Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 16, 2024
Guardians at Red Sox
11:10 pm • NESNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 1.96 | 1-0 | |
![]() | ![]() | 3.47 | 12-8 |
Guardians at Red Sox Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Guardians 8-12 | -1.5+164 | o8.5-101 | +100 | |
![]() Red Sox 11-7 | +1.5-196 | u8.5-118 | -121 |

Fenway ParkBoston
Guardians vs. Red Sox Expert Picks

The Degenerate
332d ago
Last 30d: 74-140-2 (-29.6u)
R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-115
0.96u
Have to martingale after losing yesterday

Zense
332d ago
Last 30d: 71-61-2 (+11.0u)
Under 8.5-118
1u

Green Dot Daily
332d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Casas o0.5 HR+560
2.8u
@AnthonyDabbundo

Dan Gaspar
332d ago
Last 30d: 29-19-0 (+14.3u)
T.Bibee o15.5 Outs-115
1.15u

Kevin Thomas
332d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
CLE -105
0.95u

Steak Friend
332d ago
Last 30d: 262-304-6 (-33.9u)
BOS -115
1.15u

Jim Sannes
332d ago
Last 30d: 2-24-0 (-7.5u)
BOS -110
1u
Intrigued by what Garrett Whitlock has done in his first three starts. Underlying data on him is pretty good, and it would make the Red Sox slight favorites for me on a neutral field. Giving them home field makes the -110 seem pretty light.

Shady Biev
333d ago
Last 30d: 123-151-1 (-55.6u)
BOS -115
1.73u
Marathon Monday was an industry plot

Greg DiNardo
333d ago
Last 30d: 66-56-0 (+5.0u)
CLE -105
1u

Collin Wilson
333d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 9-115
1.15u

Sean Zerillo
333d ago
Last 30d: 22-29-0 (-1.5u)
Under 9-115
0.58u
Bet to 8.5 (-103)
Guardians vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis
Guardians vs. Red Sox Notes
Keys to the Game
The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Guardians are just 18-24 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Guardians are 11-64 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Red Sox are just 39-51 (.433) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Matchup Contrasts
Andres Gimenez is batting .278 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Kutter Crawford has thrown a breaking pitch 53% of the time since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP-- 96th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (2/29) against Garrett Whitlock on sliders this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 33% -- first Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a .636 SLG vs left-handed batters this season -- sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP-- seventh Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .270 vs left-handed batters last season -- second best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 99th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a .909 SLG versus the top of the order this season -- worst among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP-- 0 Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .318 versus the top of the order last season -- fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 97th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Guardians vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Guardians vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries
- Shane BieberP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
- John MeansP
Means is out with elbow
Out
- David FryC
Fry is out with elbow
Out
- Daniel EspinoP
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Red Sox Injuries
- Rafael DeversIF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
- Patrick SandovalP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
- Kutter CrawfordP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
- Brayan BelloP
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
- Masataka YoshidaOF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out
Guardians vs. Red Sox Box Score

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 92 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
![]() | 20 | 0.1 | 1 | 3 | |
![]() | 17 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
![]() | 29 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 54 | 4 | 1 | 2 | |
![]() | 31 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |
![]() | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
![]() | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 26 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
![]() | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Guardians at Red Sox Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Guardians 8-12 | o3.5-140 | u3.5+110 |
![]() Red Sox 11-7 | o3.5-145 | u3.5+114 |