Nationals vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 16, 2024
Nationals at Phillies
10:40 pm • MASN2Starting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
A.Nola | 3.57 | 14-8 | ||
P.Corbin | 5.62 | 6-13 |
Nationals at Phillies Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Nationals 0-0 | +1.5+120 | o9.5-107 | +225 | |
Phillies 1-3 | -1.5-141 | u9.5-113 | -278 |
Friday 10:40 p.m.
August 16, 2024Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia
Nationals vs. Phillies Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
89d ago
Last 30d: 24-39-0 (-11.6u)
B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases-110
1.1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
89d ago
Last 30d: 219-227-3 (+3.3u)
Over 9-118
1u
… wind out in certain ballparks
Overall: 897-655-81,58% (ROI:12%)
Season:36-34-3,51% (ROI:0%)
Proptology _
89d ago
Last 30d: 14-12-0 (+1.5u)
K.Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases+110
2u
Kyle is 6-18 vs Corbin w/ 2 home runs , he’s hitting lefties better this year with a .333 avg and .551 SLG . Not only that but his sweet spots Vs lefties on the sinker, slider, cutter , fastball and changeup all matchup great with Corbin’s pitch placement. With the wind blowing out to right today Kyle may even go yard in the first at bat, either way I love over 1.5 total bases at plus money today. #PropBet
Charlie DiSturco
89d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases-105
0.53u
The Degenerates
89d ago
Last 30d: 58-63-1 (-10.9u)
PHI -1.5-130
1.3u
JB Bets
89d ago
Last 30d: 67-70-0 (+4.7u)
A.Nola u2.5 Earned Runs-135
0.74u
Andrew A
89d ago
Last 30d: 15-10-0 (+1.3u)
B.Harper o0.5 Total Bases-260
1u
Over the last 12 games Harper has gone over 0.5 hits 10 times. He got 2 hits against Washington last night which the Phillies face again tonight. Pair this with Gleyber Torres over hits for -104 on FanDuel.
Billy Ward
90d ago
Last 30d: 23-36-0 (+1.7u)
PHI +185 (1st Inn)
0.54u
Picks Office
90d ago
Last 30d: 88-109-3 (-28.3u)
Over 9-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
The Phillies have already proved to be quite good at hitting left-handed pitching consistently, especially over the last month. In that case, this is bad news for Patrick Corbin. Corbin has been shaky lately—he gave up 18 earned runs in his three previous starts, pegging him at a cumbersome 5.98 ERA with a 1.56 WHIP across 24 starts this season. His ground ball rate is solid at 46%, but his relatively low strikeout rate of only 16.8% and a home run rate of 1.31 per nine innings show his vulnerability. One would think, too, with a 4.61 FIP that he's due for slight improvement, yet Corbin remains the principle weak link in this rotation for the Nationals.
On the other side, Aaron Nola has been more reliable, but he's not without his faults. For Nola, a 3.60 ERA and 1.15 WHIP are passable, backed by a solid strikeout rate at 23.1% and a respectable walk rate of 6.2%. His home run rate is as alarming as Corbin's, though, coming in at 1.34 per nine innings, which could be problematic given the Phillies' bullpen issues of late—5.06 ERA during their past ten games.
The over is an attractive play here, with both pitchers allowing the long ball this season and Philadelphia's offense due to feast off Washington weaknesses. The Nationals' offense will do more than enough to hang a few runs on Nola, given his recent form. Finally, touting the final element with the Phillies bullpen less than stellar, look for both teams to chip in to the scoreboard in forcing the total over.
Sean Zerillo
90d ago
Last 30d: 48-68-3 (-7.7u)
Over 9-105
0.5u
Flat to -118 or 9.5 (+100)
PRO Insights
Phillies
PHI Insights
- Featured InsightPhillies hitters have an OPS of .757 since last season -- third best in MLB. Nationals RPs have allowed an OPS of .749 (4,453 PAs) since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.
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Nationals vs. Phillies Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Nationals vs. Phillies Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nationals vs. Phillies Injury Updates
Nationals Injuries
- Alex CallOF
Call is out with foot
Out
- Josiah GrayP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
- Cade CavalliP
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
Phillies Injuries
Nationals vs. Phillies Box Score
Nationals Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LP.Corbin, P | 96 | 4.1 | 2 | 2 | |
RJ.Barnes, P | 21 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | |
LR.Garcia, P | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RD.Law, P | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RK.Finnegan, P | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1A.Call, RF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2C.Abrams, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Wood, LF | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Chaparro, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5K.Ruiz, C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6L.Garcia, 2B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7J.Yepez, 1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7N.Nunez, PR | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7I.Vargas, 1B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8J.Tena, 3B | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
9J.Young, CF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Phillies Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RA.Nola, P | 111 | 6.2 | 4 | 0 | |
LM.Strahm, P | 11 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
RJ.Hoffman, P | 11 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
RC.Estevez, P | 27 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1K.Schwarber, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2T.Turner, SS | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3B.Harper, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Bohm, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5N.Castellanos, RF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
6J.Realmuto, C | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
7B.Stott, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8W.Wilson, LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8B.Marsh, LF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9J.Rojas, CF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9C.Stevenson, PH | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nationals vs. Phillies Odds Comparison
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Nationals at Phillies Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Nationals 0-0 | o3.5+105 | u3.5-135 |
Phillies 1-3 | o5.5-110 | u5.5-120 |