanders at Ravens
5:00 pm • CBSCommanders at Ravens Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Commanders 4-1 | +8.5 | +6.5-105 | o51.5-110 | +247 |
Ravens 3-2 | u46.5 | -6.5-115 | u51.5-112 | -307 |
Sunday 5:00 p.m.
October 13, 2024M&T Bank StadiumBaltimore
77°Fahrenheit
0%Rain
8Wind
Commanders vs. Ravens Expert Picks
Chad Millman
17m ago
Last 30d: 15-16-1 (-3.0u)
Under 51.5-110
0.75u
RocketPlays
2h ago
Last 30d: 22-33-0 (+1.6u)
T.McLaurin o59.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
7h ago
Last 30d: 156-161-2 (-7.5u)
R.Bateman o2.5 Recs+102
1u
-111 devig odds with 1% ev giving us value and projection leans to the over with good history and matchup
Z.Ertz u3.5 Recs-108
1u
-127 devig odds with 2.73% ev giving us value and projection leans to the under with good history and matchup
Greg Matherne
8h ago
Last 30d: 34-47-1 (-1.6u)
Under 52-110
0.55u
CeeJ Picks
11h ago
Last 30d: 41-70-0 (+12.4u)
D.Henry o16.5 Longest Rush-135
1.35u
Henry has been a beast this season with the Ravens as the dynamic duo of him and Lamar has proven tough for opposing defenses to stop. This week Henry will take on the Commanders who have struggled against the run this season. The Commanders defense rank 22nd against the run and have allowed every running back they have faced to go over their longest rush line.
RBs that hit their line vs WSH:
Irving 31 yard run
Moss 15 yard run
Chase 16 yard run
Conner 20 yard run
Ford 16 yard run
Henry has hit this line in 4 straight games and it hasn't even been close as every game he has sprung a moster run for AT LEAST 29 yards. Great matchup for Henry to break one yet again for the 5th straight week!
Chris Gimino
12h ago
Last 30d: 23-22-1 (-0.6u)
BAL -6.5-115
1u
Prop Bet Guy
12h ago
Last 30d: 79-59-0 (+14.5u)
Z.Ertz u15.5 Longest Reception-120
1.2u
Under in 4/5. Another matchup against a team that plays heavy man coverage (Ravens at the 8th highest rate). Ertz has four of Daniels’ 38 targets against zone, and only 1 of 26 completions (7 yards).
BAL has allowed long receptions to TEs - but they’ve also faced the gauntlet of TEs (Kelce, Bowers, Ferguson, Kincaid). Ertz’s route tree looks much different than those guys.
Chris Gimino
12h ago
Last 30d: 23-22-1 (-0.6u)
A.Ekeler u44.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Gilles Gallant
13h ago
Last 30d: 26-69-0 (-7.8u)
T.McLaurin 2+ TDs Yes+1400
0.25u
Collin Whitchurch
14h ago
Last 30d: 164-143-3 (+8.9u)
L.Jackson u29.5 Pass Att-117
0.59u
Nick Giffen
14h ago
Last 30d: 46-88-2 (+19.6u)
L.Jackson u29.5 Pass Att-117
1.17u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-6-player-prop-picks-lamar-jackson-jonathan-mingo
Gilles Gallant
14h ago
Last 30d: 26-69-0 (-7.8u)
Z.Ertz o27.5 Rec Yds+100
0.5u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
15h ago
Last 30d: 31-21-0 (+7.1u)
Z.Ertz o27.5 Rec Yds-113
1.13u
Collin Whitchurch
15h ago
Last 30d: 164-143-3 (+8.9u)
Z.Ertz o27.5 Rec Yds-113
0.57u
Invisible Insider
15h ago
Last 30d: 7-2-0 (+2.9u)
BAL -6.5-115
0.4u
Adding .4u’s to this play! Free play for tomorrow! Previously had .1u out.
