Astros vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2023

Astros at Twins

8:10 pm • BSN

Houston Astros

9-8

2 - 3

Minnesota Twins

6-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Gray			2.79	8-8
J.Urquidy			5.29	3-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 9-8	+1.5-198	o7.5-108	+110
Twins 6-8	-1.5+163	u7.5-112	-131

Friday 8:10 p.m.

April 07, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

HOU +120

Under 7.5-110

MIN -132

Under 7.5-105

MIN -135

0.74u

J.Urquidy u5.5 Ks-112

1.12u

Urquidy actually traditionally has reverse splits, so seeing 7 righties in the twins lineup helps us here. He struggled on the road with Ks last season too (under in 10/15 road starts). Gallo and Larnach only bad spots for Twins today.

Under 7.5-105

0.95u

MIN -125

0.8u

MIN -125

MIN -122

Under 8-115

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (-102)

MIN -115

0.5u

Bet to -116

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The Astros are 31-15 (.674) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Astros are 30-15 (.667) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .546.

The Twins are just 8-58 (.121) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.

34% of Alex Bregman strikeouts were looking last season -- 11th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 52% of Sonny Gray strikeouts were looking last season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to September 10th, 2022 -- Nick Pivetta has the longest active streak at 6.

Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (422/814) on sliders since the 2021 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 19% (103/541) against Jose Urquidy in 2022 -- 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 11th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	@MIA	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 7	MIA -120
Apr 4th	@MIA	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 7	MIA +132
Apr 3rd	@MIA	W 11-1	-1.5 W	O 8	MIN -126
Apr 2nd	@KC	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 9	MIN -146
Apr 1st	@KC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -163

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Urquidy, P	95	5.1	6	1
RB.Abreu, P	14	0.2	1	0
RR.Montero, P	10	1	0	0
RH.Neris, P	17	1	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	13	1	3	0
RR.Stanek, P	23	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Pena, SS	0-5	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	1
3Y.Alvarez, LF	0-2	0	0
4J.Abreu, DH	1-4	0	0
5K.Tucker, RF	1-4	0	0
6D.Hensley, 1B	0-4	1	0
7C.McCormick, CF	0-4	0	0
8M.Dubon, 2B	2-4	1	1
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	98	7	13	1
RG.Jax, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	19	1	2	0
RJ.Lopez, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Buxton, DH	2-5	1	0
2C.Correa, SS	0-5	0	0
3T.Larnach, LF	0-4	1	0
3T.Larnach, RF	0-4	1	0
4J.Miranda, 3B	3-5	0	1
5D.Solano, 1B	2-4	1	0
6K.Farmer, 2B	2-5	0	1
7J.Gallo, RF	0-1	0	0
7N.Gordon, PH	0-2	0	0
7N.Gordon, LF	0-2	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	2-4	0	0