Padres vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2024

Padres at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSE

San Diego Padres

4-3

3 - 1

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Fried			3.25	11-10
M.Waldron			4.91	7-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	+1.5-112	o8-115	+180
Braves 0-2	-1.5-108	u8-105	-218

Friday 11:20 p.m.

May 17, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases-105

Projection leans to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -129

M.Fried u2.5 BB-155

1.55u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-105

Under 8.5-106

0.5u

Under 8.5-106

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -110

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Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed just 2.3 runs per game over the last week -- second lowest in MLB (6 games). The Padres have scored just 2.2 runs per game over the last week -- lowest in MLB (6 games).

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The Braves are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Ha-seong Kim is slugging just .385 since the 2022 season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Max Fried has allowed a SLG of just .318 vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.2 MPH (87 batted balls) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.0 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	CHC	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -185
May 14th	CHC	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -198
May 13th	CHC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	ATL -139
May 12th	@NYM	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	NYM -108
May 11th	@NYM	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7	ATL -155

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Waldron, P	98	5.2	10	1
LY.Matsui, P	17	0.2	2	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	7	0.2	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	17	1	2	0
RJ.Estrada, P	16	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	2-5	1	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-3	1	0
3J.Profar, LF	2-5	1	1
3J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0
4J.Cronenworth, 1B	3-5	0	1
5M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	1
6X.Bogaerts, 2B	2-4	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	2-4	0	0
8H.Kim, SS	1-4	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	88	4.1	2	3
LA.Bummer, P	25	1.2	2	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Chavez, P	16	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	1	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	0	1
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-2	0	0
5C.Tromp, C	1-2	0	0
6M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0
7O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	0-2	0	0
8A.Duvall, PH	0-1	0	0
8A.Duvall, LF	0-1	0	0
9Z.Short, 3B	0-3	0	0