Nationals vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 16, 2024

Nationals at Phillies

10:40 pm • MASN2
2 - 3
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Aaron Nola logoA.NolaPhiladelphia Phillies logo3.5714-8
Patrick Corbin logoP.CorbinWashington Nationals logo5.626-13

Nationals at Phillies Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals
0-0
+1.5+120
o9.5-107
+225
Phillies
1-3
-1.5-141
u9.5-113
-278
location pinFriday 10:40 p.m.
August 16, 2024
Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia
Nationals vs. Phillies Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
98d ago
Last 30d: 29-38-0 (-8.7u)
B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases-110
1.1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
98d ago
Last 30d: 262-262-8 (-3.7u)
Over 9-118
1u
… wind out in certain ballparks Overall: 897-655-81,58% (ROI:12%) Season:36-34-3,51% (ROI:0%)
Proptology _
Proptology _
98d ago
Last 30d: 15-14-0 (+5.1u)
K.Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases+110
2u
Kyle is 6-18 vs Corbin w/ 2 home runs , he’s hitting lefties better this year with a .333 avg and .551 SLG . Not only that but his sweet spots Vs lefties on the sinker, slider, cutter , fastball and changeup all matchup great with Corbin’s pitch placement. With the wind blowing out to right today Kyle may even go yard in the first at bat, either way I love over 1.5 total bases at plus money today. #PropBet
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
98d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases-105
0.53u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
98d ago
Last 30d: 72-77-3 (-12.8u)
PHI -1.5-130
1.3u
JB Bets
JB Bets
98d ago
Last 30d: 56-52-0 (+7.1u)
A.Nola u2.5 Earned Runs-135
0.74u
Andrew A
Andrew A
98d ago
Last 30d: 13-15-0 (-6.6u)
B.Harper o0.5 Total Bases-260
1u
Over the last 12 games Harper has gone over 0.5 hits 10 times. He got 2 hits against Washington last night which the Phillies face again tonight. Pair this with Gleyber Torres over hits for -104 on FanDuel.
Billy Ward
Billy Ward
98d ago
Last 30d: 23-36-0 (-0.8u)
PHI +185 (1st Inn)
0.54u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
98d ago
Last 30d: 93-106-0 (-20.9u)
Over 9-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Phillies have already proved to be quite good at hitting left-handed pitching consistently, especially over the last month. In that case, this is bad news for Patrick Corbin. Corbin has been shaky lately—he gave up 18 earned runs in his three previous starts, pegging him at a cumbersome 5.98 ERA with a 1.56 WHIP across 24 starts this season. His ground ball rate is solid at 46%, but his relatively low strikeout rate of only 16.8% and a home run rate of 1.31 per nine innings show his vulnerability. One would think, too, with a 4.61 FIP that he's due for slight improvement, yet Corbin remains the principle weak link in this rotation for the Nationals. On the other side, Aaron Nola has been more reliable, but he's not without his faults. For Nola, a 3.60 ERA and 1.15 WHIP are passable, backed by a solid strikeout rate at 23.1% and a respectable walk rate of 6.2%. His home run rate is as alarming as Corbin's, though, coming in at 1.34 per nine innings, which could be problematic given the Phillies' bullpen issues of late—5.06 ERA during their past ten games. The over is an attractive play here, with both pitchers allowing the long ball this season and Philadelphia's offense due to feast off Washington weaknesses. The Nationals' offense will do more than enough to hang a few runs on Nola, given his recent form. Finally, touting the final element with the Phillies bullpen less than stellar, look for both teams to chip in to the scoreboard in forcing the total over.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
99d ago
Last 30d: 26-44-0 (-3.9u)
Over 9-105
0.5u
Flat to -118 or 9.5 (+100)

PRO Insights

Phillies logo

Phillies

PHI Insights
  • Phillies logoPhillies hitters have an OPS of .757 since last season -- third best in MLB. Nationals RPs have allowed an OPS of .749 (4,453 PAs) since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.
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Nationals vs. Phillies Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Nationals vs. Phillies Public Betting Percentages

4%

Bets%

96%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
75-8739-4236-4564-6610-21
Nationals
89-7344-3745-3614-1275-59

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Phillies
78-76-836-40-542-36-356-68-622-7-2
Nationals
76-78-837-39-539-39-39-16-165-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
95-6754-2741-4082-4812-19
Nationals
71-9138-4333-4815-1156-78

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 15thWSHW 13-3-1.5 WO 8PHI -270
Aug 14thMIAW 9-5-1.5 WO 8.5PHI -170
Aug 13thMIAL 0-5-1.5 LU 9MIA -205
Aug 11th@ARIL 5-12-1.5 LO 8.5ARI -130
Aug 11th@ARIL 1-11-1.5 LO 8.5ARI -101

Nationals vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Nationals Injuries

  • Alex Call
    OF

    Call is out with foot

    Out

  • Josiah Gray
    P

    Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.

    Out

  • Cade Cavalli
    P

    Cavalli is out with elbow

    Out

Phillies Injuries

    Nationals vs. Phillies Box Score
    Nationals Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Patrick Corbin logoLP.Corbin, P964.122
    Jacob Barnes logoRJ.Barnes, P211.210
    Robert Garcia logoLR.Garcia, P10110
    Derek Law logoRD.Law, P12100
    Kyle Finnegan logoRK.Finnegan, P17001
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Alex Call logo1A.Call, RF0-5000
    CJ Abrams logo2C.Abrams, SS0-4000
    James Wood logo3J.Wood, LF3-3000
    Andres Chaparro logo4A.Chaparro, DH0-4000
    Keibert Ruiz logo5K.Ruiz, C1-4000
    Luis Garcia logo6L.Garcia, 2B2-4100
    Juan Yepez logo7J.Yepez, 1B1-4000
    Nasim Nunez logo7N.Nunez, PR0-0100
    Ildemaro Vargas logo7I.Vargas, 1B0-0000
    Jose Tena logo8J.Tena, 3B2-3001
    Jacob Young logo9J.Young, CF2-4001
    Phillies Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Aaron Nola logoRA.Nola, P1116.240
    Matt Strahm logoLM.Strahm, P110.210
    Jeff Hoffman logoRJ.Hoffman, P110.210
    Carlos Estevez logoRC.Estevez, P27122
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Kyle Schwarber logo1K.Schwarber, DH0-4000
    Trea Turner logo2T.Turner, SS4-5101
    Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B0-3000
    Alec Bohm logo4A.Bohm, 3B1-4000
    Nick Castellanos logo5N.Castellanos, RF1-4101
    J.T. Realmuto logo6J.Realmuto, C1-3001
    Bryson Stott logo7B.Stott, 2B0-3000
    Weston Wilson logo8W.Wilson, LF0-2000
    Brandon Marsh logo8B.Marsh, LF1-1100
    Johan Rojas logo9J.Rojas, CF1-3000
    Cal Stevenson logo9C.Stevenson, PH1-1000

    Nationals vs. Phillies Odds Comparison

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    Nationals at Phillies Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Nationals
    0-0
    o3.5+105
    u3.5-135
    Phillies
    1-3
    o5.5-110
    u5.5-120