Phillies vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 23, 2024

Phillies at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

3 - 0

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Woods Richardson			4.18	5-5
Z.Wheeler			2.57	16-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+114	o8-105	-148
Twins 0-0	+1.5-135	u8-115	+124

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

July 23, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

T.Turner o0.5 Hits-300

0.33u

PHI -148

1.35u

PHI -1.5+114

1.14u

Under 8-110

PHI -142

0.7u

MIN +0.5 (F5)-114

$50.00

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

Z.Wheeler u6.5 Ks-118

1.18u

Under in 10/19, including 8/L13. Missed his last start with back spasms, now starting on two weeks rest. Not likely he’ll be pushed to the max. And this is a really tough spot against a Twins team that has a K% of 18.2% the L30 vs righties. And they should be able to throw 5-6 lefties in the lineup (Wheeler’s worse split for OPS and K%).

MIN +138

MIN +143

0.5u

Bet to +131

MIN +140

Over 7.5-120

1.2u

Featured Insight
Phillies have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season -- tied for third highest in MLB. Twins have struck out 24% since last season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins hitters have an OPS of .809 this month -- third best in MLB. Phillies RPs have allowed an OPS of .819 (239 PAs) this month -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Twins are just 4-8 (.333) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Christian Vazquez is slugging just .310 since last season -- 14th worst among hitters with at least 390 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Zack Wheeler has allowed a SLG of just .278 vs right-handed batters since last season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Willi Castro is batting just .165 with RISP this season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .190 (15-for-79) against Zack Wheeler with RISP this season -- tied for ninth best among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .212 (11 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .369 -- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .444 (16 GB hits out of 36 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .258 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 22nd	PHI	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN -103
Jul 21st	MIL	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -162
Jul 20th	MIL	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -125
Jul 14th	@SF	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SF +138
Jul 13th	@SF	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIN +110

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Wheeler, P	107	7	7
RJ.Hoffman, P	20	0.2	2
LG.Soto, P	9	0.1	0
LM.Strahm, P	11	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	0-3	1	0
5J.Realmuto, C	1-2	1	0
6B.Marsh, LF	0-3	0	1
6B.Marsh, CF	0-3	0	1
6B.Marsh, LF	0-3	0	1
7N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	2
8B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-2	0	0
9W.Wilson, PH	0-1	0	0
9W.Wilson, LF	0-1	0	0
9C.Pache, CF	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	88	6	5	0
RJ.Alcala, P	17	1	1	0
RG.Jax, P	19	1	0	0
RJ.Duran, P	27	0.2	0	3
RR.Henriquez, P	1	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Castro, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Larnach, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Santana, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5E.Julien, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
5R.Jeffers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5R.Jeffers, C	0-1	0	0	0
6B.Lee, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Lee, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Wallner, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Margot, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Martin, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	1-2	0	0	0
9B.Buxton, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9D.Castillo, 3B	0-0	0	0	0