MJC Locks
15h ago
Last 30d: 9-10-0 (-0.3u)
T.McLaurin o22.5 Longest Reception-118
1u
-5/L5 WR1s vs BAL had a 30+ Long Reception
-BAL allowing the 5th highest YPR
-55, 66 Long reception in last 3 games
-Expecting WAS to be trailing most of the game as they are big road dogs & Lamar has dominated NFC opponents in his career (21-1 record)
Chris Gimino
19h ago
Last 30d: 23-22-1 (-0.6u)
Z.Flowers o4.5 Recs-125
1u
Kyle Just Bets
19h ago
Last 30d: 24-18-0 (+3.5u)
D.Henry o17.5 Longest Rush-130
1u
Invisible Insider
1d ago
Last 30d: 7-2-0 (+2.9u)
BAL -6.5-115
0.1u
Early NFL free play. Stay tuned. I’m either adding units or getting on a different play!
Tyvan (PropsFromPrime on X)
1d ago
Last 30d: 4-0-0 (+4.0u)
J.Daniels o224.5 Pass Yds-114
1.14u
- Baltimore is a top 3 run defense in basically every metric, and they are a massive pass-funnel. Along with Baltimore having an elite offense that should run it up on this awful Commanders defense, this should just be a massive pass volume game here for the Commanders.
- Baltimore is allowing 304 pass yards/game, the most in the NFL.
- The Ravens play mostly zone, 70.2% of the time, but don't run cover 2 (only 4.8% of the time, 3rd lowest). Vs Covers 3, 4, & 6, Daniels literally had the highest yards/attempt in the NFL (min 20 pass attempts). He is averaging 10.37 yards/attempt vs these coverages.
- Brian Robinson has not practiced this week, which is just another thing that if he doesn't go will help with pass volume.
- Baltimore should be prepared for Daniels legs and scrambling, given they employ Lamar Jackson. So far this year, QB's rushing vs BAL:
Mahomes: 2-3
Minshew: 1- (-1)
Dak 2-7:
Allen: 5-21
Burrow: 2-1
They just haven't allowed scrambles so far. I don't think Daniels has a big game with his legs here either.
- This play just checks all the boxes here, have to play it.
Markus Markets
1d ago
Last 30d: 35-37-0 (+9.6u)
D.Henry 80+ Rushing Yards Yes-130
1u
FanDuel
Grant Neiffer
2d ago
Last 30d: 18-29-0 (-11.3u)
Z.Flowers o4.5 Recs-115
1.15u
Mjaybrod
3d ago
Last 30d: 93-119-0 (-19.5u)
J.Daniels o30.5 Pass Att-120
1u
Great read by @moneyplayzz
Nick Giffen
3d ago
Last 30d: 46-88-2 (+19.6u)
Under 51.5-110
1.1u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-6-luck-rankings-picks-4-games-fit-thresholds
Grant Neiffer
3d ago
Last 30d: 18-29-0 (-11.3u)
L.Jackson u224.5 Pass Yds-110
1.1u
J.Daniels u227.5 Pass Yds-110
1.1u
Sandy Plashkes
3d ago
Last 30d: 118-101-3 (+24.3u)
BAL -6.5-110
1.1u
Anthony Dabbundo
4d ago
Last 30d: 78-80-3 (-4.0u)
Under 52.5-110
1.1u
Brian Edwards
4d ago
Last 30d: 26-20-1 (+5.0u)
WAS +6.5-110
1u
Babs .
5d ago
Last 30d: 75-57-1 (+11.2u)
Over 49.5-130
1u
PRO Insights
Commanders
WAS Insights
- Featured InsightThe Commanders have thrown for 20+ yards on 14 of 134 attempts this season -- T-6th-best in NFL; the Ravens allowed 20+ yards on 12.0% of attempts this season -- 3rd-worst in NFL.
