The Philadelphia 76ers (13-18) and Golden State Warriors (16-16) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10 p.m. ET from the Chase Center in San Francisco, California. The game will broadcast live on TNT.
The Warriors are 3.5-point favorites over the Sixers on the spread (Warriors -3.5), with the over/under set at 215.5 total points. Golden State is a -165 favorite to win outright, while Philadelphia is +14o to pull off the upset.
Let's get to my 76ers vs. Warriors predictions and NBA picks for Thursday night.
76ers vs Warriors Picks, Prediction
Spread
The spread for this game opened at Warriors -1.5 and has moved to -3.5 as of Thursday evening. The 76ers are coming into this game on the second night of a back to back after collapsing late to the Kings yesterday.
The 76ers were up nine points with just over three minutes remaining, and then allowed a 15-0 run to end the game and lose by six.
That is a tough loss, but probably good the 76ers go again the next day to shake it off, and there is essentially no travel between Sacramento and Golden State, a 30-40 minute bus ride between stadiums, and they likely stayed somewhere in between.
Joel Embiid will likely be active tonight after sitting the front end of the back to back set, and Maxey and George both played yesterday. I think this is a good spot to back Philly with the points.
Moneyline
Since I like the 76ers +3.5, I am also going to take some exposure on the 76ers moneyline. I recommend this as a universal rule whenever backing an NBA underdog at +4.5 or shorter.
Getting +140 is fine value here, so split your unit up 70/30 between spread and moneyline exposure, and hope the 76ers pull off the upset.
The Warriors have been struggling recently, and now they go up against a 76ers team that has been playing excellent basketball for weeks outside of a 3-minute collapse.
Over/Under
After opening at a total of 220, the over/under is now down to 217, and I already bet a half-unit on the Under at 218.5.
When Joel Embiid is active, it actually decreases the 76ers total. Despite him being such a good offensive player and scorer, the pace of play slows down when he plays, and he also is a solid rim protector on the defensive end.
Just think about how quick Maxey can get up the court. But when Embiid is out there, the offense usually waits for him to come set a high screen to start the action for the offense, and it just takes more time.
My Pick: Sixers +3.5 (-110), Under 218.5 (-135)
76ers vs Warriors Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| 76ers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 215.5 -110 / -110 | +140 |
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 215.5 -110 / -110 | -165 |
- 76ers vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -3.5
- 76ers vs. Warriors over/under: 215.5 total points
- 76ers vs. Warriors moneyline: Sixers +140, Warriors -165
- 76ers vs. Warriors best bet: 76ers +3.5 (-110)
Philadelphia 76ers vs Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The situational spot for the 76ers actually shapes up well for a bounce back spot after a late collapse.
The Sixers had won four straight prior to yesterday's game against Sacramento, where they appeared to be cruising to another win.
It was three awful minutes for Philly playing without Embiid as their closer.
Now, they return their best player, don't have to travel very far for the second night of the back to back, and get the bounce back boost from a bad loss in quick fashion.
I expect that to be the message Nick Nurse and the Philly coaching staff echoes to their players ahead of tonight.
76ers vs Warriors Predictions, Best Bets
If you are looking for a small same game parlay, consider pairing the Under and Sixers moneyline together.
It's a simple and straightforward answer to the fact that if this game goes under, it is not only Joel slowing down the pace, but the Warriors likely missing shots.
The 76ers have defenders who are strong on the close out, so look for a high intensity effort after a bad loss with no let down tonight.
Best Bets: Sixers +3, Under 218.5
Warriors vs. 76ers Same Game Parlay Picks
- 76ers Moneyline (+140)
- Under 218.5 (-135)
Parlay Payout: +300
Warriors vs. 76ers Betting Trends
