Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2023
Braves at Marlins
8:10 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 3.63 | 10-9 | |
![]() | ![]() | 7.60 | 2-2 |
Braves at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Braves 6-13 | -1.5+152 | o8.5-120 | -105 | |
![]() Marlins 8-11 | +1.5-185 | u8.5-102 | -115 |

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Braves vs. Marlins Expert Picks

Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 90-87-4 (-0.6u)
MIA -112
1u

Anders
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (+1.2u)
MIA -110 (F5)
2.2u

Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 58-47-0 (+5.9u)
MIA -110
1.1u

Matthew Vincenzi
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
MIA -110
1.1u

Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 25-26-0 (+0.8u)
MIA -107
0.4u

Derek Farnsworth
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-2.6u)
MIA -110
1.1u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 174-181-19 (-0.5u)
MIA -112 (F5)
0.56u
Bet to -115

Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 409-575-16 (+4.8u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-113
1.2u
-102
MIA -120 (F5)
1.2u

Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL -140
0.5u
Fried allowed a single earned run in 11 IP v Fish in 2022. Allowed single earned run in 20 IP through 2023
Braves vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Braves vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Braves are 88-10 (.898) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Marlins are just 66-10 (.868) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Braves are 120-65 (.649) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Matchup Contrasts
Ronald Acuna is slugging 1.000 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. 99% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.
Ronald Acuna is batting .591 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 99% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .576 (33 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 -- first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (9/73) against Jesus Luzardo this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 98th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Braves vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 2-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Marlins' 13 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Braves vs. Marlins Injury Updates

Braves Injuries
- Ronald AcunaOF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
- Joe JimenezP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
- Nacho AlvarezIF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Marlins Injuries
- Braxton GarrettP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Ryan WeathersP
Weathers is out with arm
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Braves vs. Marlins Box Score

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 85 | 6 | 1 | 3 | |
![]() | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 106 | 5.2 | 5 | 3 | |
![]() | 31 | 1.1 | 4 | 0 | |
![]() | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 20 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
![]() | 3 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Braves vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Braves at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Braves 6-13 | N/A | N/A |
![]() Marlins 8-11 | N/A | N/A |