Padres vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 7, 2024

Padres at Dodgers

12:03 am • Fox Sports 1

San Diego Padres

2-3

10 - 2

Los Angeles Dodgers

3-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Flaherty			7.36	1-2
Y.Darvish			1.98	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 2-3	+1.5	+1.5-166	o8-112	+130
Dodgers 3-2	u8.5	-1.5+139	u8-108	-155

Monday 12:03 a.m.

October 07, 2024

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

SD -1950 (Live)

$0.05

Under 8 (Live)-110

SD +125

1.25u

Over 4.5 (F5)-105

#ProSystem Overs with wind postseason (F5) Overall: 163-105-11,61% (ROI:19%) Season:4-3-0,57% (ROI:4%)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

1.15u

D.Peralta u0.5 Hits+110

LAD -145

Over 7.5-125

0.8u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Despite strong ERAs from the starting pitchers, recent matchups between the Padres and Dodgers point to a high-scoring game. The total has gone over in 13 of San Diego's last 19 October games and four of the last five Dodgers games. Both pitchers have been vulnerable recently, while the Dodgers' offense, with 233 HRs and top MLB stats, supports betting the over 7.5 run total.

SD +120

1.2u

J.Flaherty o1.5 BB+105

0.25u

Over 4.5 (F5)-105

0.26u

Small to -120

Over 8-120

0.5u

Bet to 8.5 (-112)

SD +136

0.68u

Bet to +125

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The Dodgers are 27-21 (.562) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .452.

61% of Fernando Tatis Jr. fastball strikeouts are located away this season -- tied for 14th highest among hitters with at least 243 total PA's-- 94th Percentile. 55% of Jack Flaherty fastball strikeouts are located away this season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Teoscar Hernandez has struck out in 30% of PA's since last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Tanner Scott has a strikeout rate of 32% since last season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	11-5	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12
Padres	4-3	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 6th	SD	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8	LAD -142
Sep 29th	@COL	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 11	LAD -159
Sep 29th	@COL	W 13-2	-1.5 W	O 11	LAD -258
Sep 28th	@COL	W 11-4	-1.5 W	O 11	LAD -170
Sep 27th	SD	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	LAD -109

Clayton Kershaw
P
Kershaw is out with toe
Out
Michael Kopech
P
Kopech is out with arm
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out with back
Out
Michael Grove
P
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
P
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
P
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
P
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out
Jackson Merrill
OF
Merrill is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Darvish, P	82	7	3	1
LT.Scott, P	11	1	1	0
RA.Jacob, P	19	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	3-4	3	2	3
3J.Profar, LF	2-4	0	0	0
3B.Lockridge, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3B.Lockridge, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
5J.Merrill, CF	3-5	2	1	3
6X.Bogaerts, SS	1-4	1	1	1
6T.Wade, SS	0-0	0	0	0
7J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8D.Peralta, DH	1-2	1	1	2
8D.Solano, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8D.Solano, DH	0-2	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Flaherty, P	90	5.1	2	4
LA.Banda, P	14	1	1	0
RD.Hudson, P	5	0.2	0	0
RR.Brasier, P	10	0.2	0	2
RM.Grove, P	11	0.1	1	1
RE.Henriquez, P	21	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Ohtani, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2M.Betts, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3F.Freeman, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
3E.Hernandez, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
4T.Hernandez, LF	1-3	1	0	0
5M.Muncy, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
5M.Muncy, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
6W.Smith, C	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Lux, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
8T.Edman, CF	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Rojas, SS	0-3	0	0	0