This one isn't pretty, but I've managed to find two overs (and an under, of course) for the Toilet Bowl of Thanksgiving.
My Giants-Cowboys player props focus on two Giants and the new Cowboys starting quarterback. I'm not expecting a lot of points, but our expert projections and recent trends have led me to these three plays.
Let's get to it.
Giants vs. Cowboys Player Props
- Wan'Dale Robinson Over 4.5 Receptions (+105, BetMGM)
- Cooper Rush Over 203.5 Passing Yards (-115, BetMGM)
- Tyrone Tracy Under 1.5 Receptions (+140, DraftKings)
Wan'Dale Robinson Over 4.5 Receptions (+105)
Wan’Dale Robinson is the perfect safety valve for a quarterback like Tommy DeVito.
Robinson is averaging 7.2 yards per reception this season, and his average depth of target is only 4.4 yards downfield. For a quarterback like DeVito, who lacks above-average arm strength and will rely on his legs as much as possible, Robinson is great to have around.
Robinson has gone over this total regularly with some ease. He has registered more than 4.5 receptions in nine of his 11 games this season, and we’re getting plus money to bet it.
Sean Koerner is projecting Robinson for 4.8 receptions, so I’d play this to -110.
Cooper Rush Over 203.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Sean Koerner is projecting Cooper Rush for 211 passing yards, so the edge isn’t huge. This is more of a play against the Giants defense.
I’m not saying the Giants have some impressive run-stopping unit, but they’re 17th in DVOA against the run and 29th against the pass. Also, the Cowboys rank 30th in rush (no pun intended) DVOA.
Rush has gone over this total comfortably in his first two starts of the season. He had 354 against the Texans— even if most of those yards came in garbage time when trailing by multiple scores — and 247 last week against the Commanders.
Tyrone Tracy Under 1.5 Receptions (+140)
The Giants have lost six straight games, and Tyrone Tracy has gone over this total in four of those. It makes sense for the starting running back to get multiple receptions when facing trailing game scripts.
However, this might not be a huge trailing game script for the Giants. That is important because the two unders came in their two closest games during that skid. This one, hypothetically, might be tight as two backup quarterbacks battle it out.
Also, Devin Singletary has taken up the role of third-down back and operates in 2-minute offenses for New York. If there’s a late drive where the Giants need yards fast, chances are it’ll be Singletary getting snaps instead of Tracy.
Chris Raybon has Tracy projected for 1.2 receptions, and we’re getting a huge plus number here. I’d play this one down to +115.
