Phillies vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - August 21, 2024

Phillies at Braves

11:20 pm • NBCS-PH
3 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Max Fried logoM.FriedAtlanta Braves logo3.2511-10
Aaron Nola logoA.NolaPhiladelphia Phillies logo3.5714-8

Phillies at Braves Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies
1-3
-1.5+151
o8-101
-112
Braves
0-2
+1.5-180
u8-118
-107
location pinWednesday 11:20 p.m.
August 21, 2024
Truist ParkAtlanta
Phillies vs. Braves Expert Picks
Picks  Office
Picks Office
123d ago
Last 30d: 119-106-6 (+4.0u)
Under 8-115
0.87u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Phillies have an opportunistic offense that stands 8th in runs per game at 4.86 and 6th in batting average at .257, even though recently they have been spotty, most against strong pitching. This was evident in their loss yesterday against Atlanta 1-3, where they were held to five hits and a run. Even the top of its order—including stars Kyle Schwarber, Trea Turner, and Bryce Harper—went a combined 0-for-12 with seven strikeouts, showing vulnerability against quality pitching. The Phillies have been pretty strong this year, especially when it comes to pitching, particularly out of the bullpen, sitting at 3.71 ERA. That bullpen could make major contributions tonight if Nola has the grind to put on a good start. He was solid against Atlanta in his career and currently has a 3.45 ERA with 142 strikeouts; through the last few outings, he looks able to shut down the Braves. To the opposite side, even though Atlanta has been much less consistent overall, ranking 16th in runs per game at 4.32 and 17th in batting average at .241. Not having Austin Riley – who will miss the remainder of the regular season with a fractured wrist – makes a huge difference on what this offense is capable of doing. Of course, Marcell Ozuna still leads them in homers and average, with 37 and .309, respectively, , but the lineup around him has remained spotty, as evidenced by just three runs scored yesterday. Fried, the Braves' starter, has not been in excellent form since his injury, but he still remains a rather capable pitcher. His history against Philadelphia is 4.17 ERA, indicating that he can at least establish a quality start, especially at home where the Braves have seen the Under hit frequently—36-15-1 for the last 52 home games. Atlanta's staff, including a bullpen with an ERA of 3.69 (3rd in MLB) and WHIP of 1.23 (9th), can contain the Philadelphia offense. Another fact is that the Braves' defense has been stout, committing only 53 errors this season to stay at 5th in MLB. That further cuts down on the chance of unearned runs.
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
123d ago
Last 30d: 126-96-6 (+14.1u)
Under 7.5-105
1u
Proptology _
Proptology _
123d ago
Last 30d: 3-10-0 (-14.9u)
B.Harper o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
1.2u
Rocket Plays
Rocket Plays
123d ago
Last 30d: 58-97-1 (+10.0u)
N.Castellanos o1.5 Total Bases+115
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
123d ago
Last 30d: 289-267-6 (+1.6u)
Under 7.5-102
0.98u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
123d ago
Last 30d: 185-208-7 (+14.8u)
PHI -115
2u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
123d ago
Last 30d: 83-67-0 (+4.6u)
PHI -107
0.93u
Billy Ward
Billy Ward
123d ago
Last 30d: 15-24-1 (-3.7u)
Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+105
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
124d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Under 8+100
0.5u
Flat to -101
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
124d ago
Last 30d: 142-147-9 (-1.3u)
PHI +102
1.02u

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Phillies vs. Braves Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Phillies vs. Braves Public Betting Percentages

45%

Bets%

55%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Braves
75-8735-4640-4160-7115-16
Phillies
75-8739-4236-4564-6610-21

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Braves
58-94-1025-53-333-41-745-77-913-17-1
Phillies
78-76-836-40-542-36-356-68-622-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Braves
89-7346-3543-3876-5513-18
Phillies
95-6754-2741-4082-4812-19

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 20thPHIW 3-1+1.5 WU 8ATL +133
Aug 18th@LAAW 3-1-1.5 WU 9.5ATL -191
Aug 18th@LAAW 11-3-1.5 WO 8ATL -238
Aug 17th@LAAL 2-3-1.5 LU 8LAA -165
Aug 15th@SFL 0-6-1.5 LU 7SF -101

Braves vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Braves Injuries

  • Chris Sale
    P

    Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.

    Out

  • Ronald Acuna
    OF

    Acuna is out for season with knee

    Out for Season

  • Austin Riley
    IF

    Riley is out with hand

    Out

  • Spencer Strider
    P

    Strider is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Phillies Injuries

  • Max Kepler
    OF

    Kepler is out with knee

    Out

Phillies vs. Braves Box Score
Phillies Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Aaron Nola logoRA.Nola, P1005.152
Jeff Hoffman logoRJ.Hoffman, P40.200
Matt Strahm logoLM.Strahm, P18110
Orion Kerkering logoRO.Kerkering, P11110
Carlos Estevez logoRC.Estevez, P16100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Kyle Schwarber logo1K.Schwarber, DH1-4001
Trea Turner logo2T.Turner, SS0-3001
Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B0-4000
Alec Bohm logo4A.Bohm, 3B0-4000
Nick Castellanos logo5N.Castellanos, RF0-3000
J.T. Realmuto logo6J.Realmuto, C0-2000
Weston Wilson logo7W.Wilson, LF2-3100
Edmundo Sosa logo8E.Sosa, 2B1-2100
Bryson Stott logo8B.Stott, PH0-1000
Bryson Stott logo8B.Stott, 2B0-1000
Johan Rojas logo9J.Rojas, CF1-2100
Brandon Marsh logo9B.Marsh, PH0-0001
Brandon Marsh logo9B.Marsh, CF0-0001
Braves Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Max Fried logoLM.Fried, P91742
Joe Jimenez logoRJ.Jimenez, P18101
Luke Jackson logoRL.Jackson, P7110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Michael Harris logo1M.Harris, CF0-5000
Whit Merrifield logo2W.Merrifield, 2B1-4000
Marcell Ozuna logo3M.Ozuna, DH1-4000
Matt Olson logo4M.Olson, 1B0-3000
Sean Murphy logo5S.Murphy, C1-4000
Jarred Kelenic logo6J.Kelenic, LF2-4100
Orlando Arcia logo7O.Arcia, SS1-3112
Luke Williams logo7L.Williams, PR0-0000
Ramon Laureano logo8R.Laureano, RF1-3000
Jorge Soler logo8J.Soler, PH0-1000
Gio Urshela logo9G.Urshela, 3B2-4000

Phillies vs. Braves Odds Comparison

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Phillies at Braves Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Phillies
1-3
o3.5-140
u3.5+110
Braves
0-2
o3.5-125
u3.5-105