Yankees vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - October 19, 2024

Yankees at Guardians

12:08 am • truTV

New York Yankees

4-1

8 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

1-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Williams			11.57	0-0
L.Gil			6.75	0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 4-1	-1.5	-1.5+132	o7.5-112	-125
Guardians 1-4	u7.5	+1.5-160	u7.5-108	+105

Saturday 12:08 a.m.

October 19, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE +106

0.5u

#tailing @Zerillo

CLE o3.5 Team Total+100

0.5u

L.Gil o4.5 Ks-105

L.Gil o13.5 Outs-135

NYY -116

2.16u

L.Gil u3.5 Hits Allowed-157

0.96u

NYY -120

0.83u

J.Naylor o0.5 HR+750

0.5u

Over 7.5+100

L.Gil o4.5 Ks+115

Over 4.5 (F5)+114

0.57u

Over 7.5-105

0.48u

Over 7.5-112

CLE +0.5 (F5)-136

1.36u

G.Williams o3.5 Ks-110

CLE +105

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Luis Gil, returning from a long layoff, faces command issues with a high walk rate. Cleveland’s disciplined lineup could force early bullpen use, especially with the Yankees' relievers heavily taxed. Cleveland holds momentum from Game 3, strong home performance, and could pressure Gil early.

NYY -120

1.5u

J.Chisholm o0.5 Runs Scored+190

0.5u

Oddsjam

NYY -114

L.Gil o3.5 Hits Allowed+130

CLE +100

0.75u

G.Williams o3.5 Ks+108

1.08u

+ev and projection leans to the over giving us value at this number

NYY -122

Johnny

G.Williams o3.5 Ks+125

1.25u

CLE +106

0.75u

Bet to +101; reduce risk below +105

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Yankees RPs since last season -- third best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% since last season -- worst in MLB.

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The Yankees are 72-54 (.571) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

31% of Steven Kwan strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 33% of Tim Mayza strikeouts are looking since last season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	4-6	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Yankees	8-6	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 17th	NYY	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 7	CLE -110
Oct 15th	@NYY	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 7	NYY +145
Oct 14th	@NYY	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	NYY +145
Oct 12th	DET	W 7-3	+1.5 W	O 6	CLE -103
Oct 10th	@DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 6.5	CLE -125

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gil, P	79	4	3	2
LT.Hill, P	17	1	1	0
RJ.Cousins, P	27	1	2	2
RC.Holmes, P	19	0.1	1	1
RM.Leiter, P	24	1.2	2	1
RT.Kahnle, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	2-5	1	0	1
1O.Cabrera, PR	0-0	0	0	0
1O.Cabrera, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-4	2	1	2
3A.Judge, CF	1-4	1	0	0
4J.Chisholm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5G.Stanton, DH	1-4	1	1	3
6A.Rizzo, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
6J.Berti, PR	0-0	1	0	0
6J.Berti, 2B	0-0	1	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	2-4	1	0	0
8A.Wells, C	1-4	1	1	1
9A.Verdugo, LF	0-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Williams, P	40	2.1	4	3
LE.Sabrowski, P	29	1.2	3	0
RE.Morgan, P	13	1	1	0
RC.Smith, P	11	0.1	0	3
LT.Herrin, P	8	0.2	1	0
LJ.Cantillo, P	12	1	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	14	1	3	0
RE.Clase, P	20	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-4	3	0
2K.Manzardo, DH	1-2	0	0
2D.Fry, PH	1-3	0	1
2D.Fry, DH	1-3	0	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-3	1	2
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-5	0	3
5L.Thomas, CF	0-3	0	0
6D.Schneemann, RF	0-2	0	0
6W.Brennan, PH	0-1	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	0-1	0	0
6J.Noel, PH	0-1	0	0
6J.Noel, RF	0-1	0	0
7A.Gimenez, 2B	2-5	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-1	0	0
8B.Naylor, PH	1-3	1	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-3	1	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-4	1	0