The San Antonio Spurs (6-7) and Dallas Mavericks (5-7) will meet in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET from the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The game will broadcast live on NBA TV.
The Mavericks are -12.5-point favorites over the Spurs on the spread (Mavs -12.5), with the over/under set at 228.5 total points. Dallas is a -700 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while San Antonio is +500 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Mavericks vs Spurs predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, November 16.
Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks
Spread
I do not have a spread prediction for tonight's matchup, but I will be targeting one of the three major markets.
Moneyline
I'm not betting on either team to win this contest as an outright solo bet either. However, I would consider parlaying Dallas moneyline with the over and a few props in a same game parlay.
Total (Over/Under)
My Mavericks vs. Spurs best bet is on the over at 228.5 total points, with the best line currently available at DraftKings, according to our live NBA odds page.
My Pick: Over 228.5
Spurs vs. Mavericks Odds
| Spurs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+12.5 -110 | 228.5 -110 / -110 | -700 |
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-12.5 -110 | 228.5 -110 / -110 | +500 |
- Spurs vs. Mavericks spread: Mavericks -12.5
- Spurs vs. Mavericks over/under: 228.5 points
- Spurs vs. Mavericks moneyline: Mavericks -700, Spurs +500
Spurs vs. Mavericks NBA Preview
The Spurs dropped Friday night's game against the Lakers in thrilling fashion, and now head across the state to play Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks open the game as double-digit favorites but are just 4-7-1 ATS and 3-6 ATS as a favorite this season. Let's dive into the matchup.
The Mavericks have the seventh-best Adjusted Net Rating (+3.2) and lead a balanced attack despite being just 5-7 in overall record. The Mavericks have listed PJ Washington (knee) as doubtful, Luka Doncic (knee) as Probable, and they've removed Kyrie Irving (shoulder) from the report entirely. The Spurs have not been as good despite a similar 6-7 record with the 20th-ranked Adjusted Net (-1.6), per Dunks and Threes.
These two teams faced off in the season opener and Dallas won 120-109. However, the Spurs were sloppy with the basketball and turned the ball over 19 times. Additionally, Dallas outscored the Spurs 57-36 from beyond the arc. While the turnovers may remain, the Spurs actually shoot 3s at a higher frequency than the Mavericks this season and make more per game than the Mavericks as well.
One of the primary issues for the Spurs has been their struggle to keep their opponents playing in the halfcourt and allowing them to get out in transition. Dallas scored the seventh-most points per 100 possessions on fast break opportunities, while the Spurs allow the sixth-most, per NBA Advanced Stats. When you couple in the fact that this is the second game of a back-to-back, their third game in four days ( and fourth game in six days), it's an easy letdown spot for the Spurs where the play can get sloppy if they're a bit tired.
Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction
This is situationally a bad spot for the Spurs, and I could see the Mavericks offense humming against this defense that's a bit overrated because of Wembanyama. The Mavs have dropped four in a row and I expect to see them coming out strong offensively here.
As for the Spurs, their three-point shooting allows them to stay in ball games and continue to put up points. I'll grab over 228.5 for my best bet. If I was putting together a SGP, I'd grab Klay over 3.5 three-pointers, Wemby over 2.5 three-pointers, Mavericks Moneyline, and Over 228.5.