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Ravens
BAL Insights
- Featured InsightRavens QBs have a 106.6 passer rating against a base front this season -- T-4th-best in NFL; the Commanders have allowed a passer rating of 108.8 with a base front this season -- 5th-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Commanders vs. Ravens Previews & Analysis
Commanders vs. Ravens Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Commanders vs. Ravens Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Ravens are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Ravens are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Ravens are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Ravens' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Ravens' 2 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ravens | 3-2 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
Commanders | 5-1 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 3-1 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ravens | 4-1 | 1-1 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 1-0 |
Commanders | 4-2 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 3-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ravens | 3-2 | N/A | N/A | 3-1 | 0-1 |
Commanders | 4-1 | N/A | N/A | 2-0 | 3-1 |
Last 5 Matchups
Commanders vs. Ravens Injury Updates
Commanders Injuries
- Brian RobinsonRB
Robinson is questionable with knee
Questionable
Ravens Injuries
- Ronnie StanleyT
Stanley is questionable with toe
Questionable
- Marlon HumphreyCB
Humphrey is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Deonte HartyWR
Harty is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Malik HarrisonLB
Harrison is out with groin
Out
- Broderick WashingtonDT
Washington is out with knee
Out
- Malaesala Aumavae-LauluG
Aumavae-Laulu is questionable with back
Questionable
- Keaton MitchellRB
Mitchell is out with knee
Out
- Rasheen AliRB
Ali is questionable with neck
Questionable
Player Stats
- passing yardsLamar Jackson1206pyds
- passing touchdownsLamar Jackson9ptd
- rushing yardsDerrick Henry572ryds
- rushing touchdownsDerrick Henry6rtd
Depth Charts
Starter | 2ND | 3RD | 4TH | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
QB | Lamar Jackson | Josh Johnson | Devin Leary | ||
RB | Derrick Henry | Justice Hill | Rasheen Ali | Chris Collier | Owen Wright |
WR | Nelson Agholor | Deonte Harty | Malik Cunningham | Dayton Wade | Anthony Miller |
TE | Mark Andrews | Isaiah Likely | Charlie Kolar | ||
LT | Ronnie Stanley | Josh Jones | |||
LG | Andrew Vorhees | Ben Cleveland | |||
C | Tyler Linderbaum | Nick Samac | Darrian Dalcourt | ||
RG | Daniel Faalele | Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu | Corey Bullock | ||
RT | Roger Rosengarten | Patrick Mekari | |||
WLB | Trenton Simpson | Josh Ross | Deion Jennings | ||
MLB | Roquan Smith | Chris Board | |||
LCB | Marlon Humphrey | Nate Wiggins | Trayvon Mullen | ||
SS | Kyle Hamilton | Ar'Darius Washington | Sanoussi Kane | Beau Brade | |
FS | Marcus Williams | Eddie Jackson | |||
RCB | Brandon Stephens | Jalyn Armour-Davis | T.J. Tampa | Christian Matthew | |
P | Jordan Stout | ||||
H | Jordan Stout | ||||
PR | Deonte Harty | Tylan Wallace | Zay Flowers | Damarion Williams | Dayton Wade |
KR | Deonte Harty | Justice Hill | Tylan Wallace | Rasheen Ali | Chris Collier |
LS | Nick Moore | ||||
NT | Michael Pierce | ||||
K | Justin Tucker | ||||
LWR | Zay Flowers | Tylan Wallace | |||
LOLB | Odafe Oweh | David Ojabo | Malik Harrison | ||
DE | Broderick Washington | Brent Urban | C.J. Ravenell | ||
NB | Arthur Maulet | Damarion Williams | Bump Cooper | ||
DT | Nnamdi Madubuike | Travis Jones | |||
RWR | Rashod Bateman | Devontez Walker | Keith Kirkwood | ||
FB | Patrick Ricard | ||||
ROLB | Kyle Van Noy | Tavius Robinson | Adisa Isaac |
Team Stats
1071
YDS
1182
102/134
Comps/Atts
99/151
8.455
YPA
7.993
4/2
TDs/INTs
9/1
12/62
Sacks/Yards
5/25
Commanders vs. Ravens Odds Comparison
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Commanders at Ravens Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Commanders 4-1 | N/A | N/A |
Ravens 3-2 | N/A | N/A |