Yankees vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - October 17, 2024

Yankees at Guardians

9:08 pm • truTV

New York Yankees

4-1

5 - 7

Cleveland Guardians

1-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Boyd			0.77	0-0
C.Schmidt			5.25	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 4-1	-1.5	-1.5+155	o7-110	-110
Guardians 1-4	u7	+1.5-185	u7-112	-110

Thursday 9:08 p.m.

October 17, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 7.5 (Live)-115

Under 7.5 (Live)-108

0.27u

To -120 after Manzardo HR

CLE +0.5 (F5)-152

M.Boyd o3.5 Ks-109

1.38u

CLE -105

0.95u

Under 7-110

1.1u

CLE -108

NYY -112

1.12u

Under 7-110

Oddsjam

CLE -105

0.95u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Boyd starts, showing strong strikeout potential, backed by a solid bullpen. Yankees' Schmidt struggles against lefties, giving Cleveland’s lineup an edge at Progressive Field. Expect a cleaner, more confident Guardians team with a better chance to capitalize at home against Schmidt.

J.Berti u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

Very likely only in the lineup to face the lefty Boyd - and Boyd won’t go through the order more than twice.

D.Schneemann u0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+115

1.15u

Naylor not starting - here is my other candidate to get PH for - Schneeman was 3/30 in SEPT (1 RBI and 2 R), and only has one PA this postseason. Fry, Noel and Brennan all threats to hit for him in a key spot.

J.Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases+125

1.88u

CLE -105

Under 6.5+120

C.Schmidt u4.5 Ks-135

0.74u

Under 7+105

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G.Torres o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

J.Soto o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

Under 7.5-120

1.2u

Over 7-125

The # seems low to me, and I am quite confident we will see 7.5 -8 total runs on majority of the books throughout the early afternoon. #GamblersDream #SportsBettingPicks #Tailing #ProSystem #ProProjection

C.Schmidt u4.5 Ks-125

0.1u

C.Schmidt u4.5 Ks-125

CLE +106

0.53u

Bet to +100

Under 7-105

0.53u

Bet to 6.5 (+100)

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Yankees RPs since last season -- third best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% since last season -- worst in MLB.

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The Yankees are 72-54 (.571) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

Lane Thomas is slugging just .338 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 14th Percentile. Clarke Schmidt has allowed a SLG of just .282 on his breaking pitches since last season -- ninth best among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Oswaldo Cabrera has an OPS of just .617 since last season -- 14th worst among hitters with at least 484 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .507 (572 PAs) since last season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 45% of Clarke Schmidt's pitches (42/93) with two-strikes in his last three starts -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 59% -- first Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt struck out 32% (58/184) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	4-6	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Yankees	8-6	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 15th	@NYY	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 7	NYY +145
Oct 14th	@NYY	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	NYY +145
Oct 12th	DET	W 7-3	+1.5 W	O 6	CLE -103
Oct 10th	@DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 6.5	CLE -125
Oct 9th	@DET	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	DET -115

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Schmidt, P	78	4.2	2	2
LT.Hill, P	4	0.1	0	0
RI.Hamilton, P	7	0.1	0	1
LT.Mayza, P	22	0.2	0	0
RT.Kahnle, P	26	1.2	1	0
RL.Weaver, P	20	1.1	2	2
RC.Holmes, P	8	0.2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	0-3	0	0	1
2J.Soto, RF	0-4	1	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	1-5	1	1	2
4G.Stanton, DH	1-3	1	1	1
4J.Dominguez, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Dominguez, DH	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Chisholm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Berti, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Rizzo, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	1-3	2	0	0
8A.Verdugo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Trevino, C	1-2	0	0	1
9A.Wells, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Wells, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Boyd, P	75	5	4	1
RC.Smith, P	10	1	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	16	1	0	0
RH.Gaddis, P	10	0.2	1	1
RE.Clase, P	15	0.1	0	2
RE.Morgan, P	16	0.1	1	0
RA.Walters, P	12	0.2	1	0
RP.Avila, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Manzardo, DH	2-3	1	1	2
2D.Fry, PH	1-2	1	1	2
2D.Fry, DH	1-2	1	1	2
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5L.Thomas, CF	1-3	2	0	0
6D.Schneemann, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Noel, PH	1-1	1	1	2
6J.Noel, RF	1-1	1	1	2
7A.Gimenez, 2B	1-5	0	0	1
8A.Hedges, C	1-2	0	0	0
8W.Brennan, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-1	1	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-4	1	0	0