Sunday Night Football went very well.
Despite scoring just one touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens, it only took one Buffalo Bills touchdown for Ty Johnson to cash our +1400 anytime touchdown bet.
Now a word of caution.
Yes, the bet won, which is great, but I'm not someone who's going to celebrate by saying "I knew it!" or "easy winner!"
The simple reasoning behind the pick was that the combination of Action PRO's anytime TD projections, which showed Johnson as the biggest anytime touchdown edge for Sunday Night Football, and stats heading into last night's game convinced me that his true chances of scoring were higher than the 6.67% probability that 14-1 odds imply.
Looking ahead to Monday Night Football anytime touchdown picks, there's another bet that lines up eerily similarly to Johnson from last night.
This Monday Night Football pick has +1200 odds, is showing as Action PRO's largest anytime TD edge for Titans vs. Dolphins and is for a player whose usage is quietly growing heading into Week 4.
A Data-Driven +1200 Monday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Pick
*Odds as of Monday morning
As mentioned above, not only is this Monday Night Football pick available at a long-shot price of 12-1, it's also the largest Titans vs. Dolphins anytime touchdown edge.
