NBA Player Props for Thursday, January 16: Picks for Kevin Durant, James Harden

NBA Player Props for Thursday, January 16: Picks for Kevin Durant, James Harden article feature image
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We have a total of three NBA player props for this Thursday, and our staff of basketball betting experts is focused on some key players who could be in line for noteworthy performances in tonight's contests.

Read below for our NBA player prop picks for Thursday, January 16.

NBA Player Props for Thursday, January 16

  • Jalen Green
  • Kevin Durant
  • James Harden
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Jalen Green Over 22.5 Points (-125)

Rockets vs Kings, 10:00 p.m. ET

By Charlie Wright

Jalen Green's volume has exploded lately. Since Jabari Smith Jr. went down on January 1, Green is averaging 20.3 shots per game, including 10.7 3-point attempts. He was at 16.6 and 7.6, respectively, prior to this stretch.

Green doesn't get a major usage bump from Smith being off the floor, but the current iteration of the offense has funneled more shots in his direction.

He won't continue to average 32 PPG given that he's shooting an unsustainable 54.1% from the field and 50% from 3-point range, but the increased volume should make up for any efficiency regression.

Sacramento is a middling matchup in most metrics (e.g., defensive rating, points allowed, pace), but they're vulnerable to outside shooting. They have allowed the 3rd-most made 3-pointers, the 10th-most attempts, and the 5th-best percentage.

Green has taken a career-high 8.1 3-pointers per game. His 35.4% 3-point percentage isn't amazing, but it is the best mark of his career. Sacramento has also allowed the 8th-most points per game to shooting guards.

Pick: Jalen Green Over 22.5 Points (-125)

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