Braves vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - October 3, 2024
Braves at Padres
12:38 am • ESPN2Starting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 2.46 | 0-0 | |
 |  | 22.50 | 0-1 |
Braves at Padres Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Braves 0-2 | +1.5 | +1.5-214 | o6.5-117 | +102 |
Padres 2-0 | u7 | -1.5+180 | u6.5-103 | -120 |
PETCO ParkSan Diego
Braves vs. Padres Expert Picks
Anders
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (+1.2u)
Under 10.5 (Live)+100
1u
a million infield singles i bet
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 126-152-7 (+18.7u)
Under 10.5 (Live)+100
0.5u
Bet365 after 2*
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 145-157-5 (+21.5u)
J.Musgrove u5.5 Ks-120
0.5u
BQ
ATL +102
1u
BQ
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 86-106-0 (-30.3u)
Over 3.5 (F5)-115
1.5u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 112-116-1 (-1.6u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140
1.4u
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 117-123-7 (+46.1u)
Under 3.5 (F5)-110
1.1u
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 29-76-0 (-58.7u)
ATL -1.5+168
2u
Capper Central
Last 30d: 122-84-12 (+32.1u)
M.Olson o0.5 Hits-160
$1000.00
Picks Office
Last 30d: 97-74-3 (+18.9u)
Under 7-125
1u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Max Fried and Joe Musgrove are primed for a pitching duel, with both offenses struggling recently. Atlanta’s bats have been cold, especially against right-handers, while San Diego's offense remains inconsistent at home. Both teams trend toward low-scoring games, making this matchup likely to stay under 7 runs with dominant pitching and limited offensive production.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 409-575-16 (+4.8u)
ATL +105
1u
#ProSystem
Against the public after a win postseason
Overall: 121-83-0,59% (ROI:21%)
Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)
Capper Central
Last 30d: 122-84-12 (+32.1u)
ATL +100
$1050.00
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 209-223-6 (-0.9u)
M.Olson o0.5 HR+500
0.25u
Green Dot Daily
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 6.5-102
1u
@AnthonyDabbundo
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 95-132-3 (-11.5u)
M.Olson o1.5 Total Bases+155
1u
M.Olson o0.5 HR+450
0.5u
ATL o3.5 Team Total+110
2.2u
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 49-51-1 (-4.9u)
Under 3.5 (F5)-110
1.1u
Mark Franco
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
SD -119
1u
SpenceBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Profar o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+110
1.1u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 86-106-0 (-30.3u)
SD -119
2u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 112-116-1 (-1.6u)
Under 3.5 (F5)-120
1.2u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 100-112-3 (-10.4u)
ATL +103
1u
SpenceBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
M.Ozuna o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125
1u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (+1.2u)
SD -113
2u
Padres bias in affect dont tail
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 209-223-6 (-0.9u)
ATL o3.5 Team Total+112
1.12u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 65-61-7 (-1.9u)
Under 6.5+100
1u
Avery
ATL +103
1u
Sandy
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 111-127-15 (-7.2u)
ATL +103
1u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 97-74-3 (+18.9u)
SD -120
0.83u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
San Diego holds several advantages in this matchup. Max Fried's control issues give the Padres an opportunity to capitalize offensively, especially with their strength in getting on base. Joe Musgrove's strong recent form adds to their edge, while Atlanta's inconsistency against right-handers and their bullpen's fatigue from heavy use further tilt the game in favor of San Diego.
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 174-181-19 (-0.5u)
Under 7-108
0.54u
Bet to -119 or 6.5 (+100)
Braves vs. Padres Previews & Analysis
Braves vs. Padres Notes
Keys to the Game
The Padres are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Matchup Contrasts
Matt Olson has an OPS of .861 since the 2022 season -- 15th best among hitters with at least 727 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. Bryan Hoeing has allowed an OPS of .768 (575 PAs) since the 2022 season -- eighth worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.
Orlando Arcia has an OPS of just .678 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Jason Adam has allowed an OPS of just .558 (508 PAs) since last season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Braves vs. Padres Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Braves vs. Padres Injury Updates
Braves Injuries
- Ronald AcunaOF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
- Joe JimenezP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
- Nacho AlvarezIF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out
Padres Injuries
- Joe MusgroveP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Yu DarvishP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
- Matt WaldronP
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out
- Jackson MerrillOF
Merrill is out with hamstring
Out
Braves vs. Padres Box Score
Braves Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
 | 19 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 42 | 2.1 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Padres Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 44 | 3.2 | 4 | 1 | |
 | 27 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 23 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 24 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Braves vs. Padres Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Braves at Padres Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Braves 0-2 | o3.5+120 | u3.5-154 |
Padres 2-0 | o3.5+114 | u3.5-145 |