Astros vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 9, 2023

Astros at Twins

6:10 pm • BSNX

Houston Astros

0-2

5 - 1

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Mahle			3.16	1-2
H.Brown			5.09	11-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 0-2	-1.5+140	o8-115	-120
Twins 0-0	+1.5-170	u8-105	+102

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

April 09, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

T.Mahle o4.5 Ks-146

He’s inconsistent, but he hit this line in 16/21 full starts last season, and looked sharp in his first start. Astros profile as a higher-K team this season (25% so far) and are trotting out a weaker lineup. Ok with this at -150 as well. Partial unit at o5.5 Ks at +115 or better.

MIN +100

0.5u

HOU +102 (F5)

0.51u

Bet to -110

HOU +100

0.5u

Bet to -105

HOU -103 (F5)

MIN -105

1.05u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Sunday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 9, 2023 UTC

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The Astros are 31-15 (.674) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Astros are 41-55 (.427) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Hunter Brown has not allowed a home run in any of the last 28.2 innings he's appeared -- Shohei Ohtani has the longest active streak at 61.0.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% (57/196) against Tyler Mahle on inside fastballs since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 15% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a swing rate of just 32% (103/326) against Tyler Mahle on low breaking pitches in 2022 -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 8th	HOU	W 9-6	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIN -115
Apr 7th	HOU	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIN -131
Apr 5th	@MIA	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 7	MIA -120
Apr 4th	@MIA	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 7	MIA +132
Apr 3rd	@MIA	W 11-1	-1.5 W	O 8	MIN -126

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RH.Brown, P	97	7	7
RB.Abreu, P	24	1	3
RR.Pressly, P	10	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.McCormick, CF	2-5	1	1	4
1C.McCormick, RF	2-5	1	1	4
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Abreu, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5K.Tucker, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Meyers, CF	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Pena, SS	2-4	1	0	1
7C.Julks, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8Y.Diaz, C	2-4	0	0	0
9M.Dubon, 2B	2-4	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Mahle, P	90	6	6	4
RJ.Alcala, P	45	1.2	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	25	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Buxton, DH	1-4	1	0
2T.Larnach, LF	0-3	0	0
3J.Miranda, 3B	0-4	0	0
4D.Solano, 1B	1-4	0	1
5N.Gordon, 2B	0-3	0	0
6K.Farmer, SS	0-2	0	0
7M.Wallner, RF	0-2	0	0
8R.Jeffers, C	0-2	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0