Padres vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 19, 2024

Padres at Braves

11:10 pm • ESPN

San Diego Padres

17-11

9 - 1

Atlanta Braves

12-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Elder			6.52	2-5
Y.Darvish			3.31	7-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 17-11	+1.5	-1.5+160	o9+100	+102
Braves 12-15	u8.5	+1.5-190	u9-120	-121

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

May 19, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 9-120

1.2u

Under 9-120

$1200.00

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases+115

1.15u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

Under 5 (F5)-120

1.2u

Under 9-110

0.55u

ATL -116

0.58u

Bet to -120

Featured Insight
Padres left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB. Braves RPs have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .091 (2-for-22) against Braves RPs with RISP over the last week -- second best in MLB. The Padres are batting just .111 with RISP over the last week -- worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Michael Harris has a swing rate of 46% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .200 (3-for-15) against Yu Darvish on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Bryce Elder has struck out just 14% (60/437) of left-handed batters he faced since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 72% (13/18) against Yu Darvish on elevated fastballs this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 38% -- 0 Percentile.

Yu Darvish has a strike rate of 74% (136/184) -- highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (38/66) against Bryce Elder this season -- 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 94th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 6-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Braves' 11 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	12-15	6-5	6-10	8-11	4-4
Padres	15-13	12-4	3-9	9-6	6-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	14-10-3	5-5-1	9-5-2	11-7-1	3-3-2
Padres	10-17-1	4-11-1	6-6	5-9-1	5-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	12-15	8-3	4-12	10-9	2-6
Padres	17-11	12-4	5-7	11-4	6-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 17th	SD	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	SD -218
May 15th	CHC	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -185
May 14th	CHC	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -198
May 13th	CHC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	ATL -139
May 12th	@NYM	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	NYM -108

Ronald Acuna
RF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with hamstring
Out
Nacho Alvarez
SS
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
SP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out
Jackson Merrill
CF
Merrill is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Darvish, P	99	7	9	0
LA.Morejon, P	8	1	2	0
RS.Kolek, P	17	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-5	1	0	2
2D.Solano, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	3-4	2	0	1
3J.Azocar, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5M.Machado, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
5T.Wade, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5T.Wade, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5T.Wade, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6X.Bogaerts, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7J.Merrill, CF	1-5	0	0	1
8L.Campusano, C	1-5	1	1	1
9H.Kim, SS	2-4	2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	93	3	3	6
LR.Kerr, P	64	3.1	4	2
RJ.Chavez, P	19	0.2	1	0
LD.Lee, P	12	1	1	0
RL.Williams, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-3	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	1
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-3	0	0
5O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0
6M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0
7Z.Short, 3B	0-3	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	0-3	0	0
9C.Tromp, C	1-3	1	0