Twins vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Twins at Marlins

5:10 pm • BSFL

Minnesota Twins

6-8

2 - 5

Miami Marlins

6-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
P.Lopez			3.67	11-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 6-8	-1.5+150	o7-115	-120
Marlins 6-8	+1.5-181	u7-105	+100

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

April 05, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

MIN -118

MIN -120 (Live)

1.2u

Late adding this

P.Lopez o17.5 Outs-130

Built up to 85 pitches last start, should be good for 95 today. Good matchup vs MIA (familiar surroundings for him) without Arraez. 7 righties (.648 OPS against last season), and MIA bats struggling out the gate.

MIN -120

1.2u

MIA +0.5 (F5)-107

Fd -134 profit boost

B.Buxton o0.5 Total Bases-145

0.69u

D.Solano o1.5 Total Bases+155

MIN o3.5-115

1.15u

MIA u3.5-135

1.35u

MIN -110

1.1u

Under 7+100

0.4u

Under 3.5 (F5)-110

0.4u

MIA -102

0.5u

#Fish #LetsGoFish

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The Marlins are just 57-5 (.919) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Twins are just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 9-36 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Marlins are just 105-18 (.854) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.

Luis Arraez had a miss rate of only 6% on changeups last season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Pablo Lopez threw his changeup 35% of the time last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Joey Gallo struck out in 42% of PA's over the last 30 days -- sixth highest among hitters with at least 45 total PA's-- first Percentile. Jesus Luzardo had a strikeout rate of 33% over the last 30 days -- ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has a strike rate of just 43% (16/37) in two strike counts this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- fourth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 56% (13/23) against Pablo Lopez this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 45% (17/38) against Pablo Lopez this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 4th	MIN	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7	MIA -160
Apr 3rd	MIN	L 1-11	+1.5 L	O 8	MIN +106
Apr 2nd	NYM	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8	NYM +100
Apr 1st	NYM	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -114
Mar 31st	NYM	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA -110

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lopez, P	88	7	8	1
RG.Jax, P	9	0.1	1	2
LC.Thielbar, P	13	0.2	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Buxton, DH	1-4	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	0-3	0	0
3D.Solano, 1B	1-3	0	0
3J.Gallo, PH	0-1	0	0
3J.Gallo, 1B	0-1	0	0
4J.Miranda, 3B	0-4	0	0
5K.Farmer, 2B	1-4	1	0
6R.Jeffers, C	1-3	1	0
7W.Castro, LF	0-4	0	0
8T.Larnach, RF	1-4	0	1
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	99	7	10	1
RD.Floro, P	16	1	1	0
LA.Puk, P	27	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-1	0	0	0
1B.De La Cruz, CF	1-3	1	0	1
2J.Soler, DH	2-4	2	2	4
3G.Cooper, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Sanchez, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7J. Segura, 3B	2-3	1	0	0
8J.Berti, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9G.Hampson, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9L.Arraez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Arraez, 2B	0-1	0	0	0